Preseason Rankings
UCLA
Pac-12
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#82
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.7#16
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#55
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#125
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.8% 4.0% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.1% 22.0% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.5% 18.3% 5.4%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.9
.500 or above 66.9% 68.8% 36.2%
.500 or above in Conference 49.1% 50.4% 28.9%
Conference Champion 4.3% 4.5% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 6.4% 13.8%
First Four4.9% 5.1% 1.7%
First Round18.6% 19.4% 5.9%
Second Round8.9% 9.3% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen2.8% 3.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Home) - 94.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 23 - 45 - 11
Quad 35 - 210 - 13
Quad 47 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 289   Long Beach St. W 92-75 94%    
  Nov 10, 2019 160   UC Santa Barbara W 80-71 80%    
  Nov 15, 2019 146   UNLV W 83-75 78%    
  Nov 18, 2019 226   Southern Utah W 89-76 88%    
  Nov 21, 2019 148   Hofstra W 87-78 78%    
  Nov 25, 2019 67   BYU L 85-87 45%    
  Dec 01, 2019 330   San Jose St. W 91-71 97%    
  Dec 08, 2019 305   Denver W 88-70 94%    
  Dec 14, 2019 41   @ Notre Dame L 72-80 26%    
  Dec 21, 2019 5   North Carolina L 84-96 14%    
  Dec 28, 2019 213   Cal St. Fullerton W 86-74 85%    
  Jan 02, 2020 44   @ Washington L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 04, 2020 157   @ Washington St. W 86-83 60%    
  Jan 11, 2020 64   USC W 83-82 53%    
  Jan 15, 2020 113   Stanford W 83-77 68%    
  Jan 19, 2020 166   California W 82-72 79%    
  Jan 23, 2020 74   @ Oregon St. L 75-79 39%    
  Jan 26, 2020 16   @ Oregon L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 30, 2020 40   Colorado L 77-79 45%    
  Feb 02, 2020 110   Utah W 82-76 68%    
  Feb 06, 2020 65   @ Arizona St. L 82-87 35%    
  Feb 08, 2020 31   @ Arizona L 74-83 24%    
  Feb 13, 2020 157   Washington St. W 89-80 78%    
  Feb 15, 2020 44   Washington L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 20, 2020 110   @ Utah L 79-80 49%    
  Feb 22, 2020 40   @ Colorado L 74-82 27%    
  Feb 27, 2020 65   Arizona St. W 85-84 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 31   Arizona L 77-80 41%    
  Mar 07, 2020 64   @ USC L 80-85 34%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.1 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.8 11th
12th 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 12th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.4 7.3 9.5 11.2 11.9 11.3 11.1 8.7 6.8 5.1 3.0 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 67.0% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.0
14-4 37.3% 1.1    0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 35.9% 64.1% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 39.5% 60.5% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.7% 99.9% 24.3% 75.5% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-3 2.1% 98.3% 22.2% 76.1% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8%
14-4 3.0% 93.8% 22.2% 71.7% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 92.1%
13-5 5.1% 81.3% 14.7% 66.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.0 78.1%
12-6 6.8% 62.2% 10.8% 51.5% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.6 57.7%
11-7 8.7% 36.7% 5.6% 31.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.5 33.0%
10-8 11.1% 21.3% 4.1% 17.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.7 17.9%
9-9 11.3% 8.0% 2.1% 5.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 10.4 6.0%
8-10 11.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.8%
7-11 11.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.3%
6-12 9.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 0.0%
5-13 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
4-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 1.6
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 21.1% 4.3% 16.8% 9.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.7 3.4 4.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 78.9 17.5%