IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+12.3	#27
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#106
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.5	#19

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.8	#53

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
#1 Seed	3.2%	3.3%	0.5%
Top 2 Seed	8.0%	8.2%	1.6%
Top 4 Seed	19.9%	20.5%	5.7%
Top 6 Seed	32.1%	33.1%	10.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	61.9%	63.1%	34.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	56.8%	58.1%	30.8%
Average Seed	6.3	6.2	7.6

.500 or above	81.8%	83.0%	53.8%
.500 or above in Conference	67.2%	68.1%	47.4%
Conference Champion	14.0%	14.4%	5.5%
Last Place in Conference	4.3%	4.1%	10.1%

First Four	3.5%	3.6%	1.8%
First Round	60.2%	61.3%	33.9%
Second Round	39.6%	40.5%	18.1%
Sweet Sixteen	18.8%	19.4%	5.8%
Elite Eight	8.5%	8.8%	1.7%
Final Four	3.8%	4.0%	1.0%
Championship Game	1.6%	1.7%	0.2%
National Champion	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 95.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 5	2 - 5
Quad 1b	3 - 3	5 - 8
Quad 2	5 - 2	10 - 10
Quad 3	4 - 1	13 - 11
Quad 4	5 - 0	19 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	209	Loyola Maryland	W	86-68	96%
Nov 13, 2019	12	Purdue	L	73-74	47%
Nov 17, 2019	33	@ Wisconsin	L	66-69	41%
Nov 23, 2019	273	Robert Morris	W	81-59	97%
Nov 28, 2019	52	Davidson	W	73-70	59%
Dec 04, 2019	298	Jacksonville	W	89-66	98%
Dec 07, 2019	50	@ Kansas St.	L	66-67	48%
Dec 17, 2019	269	Grambling St.	W	86-65	96%
Dec 20, 2019	153	North Dakota St.	W	81-66	89%
Dec 28, 2019	284	Central Arkansas	W	90-68	97%
Jan 01, 2020	37	@ Creighton	L	76-78	44%
Jan 04, 2020	11	Villanova	L	70-71	47%
Jan 07, 2020	36	Providence	W	75-71	62%
Jan 11, 2020	17	@ Seton Hall	L	74-78	35%
Jan 15, 2020	23	Xavier	W	74-71	59%
Jan 18, 2020	54	@ Georgetown	L	81-82	48%
Jan 21, 2020	93	St. John's	W	83-72	81%
Jan 24, 2020	56	@ Butler	L	72-73	50%
Jan 29, 2020	23	@ Xavier	L	71-74	39%
Feb 01, 2020	97	DePaul	W	83-72	81%
Feb 09, 2020	56	Butler	W	76-70	69%
Feb 12, 2020	11	@ Villanova	L	67-74	29%
Feb 18, 2020	37	Creighton	W	79-75	63%
Feb 22, 2020	36	@ Providence	L	72-74	43%
Feb 26, 2020	54	Georgetown	W	85-79	67%
Feb 29, 2020	17	Seton Hall	W	77-75	55%
Mar 03, 2020	97	@ DePaul	W	80-75	66%
Mar 07, 2020	93	@ St. John's	W	80-75	65%
Projected Record						18 - 10	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.6	2.0	3.6	3.8	2.4	1.2	0.3		14.0	1st
2nd											0.1	1.4	4.0	4.8	2.9	0.8	0.1				14.3	2nd
3rd										0.2	1.8	4.7	4.7	1.7	0.2	0.0					13.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.2	5.4	4.2	1.1	0.1							13.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.1	4.7	3.4	0.7	0.0								11.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.0	4.7	2.8	0.5	0.0									10.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.0	3.7	2.4	0.4	0.0										8.9	7th
8th				0.1	0.4	1.9	3.0	1.8	0.3	0.0											7.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.6	0.9	0.2													4.9	9th
10th	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0													2.5	10th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.5	2.5	4.1	6.2	7.9	9.7	10.3	11.3	11.1	10.5	8.6	6.7	4.7	2.5	1.2	0.3			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.2		1.2	0.0
16-2	97.0%	2.4		2.2	0.3
15-3	82.0%	3.8		2.9	0.9	0.1
14-4	53.7%	3.6		1.9	1.4	0.2	0.0
13-5	23.1%	2.0		0.6	1.0	0.3	0.1
12-6	5.4%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	14.0%	14.0		9.2	3.9	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		100.0%	69.7%	30.3%	1.2		0.3	0.1																	100.0%
17-1	1.2%		100.0%	47.9%	52.1%	1.5		0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-2	2.5%		100.0%	45.1%	54.9%	1.9		1.0	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-3	4.7%		100.0%	35.1%	64.9%	2.7		0.8	1.5	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-4	6.7%		100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	3.7		0.4	1.2	1.6	1.7	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.9%
13-5	8.6%		99.5%	21.5%	78.0%	5.0		0.1	0.5	1.4	1.8	1.6	1.4	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.4%
12-6	10.5%		97.3%	16.3%	81.0%	6.2		0.0	0.1	0.7	1.2	1.9	2.0	1.7	1.2	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0				0.3		96.8%
11-7	11.1%		91.5%	10.1%	81.4%	7.6			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.5	1.9	1.9	1.4	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0				0.9		90.5%
10-8	11.3%		77.5%	6.0%	71.5%	8.7				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.9	1.6	1.7	1.2	0.3	0.0				2.5		76.1%
9-9	10.3%		55.3%	5.5%	49.8%	9.5				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.0	1.2	1.4	0.4	0.0				4.6		52.7%
8-10	9.7%		23.7%	2.4%	21.4%	9.9						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.4		21.9%
7-11	7.9%		8.0%	1.7%	6.2%	10.4							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1					7.3		6.4%
6-12	6.2%		1.7%	0.7%	1.0%	10.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				6.1		1.0%
5-13	4.1%		1.3%	1.1%	0.2%	11.3										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				4.1		0.2%
4-14	2.5%		0.3%	0.3%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	2.5
3-15	1.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		61.9%	11.8%	50.2%	6.3		3.2	4.8	5.8	6.1	6.0	6.2	6.4	6.8	5.5	5.4	4.4	1.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	38.1		56.8%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	1.1	94.2	5.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	95.2	4.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0