Preseason Rankings
Lehigh
Patriot League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.9#28
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#152
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#293
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 8.7% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 30.5% 38.7% 15.9%
.500 or above in Conference 53.2% 59.2% 42.4%
Conference Champion 7.9% 9.8% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 7.7% 14.3%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 1.3%
First Round6.8% 8.2% 4.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 64.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 74 - 12
Quad 49 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 239   Monmouth W 78-74 64%    
  Nov 09, 2019 178   @ Albany L 74-79 32%    
  Nov 16, 2019 85   @ Virginia Tech L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 21, 2019 145   @ Drake L 76-84 25%    
  Nov 23, 2019 19   @ St. Mary's L 63-83 4%    
  Nov 30, 2019 173   @ Columbia L 77-83 30%    
  Dec 04, 2019 248   @ St. Francis (PA) L 80-82 43%    
  Dec 07, 2019 144   Yale L 82-84 44%    
  Dec 21, 2019 25   @ Auburn L 71-90 5%    
  Dec 29, 2019 143   @ Princeton L 72-80 26%    
  Jan 02, 2020 267   @ Navy L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 05, 2020 209   Loyola Maryland W 82-80 58%    
  Jan 08, 2020 200   @ Boston University L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 184   American W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 15, 2020 267   Navy W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 18, 2020 159   @ Bucknell L 78-85 28%    
  Jan 22, 2020 312   @ Holy Cross W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 25, 2020 261   Lafayette W 84-79 65%    
  Jan 27, 2020 184   @ American L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 244   Army W 81-77 63%    
  Feb 05, 2020 127   Colgate L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 261   @ Lafayette L 81-82 46%    
  Feb 12, 2020 312   Holy Cross W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 15, 2020 244   @ Army L 78-80 43%    
  Feb 19, 2020 127   @ Colgate L 74-83 22%    
  Feb 23, 2020 159   Bucknell L 81-82 47%    
  Feb 26, 2020 200   Boston University W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 29, 2020 209   @ Loyola Maryland L 79-83 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.0 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 4.1 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 3.3 0.7 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 2.9 1.5 0.2 8.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.9 5.2 7.0 8.9 9.9 10.7 11.6 10.5 9.2 7.9 6.0 3.8 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 97.6% 1.3    1.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 80.1% 1.9    1.3 0.5 0.0
14-4 53.1% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 25.4% 1.5    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.9 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 66.9% 65.7% 1.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3%
17-1 0.6% 45.0% 43.5% 1.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7%
16-2 1.3% 42.1% 41.4% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.2%
15-3 2.3% 31.6% 31.2% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 0.5%
14-4 3.8% 25.4% 25.4% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.8
13-5 6.0% 18.5% 18.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 4.9
12-6 7.9% 12.4% 12.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 6.9
11-7 9.2% 8.8% 8.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 8.4
10-8 10.5% 6.7% 6.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.8
9-9 11.6% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.0
8-10 10.7% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.4
7-11 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.8
6-12 8.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.8
5-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-15 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.3% 7.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.1 2.2 92.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%