Preseason Rankings
Connecticut
American Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#73
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.4#105
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#66
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#92
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 5.2% 5.5% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.1% 27.6% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.9% 22.2% 7.2%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.5
.500 or above 74.2% 76.8% 45.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.1% 61.9% 40.7%
Conference Champion 7.6% 8.0% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 2.9% 7.4%
First Four5.6% 5.9% 2.5%
First Round23.3% 24.6% 8.9%
Second Round11.7% 12.4% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.0% 4.2% 1.7%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.5% 0.7%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 91.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 23 - 45 - 10
Quad 35 - 211 - 12
Quad 48 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 249   Sacred Heart W 88-73 92%    
  Nov 13, 2019 221   Saint Joseph's W 82-68 89%    
  Nov 17, 2019 7   Florida L 65-72 26%    
  Nov 21, 2019 104   Buffalo W 83-80 61%    
  Dec 01, 2019 333   Maine W 79-57 97%    
  Dec 04, 2019 161   Iona W 85-75 81%    
  Dec 10, 2019 47   Indiana L 71-74 40%    
  Dec 18, 2019 307   St. Peter's W 75-56 95%    
  Dec 22, 2019 334   New Hampshire W 78-56 97%    
  Dec 29, 2019 175   NJIT W 78-67 83%    
  Jan 01, 2020 29   @ Cincinnati L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 04, 2020 79   @ South Florida L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 08, 2020 242   Tulane W 84-69 89%    
  Jan 12, 2020 58   Wichita St. W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 11   @ Villanova L 64-76 16%    
  Jan 23, 2020 32   @ Houston L 67-75 26%    
  Jan 26, 2020 100   Tulsa W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 29, 2020 83   Temple W 77-73 62%    
  Feb 01, 2020 26   @ Memphis L 79-87 25%    
  Feb 06, 2020 100   @ Tulsa L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 09, 2020 29   Cincinnati L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 12, 2020 89   @ SMU L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 16, 2020 26   Memphis L 82-84 43%    
  Feb 20, 2020 83   @ Temple L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 23, 2020 79   South Florida W 74-70 61%    
  Feb 26, 2020 94   Central Florida W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 29, 2020 203   @ East Carolina W 78-71 71%    
  Mar 05, 2020 32   Houston L 70-72 43%    
  Mar 08, 2020 242   @ Tulane W 81-72 76%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.5 2.4 0.7 0.1 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.3 2.5 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.9 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 3.0 0.8 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.9 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 0.7 2.0 3.4 5.5 7.8 9.2 10.9 11.5 11.7 10.6 8.9 7.4 4.9 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 92.7% 1.4    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 75.1% 2.2    1.4 0.7 0.1
14-4 41.0% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 14.5% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 52.1% 47.9% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 100.0% 40.7% 59.3% 3.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.5% 99.3% 33.6% 65.8% 4.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
15-3 2.9% 95.5% 26.1% 69.4% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.9%
14-4 4.9% 89.3% 22.7% 66.5% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 86.1%
13-5 7.4% 73.8% 17.0% 56.7% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 1.9 68.4%
12-6 8.9% 54.0% 11.0% 43.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.7 0.6 0.0 4.1 48.4%
11-7 10.6% 31.9% 6.4% 25.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.2 27.2%
10-8 11.7% 16.5% 3.9% 12.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.7 13.1%
9-9 11.5% 6.9% 2.5% 4.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 10.7 4.5%
8-10 10.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.7%
7-11 9.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.2%
6-12 7.8% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8
5-13 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
4-14 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 26.1% 6.6% 19.5% 8.8 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.3 4.0 6.1 2.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 73.9 20.9%