Colorado St.
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#170
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#54
Pace68.0#229
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#194
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.6% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.0 12.8
.500 or above 41.1% 59.2% 32.0%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 47.6% 32.6%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 2.6% 5.3%
First Four0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
First Round1.4% 2.3% 0.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 33.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 52 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 48 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 300   Denver W 74-63 83%     1 - 0 +0.1 -4.9 +5.0
  Nov 08, 2019 2   @ Duke L 55-89 2%     1 - 1 -10.4 -9.7 +2.3
  Nov 13, 2019 198   Nebraska Omaha W 80-65 67%     2 - 1 +9.9 +3.9 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2019 148   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-68 33%    
  Nov 20, 2019 283   Arkansas St. W 77-68 80%    
  Nov 25, 2019 71   New Mexico St. L 66-74 24%    
  Dec 01, 2019 275   Utah Valley W 76-68 76%    
  Dec 04, 2019 49   San Diego St. L 65-73 25%    
  Dec 07, 2019 104   @ Boise St. L 68-76 25%    
  Dec 10, 2019 202   South Dakota St. W 78-73 67%    
  Dec 13, 2019 35   Colorado L 68-77 20%    
  Dec 21, 2019 124   Tulsa L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 01, 2020 103   @ Nevada L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 04, 2020 290   Wyoming W 65-55 80%    
  Jan 11, 2020 325   @ San Jose St. W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 15, 2020 82   New Mexico L 77-81 36%    
  Jan 18, 2020 178   @ Air Force L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 22, 2020 123   Fresno St. W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 25, 2020 23   @ Utah St. L 63-80 7%    
  Jan 29, 2020 103   Nevada L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 138   UNLV W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 04, 2020 123   @ Fresno St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 11, 2020 23   Utah St. L 66-77 18%    
  Feb 15, 2020 290   @ Wyoming W 62-58 63%    
  Feb 18, 2020 138   @ UNLV L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 22, 2020 325   San Jose St. W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 25, 2020 49   @ San Diego St. L 62-76 12%    
  Feb 29, 2020 178   Air Force W 73-70 62%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.7 4.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.4 6.2 2.3 0.2 14.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 5.8 5.9 2.2 0.2 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.4 6.1 2.0 0.2 17.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.5 5.9 4.4 1.2 0.1 16.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.1 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.6 6.6 9.8 12.7 14.3 13.3 12.8 9.9 7.0 4.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 83.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 62.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 21.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 58.3% 20.8% 37.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 47.4%
15-3 0.4% 29.9% 15.6% 14.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 16.9%
14-4 1.0% 19.5% 13.7% 5.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 6.8%
13-5 2.2% 7.4% 5.5% 1.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0%
12-6 4.2% 5.5% 5.1% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.9 0.4%
11-7 7.0% 3.0% 2.9% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.8 0.1%
10-8 9.9% 2.2% 2.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.7
9-9 12.8% 0.9% 0.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
8-10 13.3% 0.7% 0.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.2
7-11 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
6-12 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 12.7
5-13 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 9.8
4-14 6.6% 6.6
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 98.5 0.2%