Preseason Rankings
Yale
Ivy League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#144
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.2#48
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#199
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 13.8% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.5
.500 or above 44.8% 57.7% 31.2%
.500 or above in Conference 61.0% 67.8% 53.8%
Conference Champion 11.3% 14.3% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 5.6% 11.1%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
First Round10.8% 13.5% 8.0%
Second Round1.7% 2.4% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 51.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 32 - 8
Quad 35 - 56 - 12
Quad 47 - 213 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 196   @ Stony Brook W 77-76 51%    
  Nov 11, 2019 111   @ San Francisco L 73-79 30%    
  Nov 17, 2019 49   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-81 14%    
  Nov 20, 2019 251   Siena W 72-63 80%    
  Nov 23, 2019 43   @ Penn St. L 69-82 13%    
  Nov 25, 2019 231   Western Michigan W 80-75 67%    
  Dec 01, 2019 84   Vermont L 72-74 42%    
  Dec 04, 2019 178   @ Albany L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 07, 2019 227   @ Lehigh W 84-82 56%    
  Dec 11, 2019 237   @ Massachusetts W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 22, 2019 81   @ Clemson L 67-76 23%    
  Dec 30, 2019 5   @ North Carolina L 77-98 4%    
  Jan 17, 2020 171   Brown W 82-77 65%    
  Jan 20, 2020 337   @ Howard W 87-77 80%    
  Jan 24, 2020 171   @ Brown L 79-80 46%    
  Jan 31, 2020 173   Columbia W 81-76 65%    
  Feb 01, 2020 282   Cornell W 82-71 82%    
  Feb 07, 2020 69   Harvard L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 193   Dartmouth W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 14, 2020 143   @ Princeton L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 15, 2020 98   @ Penn L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 21, 2020 282   @ Cornell W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 22, 2020 173   @ Columbia L 78-79 45%    
  Feb 28, 2020 98   Penn L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 143   Princeton W 76-73 60%    
  Mar 06, 2020 193   @ Dartmouth W 76-75 49%    
  Mar 07, 2020 69   @ Harvard L 71-81 21%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.6 3.1 1.4 0.4 11.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.1 5.8 2.6 0.4 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 7.0 5.3 1.3 0.1 16.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 7.6 4.8 0.7 0.0 16.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.4 2.6 0.1 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.7 1.7 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.8 8th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.7 7.8 10.5 12.7 14.3 13.9 11.8 9.3 6.3 3.6 1.4 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
12-2 87.6% 3.1    2.5 0.6 0.0
11-3 57.4% 3.6    1.8 1.6 0.3 0.0
10-4 23.2% 2.2    0.5 1.1 0.5 0.1
9-5 5.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 6.5 3.6 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 83.9% 60.7% 23.2% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 59.0%
13-1 1.4% 59.3% 50.6% 8.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 17.7%
12-2 3.6% 45.0% 38.0% 7.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 11.3%
11-3 6.3% 28.7% 26.1% 2.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.5 3.5%
10-4 9.3% 24.4% 23.7% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.0 0.8%
9-5 11.8% 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 9.7 0.0%
8-6 13.9% 11.0% 11.0% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 12.4 0.1%
7-7 14.3% 3.5% 3.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 13.8
6-8 12.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
5-9 10.5% 10.5
4-10 7.8% 7.8
3-11 4.7% 4.7
2-12 2.3% 2.3
1-13 0.9% 0.9
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 11.1% 10.4% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.4 2.6 2.3 1.5 0.5 88.9 0.8%