Preseason Rankings
Maine
America East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#333
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.0#330
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#337
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 5.4% 9.0% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 18.8% 24.4% 13.3%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 27.0% 20.8% 33.2%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 49.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 47 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 304   Merrimack L 65-66 50%    
  Nov 10, 2019 69   @ Harvard L 55-77 2%    
  Nov 16, 2019 285   @ Portland L 62-69 25%    
  Nov 19, 2019 44   @ Washington L 52-77 1%    
  Nov 27, 2019 10   @ Virginia L 42-73 0.3%   
  Dec 01, 2019 73   @ Connecticut L 57-79 3%    
  Dec 04, 2019 130   @ Northeastern L 58-74 8%    
  Dec 07, 2019 342   @ Central Connecticut St. L 67-68 47%    
  Dec 11, 2019 193   Dartmouth L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 15, 2019 256   Quinnipiac L 66-69 40%    
  Dec 20, 2019 237   @ Massachusetts L 61-71 19%    
  Dec 29, 2019 183   @ Hawaii L 58-71 14%    
  Jan 02, 2020 173   Columbia L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 05, 2020 196   Stony Brook L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 08, 2020 334   @ New Hampshire L 59-62 40%    
  Jan 11, 2020 178   @ Albany L 59-72 13%    
  Jan 15, 2020 263   Umass Lowell L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 19, 2020 339   Binghamton W 66-62 64%    
  Jan 22, 2020 84   Vermont L 56-71 11%    
  Jan 25, 2020 206   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 56-68 17%    
  Feb 01, 2020 321   Hartford W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 05, 2020 84   @ Vermont L 53-74 4%    
  Feb 08, 2020 339   @ Binghamton L 63-65 44%    
  Feb 12, 2020 263   @ Umass Lowell L 67-76 24%    
  Feb 16, 2020 178   Albany L 62-69 28%    
  Feb 22, 2020 196   @ Stony Brook L 60-72 16%    
  Feb 26, 2020 334   New Hampshire W 62-59 61%    
  Feb 29, 2020 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59-65 32%    
  Mar 03, 2020 321   @ Hartford L 64-68 37%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.6 0.9 0.1 7.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.9 3.5 0.9 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.4 4.0 0.7 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 6.1 8.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 19.4 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 6.8 6.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 19.4 8th
9th 1.7 4.7 6.3 4.1 1.2 0.1 18.1 9th
Total 1.7 5.0 8.9 12.1 14.9 14.7 13.4 10.4 7.6 5.1 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 60.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 44.7% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 14.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 5.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 51.6% 51.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 40.4% 40.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.3% 8.3% 8.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 0.9% 11.4% 11.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
11-5 1.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6
10-6 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1
9-7 5.1% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.9
8-8 7.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.5
7-9 10.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.3
6-10 13.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.4
5-11 14.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.6
4-12 14.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.8
3-13 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
2-14 8.9% 8.9
1-15 5.0% 5.0
0-16 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%