Lafayette
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#219
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#174
Pace71.0#143
Improvement+1.0#74

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#114
First Shot+6.7#31
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#344
Layup/Dunks+0.7#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.1#8
Freethrows-3.1#315
Improvement+2.4#7

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#308
First Shot-6.0#326
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#122
Layups/Dunks-2.3#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#143
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-1.5#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 10.1% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 57.8% 65.2% 39.7%
.500 or above in Conference 62.4% 66.5% 52.5%
Conference Champion 9.9% 11.3% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 3.0% 6.0%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 1.6%
First Round8.2% 9.4% 5.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 70.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 65 - 8
Quad 411 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 169   Columbia W 65-63 51%     1 - 0 -1.4 -7.7 +6.3
  Nov 09, 2019 300   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 72-73 58%     1 - 1 -6.2 -7.9 +1.8
  Nov 13, 2019 200   @ Princeton W 72-65 35%     2 - 1 +7.9 +4.7 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2019 154   Delaware L 73-81 48%     2 - 2 -10.7 +2.6 -13.7
  Nov 19, 2019 132   Penn W 86-75 41%     3 - 2 +10.1 +17.6 -6.9
  Nov 24, 2019 272   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-71 71%    
  Dec 03, 2019 188   @ Saint Joseph's L 83-88 33%    
  Dec 07, 2019 271   @ Cornell L 74-75 49%    
  Dec 22, 2019 92   @ Rutgers L 68-80 15%    
  Dec 29, 2019 263   @ Sacred Heart L 81-82 48%    
  Jan 02, 2020 172   @ Boston University L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 05, 2020 163   Bucknell W 79-78 51%    
  Jan 08, 2020 341   Holy Cross W 83-70 89%    
  Jan 11, 2020 220   @ Loyola Maryland L 76-79 39%    
  Jan 15, 2020 151   Colgate L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 18, 2020 253   @ Navy L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 22, 2020 265   Army W 79-74 68%    
  Jan 25, 2020 236   @ Lehigh L 79-81 43%    
  Jan 29, 2020 151   @ Colgate L 73-80 28%    
  Feb 01, 2020 230   American W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 03, 2020 163   @ Bucknell L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 08, 2020 236   Lehigh W 82-78 64%    
  Feb 12, 2020 265   @ Army L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 15, 2020 341   @ Holy Cross W 80-73 75%    
  Feb 19, 2020 172   Boston University W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 220   Loyola Maryland W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 26, 2020 230   @ American L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 29, 2020 253   Navy W 71-66 66%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 2.2 2.9 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 3.8 1.1 0.1 12.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 5.9 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 6.0 3.8 0.5 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.5 4.3 0.8 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 3.7 0.9 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.8 7.2 9.6 11.6 13.7 12.7 11.1 9.9 6.6 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 95.7% 1.0    0.9 0.1
15-3 87.2% 2.3    1.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 67.5% 2.9    1.6 1.1 0.2
13-5 33.5% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
12-6 10.6% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.7 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 20.0% 20.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 43.7% 43.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.1% 38.3% 38.3% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.6% 28.5% 28.5% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9
14-4 4.3% 27.3% 27.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 3.1
13-5 6.6% 17.8% 17.8% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 5.5
12-6 9.9% 15.2% 15.2% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 8.4
11-7 11.1% 11.0% 11.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 9.9
10-8 12.7% 7.0% 7.0% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 11.8
9-9 13.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.8 0.2 0.7 12.7
8-10 11.6% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 11.1
7-11 9.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.3
6-12 7.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
5-13 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.1 3.3 91.0 0.0%