Preseason Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#147
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.9#255
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#140
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 10.4% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.8 12.6 13.5
.500 or above 60.7% 72.9% 47.7%
.500 or above in Conference 56.6% 64.3% 48.2%
Conference Champion 8.3% 11.1% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 4.8% 10.3%
First Four0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round7.5% 10.0% 4.9%
Second Round1.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Home) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 67 - 12
Quad 410 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 114   Northern Iowa W 66-65 52%    
  Nov 12, 2019 35   @ Iowa St. L 66-79 11%    
  Nov 15, 2019 348   Coppin St. W 81-63 95%    
  Nov 18, 2019 260   Longwood W 75-66 79%    
  Nov 20, 2019 283   @ Western Illinois W 73-68 67%    
  Nov 23, 2019 324   @ SIU Edwardsville W 77-69 78%    
  Nov 25, 2019 201   Oakland W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 05, 2019 19   @ St. Mary's L 59-74 9%    
  Dec 07, 2019 266   @ UC Davis W 68-64 62%    
  Dec 16, 2019 72   @ Pittsburgh L 65-74 21%    
  Dec 19, 2019 351   @ Chicago St. W 81-66 91%    
  Dec 21, 2019 167   Green Bay W 81-77 64%    
  Jan 04, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 07, 2020 154   @ Central Michigan L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 11, 2020 222   Eastern Michigan W 67-60 73%    
  Jan 14, 2020 132   Akron W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 18, 2020 108   @ Bowling Green L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 21, 2020 129   @ Kent St. L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 25, 2020 231   Western Michigan W 76-68 75%    
  Jan 28, 2020 217   Ohio W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 01, 2020 150   Miami (OH) W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 04, 2020 112   @ Toledo L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 08, 2020 129   Kent St. W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 11, 2020 120   @ Ball St. L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 15, 2020 150   @ Miami (OH) L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 154   Central Michigan W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 25, 2020 222   @ Eastern Michigan W 64-63 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 231   @ Western Michigan W 73-71 56%    
  Mar 03, 2020 112   Toledo W 70-69 50%    
  Mar 06, 2020 120   Ball St. W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 8.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.2 1.6 0.2 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 4.6 2.3 0.2 9.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 4.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.2 6.0 8.2 9.5 11.2 11.1 10.9 9.8 8.6 6.4 4.8 2.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 94.2% 1.6    1.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.6% 2.0    1.4 0.6 0.0
14-4 49.5% 2.4    1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 20.4% 1.3    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 71.8% 46.5% 25.3% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.3%
17-1 0.6% 59.7% 40.4% 19.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 32.4%
16-2 1.7% 48.6% 33.8% 14.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 22.3%
15-3 2.6% 34.8% 29.3% 5.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 7.7%
14-4 4.8% 21.5% 20.3% 1.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 1.6%
13-5 6.4% 16.1% 15.9% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.4 0.2%
12-6 8.6% 13.9% 13.8% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 0.2%
11-7 9.8% 8.9% 8.9% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.0
10-8 10.9% 6.4% 6.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.2
9-9 11.1% 3.4% 3.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.8
8-10 11.2% 2.0% 2.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.0
7-11 9.5% 1.1% 1.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.4
6-12 8.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2
5-13 6.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 4.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
1-17 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.8% 7.1% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.2 92.2 0.7%