Preseason Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#237
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.5#183
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#237
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 13.1
.500 or above 13.5% 17.8% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 17.4% 8.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 26.5% 22.3% 34.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 65.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 10
Quad 33 - 74 - 17
Quad 47 - 411 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 263   Umass Lowell W 79-75 66%    
  Nov 09, 2019 288   @ Fairfield L 70-71 50%    
  Nov 12, 2019 130   Northeastern L 69-72 39%    
  Nov 16, 2019 342   Central Connecticut St. W 79-67 87%    
  Nov 20, 2019 180   Rider W 80-79 51%    
  Nov 23, 2019 10   Virginia L 51-72 3%    
  Nov 29, 2019 66   @ Rutgers L 63-78 9%    
  Dec 04, 2019 78   South Carolina L 70-78 24%    
  Dec 07, 2019 69   @ Harvard L 64-79 10%    
  Dec 11, 2019 144   Yale L 75-77 42%    
  Dec 20, 2019 333   Maine W 71-61 81%    
  Dec 30, 2019 132   @ Akron L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 05, 2020 141   @ Saint Louis L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 08, 2020 189   La Salle W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 60   @ Dayton L 61-77 9%    
  Jan 15, 2020 115   St. Bonaventure L 62-70 25%    
  Jan 18, 2020 190   George Washington W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 22, 2020 151   @ George Mason L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 25, 2020 126   Duquesne L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 29, 2020 221   Saint Joseph's W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 01, 2020 52   @ Davidson L 60-77 8%    
  Feb 04, 2020 86   @ Rhode Island L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 09, 2020 151   George Mason L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 60   Dayton L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 18, 2020 141   Saint Louis L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 22, 2020 233   @ Fordham L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 26, 2020 28   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-78 13%    
  Feb 29, 2020 105   @ Richmond L 66-77 18%    
  Mar 04, 2020 189   @ La Salle L 70-75 33%    
  Mar 07, 2020 86   Rhode Island L 68-75 27%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 5.0 4.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.4 5.0 1.5 0.1 14.0 12th
13th 0.5 2.7 6.3 5.2 1.8 0.1 0.0 16.5 13th
14th 1.9 4.5 6.0 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 17.4 14th
Total 1.9 5.0 8.9 11.8 13.5 13.5 12.4 10.6 7.9 5.6 3.7 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 53.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 25.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 49.3% 25.4% 23.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.0%
15-3 0.1% 46.0% 30.4% 15.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.3%
14-4 0.3% 16.6% 8.2% 8.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.2%
13-5 0.7% 8.5% 5.5% 3.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.2%
12-6 1.4% 5.8% 5.2% 0.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.6%
11-7 2.6% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.5%
10-8 3.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 5.6% 0.7% 0.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
8-10 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
7-11 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.5
4-14 13.5% 13.5
3-15 11.8% 11.8
2-16 8.9% 8.9
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18 1.9% 1.9
Total 100% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%