IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.8	#132
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.9	#257
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.2	#244

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.9	#70

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	17.2%	7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.7%	2.4%	0.4%
Average Seed	12.8	12.1	13.1

.500 or above	71.8%	89.6%	69.0%
.500 or above in Conference	63.9%	79.1%	61.5%
Conference Champion	11.5%	19.9%	10.2%
Last Place in Conference	5.5%	2.2%	6.1%

First Four	0.4%	1.4%	0.3%
First Round	8.9%	16.4%	7.7%
Second Round	1.8%	4.3%	1.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.5%	1.2%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: West Virginia (Away) - 13.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 2	17 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	46	@ West Virginia	L	65-76	13%
Nov 15, 2019	322	NC Central	W	71-56	92%
Nov 18, 2019	340	South Carolina Upstate	W	77-60	94%
Nov 21, 2019	225	Youngstown St.	W	74-66	77%
Nov 24, 2019	6	@ Louisville	L	57-77	4%
Nov 29, 2019	304	Merrimack	W	73-60	87%
Dec 04, 2019	188	@ Marshall	W	76-75	52%
Dec 08, 2019	346	Southern	W	73-54	95%
Dec 20, 2019	242	Tulane	W	72-66	70%
Dec 30, 2019	237	Massachusetts	W	72-63	78%
Jan 04, 2020	222	@ Eastern Michigan	W	62-60	57%
Jan 07, 2020	231	Western Michigan	W	73-64	77%
Jan 10, 2020	120	Ball St.	W	70-68	55%
Jan 14, 2020	147	@ Northern Illinois	L	65-67	43%
Jan 18, 2020	112	Toledo	W	67-66	54%
Jan 21, 2020	150	@ Miami (OH)	L	65-67	43%
Jan 25, 2020	217	@ Ohio	W	69-67	56%
Jan 28, 2020	104	Buffalo	W	75-74	52%
Jan 31, 2020	129	@ Kent St.	L	67-70	40%
Feb 08, 2020	222	Eastern Michigan	W	65-57	75%
Feb 11, 2020	108	Bowling Green	W	71-70	53%
Feb 15, 2020	154	@ Central Michigan	L	72-74	44%
Feb 18, 2020	231	@ Western Michigan	W	70-67	59%
Feb 22, 2020	150	Miami (OH)	W	68-64	63%
Feb 25, 2020	108	@ Bowling Green	L	68-73	34%
Feb 29, 2020	104	@ Buffalo	L	72-77	33%
Mar 03, 2020	217	Ohio	W	72-64	75%
Mar 06, 2020	129	Kent St.	W	70-67	60%
Projected Record						16 - 12	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.7	3.3	3.2	1.9	1.0	0.2		11.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.7	2.9	4.0	2.6	0.7	0.2				11.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	3.1	4.5	2.0	0.3	0.0					10.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	3.1	4.7	1.7	0.3	0.0						10.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.9	4.9	2.0	0.2	0.0							10.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.0	4.6	2.1	0.2	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.1	1.2	4.2	2.6	0.3	0.0									8.5	7th
8th						0.1	0.9	3.5	3.0	0.5	0.0										8.0	8th
9th					0.1	0.7	2.7	2.9	0.6	0.0											6.9	9th
10th				0.1	0.7	1.9	2.4	0.6	0.0												5.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.6	1.8	1.6	0.7	0.0													5.0	11th
12th	0.0	0.3	0.6	1.1	0.8	0.3	0.0														3.1	12th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.8	3.4	4.5	6.8	8.4	10.1	11.1	11.1	10.8	9.6	7.9	6.2	3.9	2.1	1.0	0.2			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	1.0		0.9	0.0
16-2	91.5%	1.9		1.7	0.2	0.0
15-3	81.0%	3.2		2.2	0.9	0.1
14-4	52.4%	3.3		1.5	1.4	0.3	0.1
13-5	21.1%	1.7		0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	11.5%	11.5		7.1	3.3	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		78.9%	53.3%	25.6%	7.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		54.7%
17-1	1.0%		54.3%	36.3%	18.0%	10.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.4		28.2%
16-2	2.1%		48.4%	37.9%	10.5%	11.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0			1.1		16.9%
15-3	3.9%		30.5%	27.4%	3.1%	12.2									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.7		4.2%
14-4	6.2%		22.2%	21.6%	0.6%	12.8										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.0		4.8		0.7%
13-5	7.9%		18.4%	18.4%	0.0%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.0		6.4		0.0%
12-6	9.6%		13.1%	13.1%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	8.3
11-7	10.8%		8.7%	8.7%	0.1%	14.0												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	9.8		0.1%
10-8	11.1%		5.6%	5.6%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	10.5
9-9	11.1%		3.1%	3.1%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	10.8
8-10	10.1%		1.1%	1.1%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.0
7-11	8.4%		1.1%	1.1%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	8.4
6-12	6.8%		0.8%	0.8%		15.7																0.0	0.0	6.8
5-13	4.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																0.0	0.0	4.5
4-14	3.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
3-15	1.8%																							1.8
2-16	0.8%																							0.8
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.2%	8.5%	0.6%	12.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	2.0	2.5	2.0	1.0	0.2	90.8		0.7%