IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.1	#193
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.7	#268
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#175

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#232

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.7%	8.3%	3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.7%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.1	14.1

.500 or above	44.3%	68.1%	38.7%
.500 or above in Conference	38.4%	52.3%	35.1%
Conference Champion	4.7%	8.9%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	19.6%	12.7%	21.2%

First Four	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
First Round	4.5%	8.0%	3.7%
Second Round	0.5%	1.2%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Away) - 19.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 3	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	104	@ Buffalo	L	74-83	19%
Nov 11, 2019	257	Florida Gulf Coast	W	74-68	72%
Nov 15, 2019	304	Merrimack	W	73-67	71%
Nov 16, 2019	298	Jacksonville	W	77-71	70%
Nov 17, 2019	263	@ Umass Lowell	W	77-76	53%
Nov 30, 2019	108	@ Bowling Green	L	70-79	22%
Dec 03, 2019	162	@ Georgia St.	L	71-76	34%
Dec 06, 2019	79	@ South Florida	L	63-75	15%
Dec 11, 2019	333	@ Maine	W	69-63	71%
Dec 14, 2019	200	@ Boston University	L	70-73	41%
Dec 18, 2019	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	79-65	89%
Dec 21, 2019	314	Bryant	W	78-68	80%
Dec 30, 2019	334	@ New Hampshire	W	68-62	71%
Jan 02, 2020	84	Vermont	L	65-70	33%
Jan 18, 2020	69	@ Harvard	L	64-77	14%
Jan 25, 2020	69	Harvard	L	67-74	28%
Jan 31, 2020	143	@ Princeton	L	66-72	30%
Feb 01, 2020	98	@ Penn	L	65-75	22%
Feb 07, 2020	171	@ Brown	L	71-76	36%
Feb 08, 2020	144	@ Yale	L	73-79	31%
Feb 14, 2020	173	Columbia	W	74-72	56%
Feb 15, 2020	282	Cornell	W	75-67	74%
Feb 21, 2020	98	Penn	L	68-72	40%
Feb 22, 2020	143	Princeton	L	68-69	49%
Feb 28, 2020	282	@ Cornell	W	72-70	56%
Feb 29, 2020	173	@ Columbia	L	71-75	36%
Mar 06, 2020	144	Yale	L	75-76	51%
Mar 07, 2020	171	Brown	W	74-73	55%
Projected Record						13 - 15	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.3	1.2	1.6	1.0	0.4	0.1		4.7	1st
2nd								0.1	1.2	3.0	2.8	0.9	0.1				8.1	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.2	5.1	3.2	0.6	0.0					11.3	3rd
4th						0.2	2.8	6.9	3.1	0.5	0.0						13.5	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	3.9	7.3	3.5	0.3	0.0							15.5	5th
6th			0.0	0.9	4.9	7.8	3.1	0.3	0.0								17.0	6th
7th		0.2	2.2	6.2	6.7	2.4	0.2										17.7	7th
8th	0.9	3.1	4.5	2.9	0.8	0.1											12.3	8th

Total	0.9	3.3	6.7	9.9	13.0	14.4	13.5	12.9	9.7	7.0	4.6	2.6	1.1	0.4	0.1			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
12-2	90.5%	1.0		0.8	0.2	0.0
11-3	63.5%	1.6		0.9	0.6	0.1
10-4	25.7%	1.2		0.4	0.5	0.3	0.0
9-5	4.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.6	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		50.0%	22.8%	27.2%	8.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		35.2%
13-1	0.4%		43.0%	41.7%	1.3%	11.8								0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		2.2%
12-2	1.1%		41.3%	34.4%	6.9%	12.4										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.7		10.5%
11-3	2.6%		25.6%	24.5%	1.1%	13.0										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.9		1.5%
10-4	4.6%		20.4%	20.2%	0.2%	13.6												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	3.7		0.2%
9-5	7.0%		13.5%	13.5%		14.1												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	6.1
8-6	9.7%		8.1%	8.1%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	8.9
7-7	12.9%		4.4%	4.4%		14.9														0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	12.3
6-8	13.5%		0.7%	0.7%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.4
5-9	14.4%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		14.4
4-10	13.0%																							13.0
3-11	9.9%																							9.9
2-12	6.7%																							6.7
1-13	3.3%																							3.3
0-14	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		4.7%	4.5%	0.1%	13.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.3	0.9	0.6	95.3		0.1%