Preseason Rankings
Temple
American Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#83
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#123
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#83
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#91
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 4.1% 4.5% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.8% 24.1% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.6% 19.7% 6.9%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.9
.500 or above 63.8% 66.3% 37.2%
.500 or above in Conference 61.9% 63.6% 44.3%
Conference Champion 6.7% 7.1% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 3.2% 7.6%
First Four5.5% 5.8% 2.3%
First Round19.7% 20.8% 7.4%
Second Round9.4% 10.0% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 3.2% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 45 - 11
Quad 35 - 211 - 13
Quad 46 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 254   Drexel W 84-69 91%    
  Nov 09, 2019 329   Morgan St. W 88-68 97%    
  Nov 16, 2019 189   @ La Salle W 76-71 69%    
  Nov 22, 2019 64   @ USC L 74-79 33%    
  Nov 28, 2019 9   Maryland L 67-77 19%    
  Dec 07, 2019 53   Missouri L 69-70 50%    
  Dec 10, 2019 221   Saint Joseph's W 80-67 87%    
  Dec 17, 2019 63   Miami (FL) L 72-74 42%    
  Dec 21, 2019 180   Rider W 87-76 83%    
  Dec 31, 2019 94   @ Central Florida L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 03, 2020 100   @ Tulsa L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 07, 2020 32   Houston L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 11, 2020 242   Tulane W 82-68 88%    
  Jan 15, 2020 58   Wichita St. W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 18, 2020 89   @ SMU L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 22, 2020 29   Cincinnati L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 25, 2020 98   @ Penn L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 29, 2020 73   @ Connecticut L 73-77 38%    
  Feb 01, 2020 203   East Carolina W 80-68 84%    
  Feb 05, 2020 26   @ Memphis L 78-87 23%    
  Feb 08, 2020 89   SMU W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 12, 2020 242   @ Tulane W 79-71 74%    
  Feb 16, 2020 11   Villanova L 66-73 29%    
  Feb 20, 2020 73   Connecticut W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 23, 2020 203   @ East Carolina W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 27, 2020 58   @ Wichita St. L 69-75 32%    
  Mar 01, 2020 79   South Florida W 73-70 58%    
  Mar 04, 2020 100   Tulsa W 76-71 66%    
  Mar 07, 2020 29   @ Cincinnati L 63-72 23%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 6.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.6 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.8 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.3 3.0 0.8 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 2.7 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.1 7.2 8.9 10.8 11.8 12.2 10.8 9.2 7.6 5.3 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.4% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 88.0% 1.4    1.1 0.2 0.0
15-3 66.2% 1.9    1.1 0.7 0.1
14-4 35.5% 1.9    0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 10.0% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 3.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 44.0% 56.0% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 99.9% 47.2% 52.7% 3.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
16-2 1.5% 97.5% 28.3% 69.2% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.5%
15-3 2.9% 93.1% 19.8% 73.3% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 91.4%
14-4 5.3% 81.6% 16.6% 65.0% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 77.9%
13-5 7.6% 63.6% 12.5% 51.1% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.8 58.4%
12-6 9.2% 42.6% 6.8% 35.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.0 5.3 38.4%
11-7 10.8% 24.8% 5.2% 19.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 20.7%
10-8 12.2% 12.0% 3.4% 8.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.7 8.8%
9-9 11.8% 4.1% 1.3% 2.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.3 2.8%
8-10 10.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 0.4%
7-11 8.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9 0.2%
6-12 7.2% 0.3% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
5-13 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 1.7
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 22.8% 5.1% 17.7% 9.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.5 5.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 77.2 18.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.5 50.0 50.0