Preseason Rankings
Richmond
Atlantic 10
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#105
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.3#275
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#65
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 11.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.7% 6.4% 1.6%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 11.1
.500 or above 69.1% 73.3% 43.6%
.500 or above in Conference 65.4% 68.1% 49.1%
Conference Champion 5.8% 6.3% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 2.0% 4.9%
First Four2.6% 2.9% 0.9%
First Round9.0% 9.9% 3.8%
Second Round3.5% 3.9% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 37 - 410 - 12
Quad 48 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 248   St. Francis (PA) W 81-69 86%    
  Nov 14, 2019 124   Vanderbilt W 73-69 65%    
  Nov 17, 2019 208   Cal St. Northridge W 83-73 81%    
  Nov 22, 2019 316   McNeese St. W 80-63 93%    
  Nov 25, 2019 33   Wisconsin L 62-70 25%    
  Nov 30, 2019 101   Boston College W 73-70 60%    
  Dec 03, 2019 245   @ Hampton W 80-74 69%    
  Dec 08, 2019 138   South Alabama W 75-69 69%    
  Dec 14, 2019 123   College of Charleston W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 18, 2019 139   @ Old Dominion L 64-65 49%    
  Dec 22, 2019 134   Radford W 70-68 58%    
  Dec 29, 2019 45   @ Alabama L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 02, 2020 221   Saint Joseph's W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 05, 2020 86   @ Rhode Island L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 11, 2020 141   Saint Louis W 71-65 69%    
  Jan 14, 2020 52   @ Davidson L 65-74 23%    
  Jan 18, 2020 151   @ George Mason W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 22, 2020 189   La Salle W 77-68 77%    
  Jan 25, 2020 60   Dayton L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 28, 2020 28   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-77 17%    
  Feb 01, 2020 190   George Washington W 75-66 77%    
  Feb 08, 2020 233   @ Fordham W 69-64 65%    
  Feb 12, 2020 189   @ La Salle W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 15, 2020 28   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 19, 2020 151   George Mason W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 22, 2020 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 26, 2020 190   @ George Washington W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 29, 2020 237   Massachusetts W 77-66 82%    
  Mar 03, 2020 52   Davidson L 68-71 41%    
  Mar 06, 2020 126   @ Duquesne L 74-76 45%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 5.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.8 1.2 0.2 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 4.0 4.0 1.2 0.1 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.8 1.5 0.1 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.1 1.9 0.2 10.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.1 0.8 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.2 6.3 8.8 10.6 11.8 12.4 12.0 10.1 7.9 5.6 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 88.4% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
15-3 59.8% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 23.9% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 99.6% 57.4% 42.2% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
17-1 0.5% 90.4% 53.3% 37.1% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 79.5%
16-2 1.7% 75.6% 24.5% 51.1% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 67.7%
15-3 3.2% 62.8% 23.7% 39.1% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 51.3%
14-4 5.6% 41.7% 15.6% 26.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 30.9%
13-5 7.9% 23.6% 11.4% 12.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.1 13.8%
12-6 10.1% 11.0% 7.1% 3.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.9 4.2%
11-7 12.0% 5.4% 4.1% 1.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3 1.4%
10-8 12.4% 2.4% 2.2% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.1 0.2%
9-9 11.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.1%
8-10 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
7-11 8.8% 0.6% 0.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
6-12 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
5-13 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 4.2
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.5% 5.1% 5.4% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.8 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 89.5 5.7%