IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tulane
American Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.6	#242
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.2	#75
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.3	#247

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#241

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.1	11.1	10.8

.500 or above	9.4%	12.0%	2.5%
.500 or above in Conference	4.0%	4.9%	1.6%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	52.8%	48.5%	64.0%

First Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 72.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 2	1 - 6	1 - 12
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 17
Quad 4	5 - 2	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	299	SE Louisiana	W	73-67	72%
Nov 12, 2019	303	Jackson St.	W	72-65	73%
Nov 16, 2019	347	Northwestern St.	W	80-67	87%
Nov 21, 2019	48	Mississippi St.	L	67-82	9%
Dec 01, 2019	346	Southern	W	77-64	86%
Dec 04, 2019	238	@ Southern Miss	L	69-72	38%
Dec 08, 2019	141	Saint Louis	L	67-73	32%
Dec 16, 2019	345	Alcorn St.	W	77-65	86%
Dec 20, 2019	132	Akron	L	66-72	30%
Dec 31, 2019	26	@ Memphis	L	73-93	4%
Jan 04, 2020	29	Cincinnati	L	61-75	12%
Jan 08, 2020	73	@ Connecticut	L	69-84	11%
Jan 11, 2020	83	@ Temple	L	68-82	12%
Jan 14, 2020	94	Central Florida	L	66-72	30%
Jan 18, 2020	100	Tulsa	L	71-77	31%
Jan 25, 2020	203	@ East Carolina	L	72-77	34%
Jan 29, 2020	79	South Florida	L	68-76	25%
Feb 01, 2020	89	@ SMU	L	64-77	14%
Feb 06, 2020	32	@ Houston	L	61-81	5%
Feb 08, 2020	203	East Carolina	W	75-74	53%
Feb 12, 2020	83	Temple	L	71-79	26%
Feb 16, 2020	58	@ Wichita St.	L	65-82	9%
Feb 19, 2020	89	SMU	L	67-74	29%
Feb 22, 2020	94	@ Central Florida	L	63-75	16%
Feb 25, 2020	100	@ Tulsa	L	68-80	16%
Feb 29, 2020	26	Memphis	L	76-90	12%
Mar 08, 2020	73	Connecticut	L	72-81	24%
Projected Record						9 - 18	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.4	3rd
4th										0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.6	4th
5th									0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0								1.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.7	0.8	0.2	0.0									1.9	6th
7th							0.2	1.1	1.6	0.5	0.0										3.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.4	2.5	1.0	0.1	0.0										5.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.1	3.4	1.7	0.2	0.0											7.7	9th
10th			0.1	1.2	4.3	5.1	2.6	0.4	0.0												13.6	10th
11th		0.7	4.6	8.9	7.3	3.3	0.4	0.0													25.2	11th
12th	6.8	12.3	12.4	6.7	2.0	0.3	0.0														40.6	12th

Total	6.8	13.1	17.1	16.8	14.0	11.0	7.9	5.8	3.6	1.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	40.0%	0.0		0.0
14-4	40.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	13.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0
12-6	3.4%	0.0				0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%		100.0%	46.7%	53.3%	8.5							0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0								100.0%
15-3	0.0%														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0
14-4	0.0%		57.3%	1.2%	56.1%	10.7										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		56.8%
13-5	0.1%		17.6%	1.0%	16.7%	10.2									0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0					0.1		16.8%
12-6	0.2%		9.6%	1.2%	8.4%	11.5										0.0		0.0	0.0					0.2		8.5%
11-7	0.6%		4.0%	0.3%	3.8%	11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					0.6		3.8%
10-8	1.1%		1.4%	1.4%		11.6												0.0	0.0	0.0				1.1
9-9	1.9%		0.2%	0.2%		12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		1.9
8-10	3.6%		0.2%	0.2%		12.1													0.0	0.0				3.6
7-11	5.8%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					5.8
6-12	7.9%		0.1%	0.1%		12.1													0.0		0.0			7.9
5-13	11.0%																							11.0
4-14	14.0%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		14.0
3-15	16.8%																							16.8
2-16	17.1%																							17.1
1-17	13.1%																							13.1
0-18	6.8%																							6.8

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		99.9		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%