IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Ohio
Mid-American
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#217
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.5	#85
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#257

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.4	#179

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.2%	3.9%	1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.4	12.8	13.8

.500 or above	21.6%	40.4%	17.4%
.500 or above in Conference	27.8%	42.1%	24.7%
Conference Champion	2.1%	4.6%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	23.2%	14.1%	25.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
First Round	2.1%	3.7%	1.8%
Second Round	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 18.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 3	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	115	@ St. Bonaventure	L	61-71	18%
Nov 13, 2019	161	@ Iona	L	76-82	28%
Nov 16, 2019	11	@ Villanova	L	58-80	2%
Nov 21, 2019	15	Baylor	L	62-80	5%
Nov 30, 2019	219	Detroit Mercy	W	80-77	60%
Dec 08, 2019	310	Tennessee Tech	W	75-66	78%
Dec 17, 2019	12	Purdue	L	64-80	8%
Dec 21, 2019	264	Morehead St.	W	76-70	69%
Dec 29, 2019	302	Campbell	W	74-66	75%
Jan 04, 2020	231	@ Western Michigan	L	73-75	43%
Jan 07, 2020	222	Eastern Michigan	W	67-64	61%
Jan 11, 2020	108	Bowling Green	L	74-78	37%
Jan 14, 2020	104	@ Buffalo	L	75-85	19%
Jan 18, 2020	222	@ Eastern Michigan	L	64-67	41%
Jan 21, 2020	112	Toledo	L	70-74	37%
Jan 25, 2020	132	Akron	L	67-69	44%
Jan 28, 2020	147	@ Northern Illinois	L	68-75	28%
Feb 01, 2020	120	@ Ball St.	L	70-79	22%
Feb 08, 2020	150	Miami (OH)	L	70-71	47%
Feb 11, 2020	231	Western Michigan	W	76-72	62%
Feb 15, 2020	129	@ Kent St.	L	69-77	26%
Feb 18, 2020	154	Central Michigan	L	78-79	48%
Feb 22, 2020	108	@ Bowling Green	L	71-81	20%
Feb 25, 2020	104	Buffalo	L	78-82	36%
Feb 29, 2020	129	Kent St.	L	72-74	43%
Mar 03, 2020	132	@ Akron	L	64-72	25%
Mar 06, 2020	150	@ Miami (OH)	L	67-74	29%
Projected Record						10 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0				3.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.6	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0					4.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	1.9	2.1	0.6	0.0	0.0						5.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.1	2.7	0.9	0.1								6.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.1	3.6	1.4	0.1									7.4	6th
7th							0.1	1.8	4.4	1.9	0.3	0.0									8.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.4	4.6	3.0	0.4	0.0										9.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.6	4.5	3.7	0.8	0.0											10.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	2.3	5.1	4.5	1.1	0.0												13.3	10th
11th		0.1	0.9	3.1	5.2	4.1	1.0	0.1													14.4	11th
12th	0.8	2.7	4.3	4.4	2.5	0.7	0.0														15.6	12th

Total	0.8	2.8	5.2	7.8	10.2	11.7	11.6	11.5	10.6	8.4	6.6	5.1	3.3	2.2	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	88.4%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	78.9%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	47.0%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	25.1%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%											0.0					0.0	0.0						0.0
17-1	0.1%		55.3%	52.2%	3.1%	11.0					0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		6.6%
16-2	0.3%		39.0%	31.0%	8.0%	11.2							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		11.6%
15-3	0.6%		24.7%	23.8%	0.9%	12.0											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4		1.2%
14-4	1.2%		18.6%	18.4%	0.2%	12.4											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0		0.3%
13-5	2.2%		13.2%	12.8%	0.3%	12.9											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9		0.4%
12-6	3.3%		9.9%	9.9%	0.0%	13.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.0		0.0%
11-7	5.1%		6.5%	6.5%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	4.8
10-8	6.6%		3.5%	3.5%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.4
9-9	8.4%		1.7%	1.7%		14.2														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	8.3
8-10	10.6%		1.7%	1.7%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.4
7-11	11.5%		0.7%	0.7%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.4
6-12	11.6%		0.2%	0.2%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.6
5-13	11.7%		0.2%	0.2%		15.7																0.0	0.0	11.7
4-14	10.2%		0.1%	0.1%		14.4															0.0		0.0	10.2
3-15	7.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
2-16	5.2%																							5.2
1-17	2.8%																							2.8
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		2.2%	2.1%	0.0%	13.4					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.1	97.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%