Fresno St.
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#122
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#170
Pace69.2#191
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#166
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#103
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 8.5% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Average Seed 12.0 11.3 12.4
.500 or above 59.3% 79.0% 54.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.3% 73.1% 58.5%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.9% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.1%
First Four0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round4.1% 8.0% 3.1%
Second Round0.9% 2.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Neutral) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 35 - 47 - 13
Quad 48 - 215 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 12   @ Oregon L 57-71 7%     0 - 1 +4.8 -5.8 +10.6
  Nov 10, 2019 144   Winthrop W 77-74 66%     1 - 1 +1.2 +7.2 -6.0
  Nov 12, 2019 158   @ San Diego L 66-72 OT 48%     1 - 2 -2.9 -10.3 +8.1
  Nov 20, 2019 37   St. Mary's L 60-69 19%    
  Nov 30, 2019 263   @ Cal St. Northridge W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 04, 2019 138   UNLV W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 07, 2019 23   @ Utah St. L 64-77 11%    
  Dec 11, 2019 135   @ California L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 14, 2019 311   @ Cal Poly W 74-65 79%    
  Dec 20, 2019 255   IUPUI W 76-66 83%    
  Dec 23, 2019 107   San Francisco W 71-69 55%    
  Dec 28, 2019 247   UC Riverside W 68-58 81%    
  Jan 01, 2020 49   @ San Diego St. L 63-74 17%    
  Jan 04, 2020 324   San Jose St. W 78-62 92%    
  Jan 07, 2020 82   @ New Mexico L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 14, 2020 49   San Diego St. L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 290   @ Wyoming W 63-56 72%    
  Jan 22, 2020 171   @ Colorado St. W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 25, 2020 105   Boise St. W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 28, 2020 179   @ Air Force W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 82   New Mexico L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 04, 2020 171   Colorado St. W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 08, 2020 138   @ UNLV L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 12, 2020 324   @ San Jose St. W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 15, 2020 23   Utah St. L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 19, 2020 179   Air Force W 73-66 71%    
  Feb 22, 2020 104   @ Nevada L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 290   Wyoming W 66-53 87%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.4 2.1 0.8 0.1 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.3 2.8 0.9 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.0 2.9 0.7 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.4 7.0 3.4 0.4 16.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.5 6.3 2.7 0.3 14.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.2 5.3 2.3 0.3 13.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.9 4.0 1.5 0.2 10.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 3.1 2.8 0.7 0.1 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.9 2.3 4.7 8.1 10.1 12.4 13.7 13.8 12.2 8.7 6.1 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.3% 0.6    0.4 0.2
15-3 59.0% 1.1    0.5 0.6 0.0
14-4 25.2% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 4.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 60.0% 20.0% 40.0% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 50.0%
16-2 0.7% 58.2% 27.0% 31.2% 10.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 42.7%
15-3 1.9% 29.6% 19.2% 10.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.3 12.8%
14-4 4.1% 16.8% 14.7% 2.1% 11.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 3.4 2.5%
13-5 6.1% 11.1% 10.5% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 5.4 0.8%
12-6 8.7% 6.5% 6.5% 12.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.1
11-7 12.2% 3.8% 3.7% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.7 0.1%
10-8 13.8% 2.6% 2.6% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 13.4
9-9 13.7% 1.9% 1.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.5
8-10 12.4% 0.8% 0.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
7-11 10.1% 0.7% 0.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 10.1
6-12 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 8.1
5-13 4.7% 4.7
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 3.7% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 95.7 0.6%