Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#334
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#306
Pace84.1#4
Improvement-6.9#350

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#339
First Shot-5.5#315
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#311
Layup/Dunks-2.6#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#117
Freethrows-2.2#321
Improvement-2.3#291

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#279
First Shot-2.6#252
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#273
Layups/Dunks+2.0#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#332
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement-4.6#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.4% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.9% 3.2% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 47.5% 61.7% 30.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.0% 3.7%
First Four4.5% 5.3% 3.5%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 32 - 7
Quad 410 - 1312 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 190   Rider L 84-91 26%     0 - 1 -11.5 -10.4 +0.4
  Nov 08, 2019 60   @ Virginia Tech L 42-74 3%     0 - 2 -20.7 -28.9 +11.1
  Nov 12, 2019 98   @ Loyola Chicago W 76-72 5%     1 - 2 +11.6 +3.1 +8.2
  Nov 15, 2019 188   @ Northern Illinois L 69-81 12%     1 - 3 -10.5 -11.5 +2.8
  Nov 17, 2019 115   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-82 6%     1 - 4 -5.4 -3.7 -1.0
  Nov 19, 2019 160   @ Pacific L 60-64 9%     1 - 5 -0.8 -13.6 +12.9
  Nov 23, 2019 294   Cornell W 68-66 OT 47%     2 - 5 -8.4 -18.1 +9.4
  Nov 26, 2019 266   @ James Madison W 94-78 22%     3 - 5 +12.9 +2.5 +7.7
  Nov 29, 2019 178   @ Montana L 62-69 11%     3 - 6 -4.8 -9.9 +5.4
  Dec 03, 2019 222   @ East Carolina W 85-75 16%     4 - 6 +9.3 +3.6 +4.7
  Dec 10, 2019 104   @ Davidson L 52-88 5%     4 - 7 -28.6 -14.3 -17.1
  Dec 15, 2019 300   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-86 29%     4 - 8 -14.5 -4.8 -8.9
  Dec 21, 2019 85   @ Miami (FL) L 60-91 4%     4 - 9 -21.8 -15.9 -3.5
  Dec 27, 2019 282   @ Mount St. Mary's L 55-79 24%     4 - 10 -28.1 -19.2 -8.7
  Dec 30, 2019 262   @ Fordham L 56-62 21%     4 - 11 -8.7 -12.8 +4.0
  Jan 04, 2020 322   South Carolina St. L 75-79 55%     4 - 12 0 - 1 -16.5 -7.0 -9.6
  Jan 06, 2020 284   Norfolk St. L 59-82 44%     4 - 13 0 - 2 -32.8 -16.4 -16.5
  Jan 11, 2020 301   @ Bethune-Cookman L 80-85 29%     4 - 14 0 - 3 -10.5 -9.0 -0.7
  Jan 13, 2020 318   @ Florida A&M L 54-65 33%     4 - 15 0 - 4 -17.7 -18.7 +1.0
  Jan 18, 2020 296   N.C. A&T W 79-75 47%     5 - 15 1 - 4 -6.6 -7.9 +0.7
  Jan 25, 2020 316   Morgan St. W 78-77 55%    
  Jan 27, 2020 349   Howard W 84-75 81%    
  Feb 01, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 03, 2020 349   @ Howard W 81-77 64%    
  Feb 08, 2020 297   NC Central L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 10, 2020 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-59 86%    
  Feb 15, 2020 322   @ South Carolina St. L 75-79 34%    
  Feb 17, 2020 284   @ Norfolk St. L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 22, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 80-71 80%    
  Feb 29, 2020 316   @ Morgan St. L 75-80 33%    
  Mar 05, 2020 351   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-62 69%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 0.8 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 4.3 3.0 0.1 7.8 4th
5th 0.2 3.8 7.1 0.7 11.7 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 9.0 3.1 0.0 15.4 6th
7th 0.2 3.1 10.3 6.9 0.4 20.8 7th
8th 0.2 3.8 10.4 8.4 1.3 0.0 24.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 4.3 2.6 0.4 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.8 9.0 16.3 22.3 21.4 15.7 7.7 2.3 0.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 63.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 17.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.4% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.1 0.3
11-5 2.3% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 0.3 2.0
10-6 7.7% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.8 6.9
9-7 15.7% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.1 14.6
8-8 21.4% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 1.0 20.4
7-9 22.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.7 21.6
6-10 16.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 15.9
5-11 9.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.9
4-12 3.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
3-13 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 4.5 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%