Preseason Rankings
Georgetown
Big East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#54
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.2#18
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#26
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#95
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.3% 3.4% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 9.6% 9.8% 1.9%
Top 6 Seed 17.6% 18.1% 3.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.9% 45.9% 16.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.2% 42.1% 14.9%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 8.1
.500 or above 68.8% 69.8% 39.3%
.500 or above in Conference 49.1% 49.7% 31.0%
Conference Champion 6.4% 6.6% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 10.6% 18.9%
First Four3.7% 3.7% 2.1%
First Round43.0% 43.9% 15.4%
Second Round25.0% 25.6% 6.7%
Sweet Sixteen10.5% 10.8% 1.8%
Elite Eight4.0% 4.1% 0.6%
Final Four1.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 96.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 12
Quad 35 - 113 - 13
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 287   Mount St. Mary's W 88-68 97%    
  Nov 10, 2019 284   Central Arkansas W 94-74 97%    
  Nov 14, 2019 43   Penn St. W 79-77 57%    
  Nov 17, 2019 162   Georgia St. W 88-75 87%    
  Nov 21, 2019 24   Texas L 73-76 39%    
  Nov 30, 2019 96   UNC Greensboro W 81-73 77%    
  Dec 04, 2019 49   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-79 39%    
  Dec 07, 2019 89   @ SMU W 76-75 54%    
  Dec 14, 2019 59   Syracuse W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 17, 2019 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-65 91%    
  Dec 22, 2019 142   Samford W 89-77 84%    
  Dec 28, 2019 184   American W 85-71 89%    
  Dec 31, 2019 36   @ Providence L 75-80 35%    
  Jan 03, 2020 17   @ Seton Hall L 77-84 27%    
  Jan 08, 2020 93   St. John's W 87-79 74%    
  Jan 11, 2020 11   @ Villanova L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 15, 2020 37   Creighton W 82-81 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 27   Marquette W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 22, 2020 23   @ Xavier L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 28, 2020 56   Butler W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 02, 2020 93   @ St. John's W 84-82 57%    
  Feb 05, 2020 17   Seton Hall L 80-81 47%    
  Feb 08, 2020 97   DePaul W 87-79 75%    
  Feb 15, 2020 56   @ Butler L 76-79 42%    
  Feb 19, 2020 36   Providence W 78-77 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 97   @ DePaul W 84-82 58%    
  Feb 26, 2020 27   @ Marquette L 79-85 33%    
  Mar 01, 2020 23   Xavier L 77-78 50%    
  Mar 04, 2020 37   @ Creighton L 79-84 35%    
  Mar 07, 2020 11   Villanova L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 6.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.8 3.3 1.0 0.1 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.9 5.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.1 4.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.0 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 6.7 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.6 5.6 7.5 9.3 10.8 11.2 11.2 10.0 8.9 7.1 5.1 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.9% 1.0    0.9 0.1
15-3 80.4% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 50.8% 1.6    0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 25.4% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 51.5% 48.5% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 45.6% 54.4% 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.0% 100.0% 42.7% 57.3% 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.0% 100.0% 32.8% 67.2% 2.7 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.2% 99.9% 22.6% 77.4% 3.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-5 5.1% 99.5% 19.0% 80.5% 5.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 7.1% 96.5% 11.3% 85.2% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 96.1%
11-7 8.9% 89.1% 8.7% 80.4% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 88.0%
10-8 10.0% 77.3% 6.5% 70.8% 8.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.3 75.7%
9-9 11.2% 55.6% 4.7% 50.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.0 53.3%
8-10 11.2% 27.8% 2.5% 25.2% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 8.1 25.9%
7-11 10.8% 9.7% 1.4% 8.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.7 8.4%
6-12 9.3% 1.6% 0.4% 1.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.2 1.2%
5-13 7.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4 0.1%
4-14 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
3-15 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 44.9% 6.3% 38.6% 7.1 1.1 2.2 2.8 3.5 3.7 4.4 5.3 5.7 5.6 4.8 4.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.1 41.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.8 25.0 75.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0