Preseason Rankings
Tulsa
American Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#100
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#133
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#122
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#100
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 10.5% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.1% 7.6% 1.4%
Average Seed 9.6 9.6 10.5
.500 or above 65.6% 68.1% 37.2%
.500 or above in Conference 46.0% 47.5% 28.8%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 5.9% 14.3%
First Four2.5% 2.7% 0.4%
First Round8.6% 9.1% 2.7%
Second Round3.4% 3.6% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Home) - 91.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 23 - 54 - 11
Quad 35 - 39 - 14
Quad 49 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 292   Houston Baptist W 90-75 92%    
  Nov 09, 2019 135   @ Texas Arlington L 69-70 49%    
  Nov 12, 2019 205   Oral Roberts W 80-70 82%    
  Nov 16, 2019 211   Austin Peay W 80-70 83%    
  Nov 20, 2019 299   SE Louisiana W 75-60 91%    
  Nov 27, 2019 323   South Carolina St. W 83-65 94%    
  Nov 30, 2019 124   @ Vanderbilt L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 04, 2019 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-57 97%    
  Dec 07, 2019 271   Arkansas St. W 81-67 88%    
  Dec 11, 2019 90   Boise St. W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 14, 2019 57   @ Arkansas L 73-81 25%    
  Dec 21, 2019 179   Colorado St. W 76-70 69%    
  Dec 29, 2019 50   @ Kansas St. L 60-69 23%    
  Jan 03, 2020 83   Temple W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 08, 2020 29   @ Cincinnati L 61-72 18%    
  Jan 11, 2020 32   Houston L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 15, 2020 203   @ East Carolina W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 18, 2020 242   @ Tulane W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 22, 2020 26   Memphis L 78-83 33%    
  Jan 26, 2020 73   @ Connecticut L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 01, 2020 58   Wichita St. L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 06, 2020 73   Connecticut W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 09, 2020 94   @ Central Florida L 66-69 39%    
  Feb 12, 2020 203   East Carolina W 78-68 80%    
  Feb 15, 2020 79   @ South Florida L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 19, 2020 32   @ Houston L 64-75 20%    
  Feb 22, 2020 89   SMU W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 25, 2020 242   Tulane W 80-68 84%    
  Feb 29, 2020 94   Central Florida W 69-66 59%    
  Mar 04, 2020 83   @ Temple L 71-76 34%    
  Mar 08, 2020 58   @ Wichita St. L 67-75 27%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.9 1.6 0.3 8.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 4.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.2 3.7 0.5 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.0 4.0 0.8 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 4.0 1.0 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.1 3.0 0.8 0.1 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.7 5.8 7.8 9.6 12.0 12.7 11.8 10.1 8.5 6.0 4.5 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 93.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 64.3% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.1
14-4 35.8% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 34.3% 65.7% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 99.4% 26.4% 73.0% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
16-2 0.6% 93.3% 33.9% 59.3% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.8%
15-3 1.4% 85.7% 19.3% 66.4% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 82.3%
14-4 2.8% 72.1% 17.8% 54.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 66.1%
13-5 4.5% 47.3% 11.8% 35.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.4 40.2%
12-6 6.0% 24.4% 6.6% 17.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 4.6 19.1%
11-7 8.5% 12.9% 4.1% 8.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 7.4 9.2%
10-8 10.1% 6.4% 2.7% 3.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.4 3.8%
9-9 11.8% 2.7% 1.7% 1.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5 1.1%
8-10 12.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.2%
7-11 12.0% 0.3% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 9.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
5-13 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 5.8% 5.8
3-15 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.9% 3.0% 6.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.6 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 90.1 7.1%