IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.8	#110
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#254
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.1	#71

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.4	#176

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.4%	0.9%	0.2%
Top 6 Seed	1.1%	2.1%	0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.7%	16.7%	5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	7.9%	14.1%	4.4%
Average Seed	9.5	9.3	9.7

.500 or above	39.6%	56.7%	29.8%
.500 or above in Conference	32.1%	41.9%	26.6%
Conference Champion	1.7%	2.8%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	14.3%	9.4%	17.2%

First Four	2.7%	4.9%	1.5%
First Round	8.1%	14.0%	4.8%
Second Round	3.4%	5.9%	2.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 36.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 4	0 - 4
Quad 1b	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 2	3 - 5	4 - 12
Quad 3	5 - 3	9 - 15
Quad 4	5 - 1	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	95	@ Nevada	L	73-77	36%
Nov 08, 2019	353	Mississippi Valley	W	85-60	99%
Nov 15, 2019	70	Minnesota	L	72-73	47%
Nov 21, 2019	172	@ Coastal Carolina	W	76-75	55%
Nov 29, 2019	266	UC Davis	W	75-62	87%
Dec 04, 2019	67	BYU	L	78-79	45%
Dec 07, 2019	284	Central Arkansas	W	84-70	89%
Dec 14, 2019	191	Weber St.	W	80-74	70%
Dec 18, 2019	2	Kentucky	L	62-78	9%
Dec 21, 2019	77	San Diego St.	L	69-72	39%
Jan 02, 2020	74	Oregon St.	L	71-72	49%
Jan 04, 2020	16	Oregon	L	64-71	28%
Jan 12, 2020	40	@ Colorado	L	67-77	20%
Jan 16, 2020	31	@ Arizona	L	66-77	17%
Jan 18, 2020	65	@ Arizona St.	L	74-81	27%
Jan 23, 2020	44	Washington	L	68-72	38%
Jan 25, 2020	157	Washington St.	W	80-73	70%
Jan 30, 2020	64	@ USC	L	72-80	26%
Feb 02, 2020	82	@ UCLA	L	76-82	32%
Feb 06, 2020	113	Stanford	W	75-72	61%
Feb 08, 2020	166	California	W	75-68	72%
Feb 13, 2020	74	@ Oregon St.	L	68-74	31%
Feb 16, 2020	16	@ Oregon	L	61-74	14%
Feb 20, 2020	82	UCLA	W	80-79	51%
Feb 23, 2020	64	USC	L	75-77	45%
Feb 26, 2020	113	@ Stanford	L	72-75	40%
Feb 29, 2020	166	@ California	W	72-71	53%
Mar 07, 2020	40	Colorado	L	70-74	37%
Projected Record						13 - 15	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Pac-12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0				3.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.5	1.8	0.8	0.1	0.0					4.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.0	2.7	1.0	0.1	0.0						6.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.1	3.4	1.4	0.2	0.0							7.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.3	4.2	1.9	0.3	0.0								9.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.2	4.7	2.5	0.3	0.0									10.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.5	5.3	3.2	0.5	0.0										11.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.7	5.4	3.6	0.7	0.0											12.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	3.0	5.3	3.2	0.7	0.0												12.7	10th
11th		0.1	1.2	3.4	4.6	2.3	0.6	0.0													12.2	11th
12th	0.5	1.7	2.7	2.5	1.0	0.3	0.0														8.7	12th

Total	0.5	1.9	3.9	6.4	9.0	10.9	12.0	12.2	11.3	9.6	8.0	6.0	3.8	2.5	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.4%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	64.6%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	38.3%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.3%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	58.7%	41.3%	2.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	26.4%	73.6%	3.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0									100.0%
16-2	0.2%		99.6%	40.2%	59.4%	4.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.3%
15-3	0.7%		98.1%	17.8%	80.3%	6.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		97.6%
14-4	1.2%		89.3%	12.7%	76.7%	8.0				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.1		87.8%
13-5	2.5%		76.1%	12.3%	63.8%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0				0.6		72.7%
12-6	3.8%		51.3%	8.0%	43.2%	9.9				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.9		47.0%
11-7	6.0%		28.6%	6.2%	22.4%	10.6							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.4	0.0				4.3		23.9%
10-8	8.0%		14.3%	2.7%	11.6%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.0				6.8		11.9%
9-9	9.6%		6.0%	1.6%	4.5%	11.3								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		9.0		4.6%
8-10	11.3%		1.6%	0.9%	0.6%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0		11.1		0.7%
7-11	12.2%		0.5%	0.5%	0.1%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	12.1		0.1%
6-12	12.0%		0.2%	0.2%		12.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.9
5-13	10.9%		0.0%	0.0%		13.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.9
4-14	9.0%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			9.0
3-15	6.4%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			6.4
2-16	3.9%																							3.9
1-17	1.9%																							1.9
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		9.7%	2.0%	7.7%	9.5		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.8	1.2	1.6	2.6	1.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	90.3		7.9%