IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
BYU
West Coast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.0	#67
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.7	#30
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+6.5	#31

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.5	#124

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.9%	1.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	3.0%	3.3%	0.7%
Top 6 Seed	6.5%	7.0%	1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	32.1%	33.8%	14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	25.0%	26.6%	10.0%
Average Seed	9.0	9.0	10.1

.500 or above	83.5%	85.8%	61.4%
.500 or above in Conference	82.4%	83.6%	69.9%
Conference Champion	10.2%	10.8%	4.4%
Last Place in Conference	1.0%	0.9%	2.3%

First Four	8.0%	8.4%	4.3%
First Round	27.8%	29.4%	12.1%
Second Round	13.4%	14.3%	4.9%
Sweet Sixteen	4.9%	5.2%	1.3%
Elite Eight	1.8%	2.0%	0.3%
Final Four	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Home) - 90.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 3	1 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 2	3 - 3	4 - 8
Quad 3	7 - 3	12 - 10
Quad 4	7 - 1	19 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	213	Cal St. Fullerton	W	86-72	91%
Nov 09, 2019	77	San Diego St.	W	78-74	65%
Nov 13, 2019	226	Southern Utah	W	88-74	91%
Nov 15, 2019	32	@ Houston	L	72-79	26%
Nov 20, 2019	90	@ Boise St.	L	76-77	49%
Nov 25, 2019	82	UCLA	W	87-85	55%
Dec 04, 2019	110	@ Utah	W	79-78	55%
Dec 07, 2019	146	UNLV	W	82-75	73%
Dec 10, 2019	95	Nevada	W	84-78	70%
Dec 14, 2019	34	Utah St.	L	77-81	38%
Dec 21, 2019	191	Weber St.	W	90-77	87%
Dec 28, 2019	205	Oral Roberts	W	88-74	88%
Jan 04, 2020	149	Loyola Marymount	W	76-66	80%
Jan 09, 2020	19	@ St. Mary's	L	69-77	24%
Jan 11, 2020	285	Portland	W	86-68	93%
Jan 16, 2020	164	San Diego	W	81-70	82%
Jan 18, 2020	8	@ Gonzaga	L	77-89	16%
Jan 23, 2020	247	@ Pacific	W	78-68	79%
Jan 25, 2020	111	@ San Francisco	W	78-77	54%
Jan 30, 2020	117	Pepperdine	W	88-80	73%
Feb 01, 2020	19	St. Mary's	L	72-74	42%
Feb 06, 2020	285	@ Portland	W	83-71	83%
Feb 08, 2020	111	San Francisco	W	81-74	73%
Feb 13, 2020	149	@ Loyola Marymount	W	73-69	64%
Feb 15, 2020	164	@ San Diego	W	78-73	66%
Feb 20, 2020	128	Santa Clara	W	81-72	77%
Feb 22, 2020	8	Gonzaga	L	80-86	31%
Feb 29, 2020	117	@ Pepperdine	W	85-83	55%
Projected Record						18 - 10	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.9	2.9	3.9	2.0	0.5		10.2	1st
2nd										0.1	0.9	4.3	7.1	5.5	1.3				19.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	2.7	8.0	8.9	4.1	0.4					24.4	3rd
4th								0.3	3.1	6.7	5.7	1.7	0.0						17.5	4th
5th							0.3	2.4	5.0	3.5	0.6	0.0							11.8	5th
6th						0.2	1.5	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0								7.4	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.2	2.2	1.2	0.2	0.0									4.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	0.7	1.5	0.7	0.1											3.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0												1.4	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0													0.5	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.5	3.1	4.7	7.4	10.4	13.3	15.2	15.0	12.1	8.8	5.1	2.0	0.5			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
15-1	100.0%	2.0		1.7	0.2
14-2	75.4%	3.9		2.3	1.5	0.1
13-3	32.6%	2.9		0.9	1.5	0.4	0.0
12-4	7.4%	0.9		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-5	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0				0.0		0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	10.2%	10.2		5.6	3.7	0.9	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.5%		98.5%	54.5%	44.0%	3.4		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0						0.0		96.7%
15-1	2.0%		99.1%	42.7%	56.4%	4.6		0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.0		98.4%
14-2	5.1%		92.4%	30.5%	62.0%	6.5		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0				0.4		89.1%
13-3	8.8%		81.7%	21.3%	60.3%	8.6			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.9	1.2	1.4	1.2	0.4	0.0				1.6		76.7%
12-4	12.1%		61.6%	13.7%	47.9%	9.9				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.6	1.1	1.6	2.2	1.0	0.1	0.0			4.7		55.5%
11-5	15.0%		36.6%	9.3%	27.3%	10.7					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.2	1.4	0.1	0.0			9.5		30.1%
10-6	15.2%		19.2%	5.7%	13.5%	11.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	1.1	0.1	0.0			12.3		14.3%
9-7	13.3%		8.7%	3.9%	4.8%	11.7								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0		12.1		4.9%
8-8	10.4%		4.7%	2.3%	2.4%	11.8									0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			9.9		2.4%
7-9	7.4%		1.7%	1.4%	0.2%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			7.3		0.3%
6-10	4.7%		0.9%	0.9%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		4.6
5-11	3.1%		0.6%	0.6%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		3.1
4-12	1.5%		0.6%	0.6%		12.3													0.0		0.0	0.0		1.4
3-13	0.7%																							0.7
2-14	0.2%																							0.2
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		32.1%	9.4%	22.7%	9.0		0.3	0.6	0.8	1.3	1.7	1.7	1.8	2.4	3.5	4.9	7.6	4.7	0.6	0.1	0.0		67.9		25.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	1.4	61.8	32.7	5.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	1.7	33.3	62.7	3.9