Preseason Rankings
Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#161
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.8#39
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.2% 32.3% 22.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 84.1% 92.4% 77.1%
.500 or above in Conference 88.9% 93.3% 85.2%
Conference Champion 36.6% 44.4% 29.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.4% 1.5%
First Four3.1% 1.8% 4.2%
First Round25.9% 31.5% 21.1%
Second Round2.3% 3.4% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 45.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 416 - 519 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 189   @ La Salle L 78-79 46%    
  Nov 13, 2019 217   Ohio W 82-76 72%    
  Nov 22, 2019 336   Stetson W 87-75 86%    
  Nov 23, 2019 320   Kennesaw St. W 83-73 81%    
  Dec 04, 2019 73   @ Connecticut L 75-85 19%    
  Dec 17, 2019 143   Princeton L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 29, 2019 40   @ Colorado L 70-84 11%    
  Jan 03, 2020 307   St. Peter's W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 05, 2020 239   @ Monmouth W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 10, 2020 180   @ Rider L 86-87 44%    
  Jan 12, 2020 315   Niagara W 89-77 85%    
  Jan 17, 2020 288   Fairfield W 82-72 80%    
  Jan 19, 2020 328   @ Marist W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 24, 2020 295   Canisius W 84-73 81%    
  Jan 26, 2020 239   Monmouth W 79-72 72%    
  Jan 31, 2020 251   Siena W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 02, 2020 259   @ Manhattan W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 07, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac W 80-78 58%    
  Feb 09, 2020 288   @ Fairfield W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 14, 2020 259   Manhattan W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 16, 2020 328   Marist W 79-66 86%    
  Feb 19, 2020 251   @ Siena W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 21, 2020 180   Rider W 89-84 64%    
  Feb 27, 2020 295   @ Canisius W 81-76 65%    
  Feb 29, 2020 315   @ Niagara W 86-80 69%    
  Mar 04, 2020 256   Quinnipiac W 83-75 75%    
  Mar 06, 2020 307   @ St. Peter's W 72-67 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 7.8 8.2 7.3 4.3 1.8 36.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.5 5.7 3.5 1.4 0.2 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.5 3.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.0 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.9 3.9 5.4 7.0 8.6 10.2 11.0 12.0 11.5 9.6 7.5 4.3 1.8 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.8    1.8
19-1 100.0% 4.3    4.2 0.0
18-2 97.3% 7.3    6.7 0.6 0.0
17-3 85.5% 8.2    6.8 1.3 0.0
16-4 68.2% 7.8    5.3 2.3 0.3 0.0
15-5 41.0% 4.9    2.3 2.0 0.6 0.0
14-6 17.4% 1.9    0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 36.6% 36.6 27.7 7.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.8% 74.6% 73.9% 0.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.5%
19-1 4.3% 62.6% 61.8% 0.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.6 2.0%
18-2 7.5% 53.0% 52.9% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.5 0.2%
17-3 9.6% 44.3% 44.3% 14.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.2 5.3
16-4 11.5% 37.1% 37.1% 14.5 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 0.5 7.2
15-5 12.0% 31.5% 31.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.0 8.2
14-6 11.0% 22.5% 22.5% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 8.6
13-7 10.2% 18.4% 18.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 8.3
12-8 8.6% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.4
11-9 7.0% 9.4% 9.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.4
10-10 5.4% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 5.0
9-11 3.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.7
8-12 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.8
7-13 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
6-14 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-15 0.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-16 0.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 27.2% 27.1% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 4.3 6.8 7.6 6.3 72.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 7.3 6.7 0.5 29.2 11.0 15.3 0.5 9.1 7.2 13.4 7.2