Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#228
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#217
Pace70.9#148
Improvement-0.9#291

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#248
First Shot-4.2#296
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#89
Layup/Dunks+1.5#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#192
Freethrows+0.0#173
Improvement+0.4#108

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#198
First Shot-2.5#243
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#102
Layups/Dunks-1.9#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#231
Freethrows+3.3#34
Improvement-1.3#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 8.0% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.9 14.7
.500 or above 47.5% 78.6% 46.6%
.500 or above in Conference 61.4% 80.9% 60.8%
Conference Champion 3.4% 7.4% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 0.9% 4.6%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round3.4% 8.0% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 42 - 10
Quad 412 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 95   @ SMU L 65-74 14%     0 - 1 -0.9 -2.8 +1.8
  Nov 17, 2019 39   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-93 6%     0 - 2 -13.8 -6.4 -4.4
  Nov 23, 2019 17   @ Purdue L 58-78 3%    
  Nov 29, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 84-67 94%    
  Dec 03, 2019 142   @ George Mason L 67-75 24%    
  Dec 07, 2019 351   @ Alabama A&M W 77-65 87%    
  Dec 11, 2019 303   Troy W 76-68 77%    
  Dec 16, 2019 135   Evansville L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 18, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 68-52 93%    
  Dec 21, 2019 20   @ Tennessee L 62-82 4%    
  Jan 02, 2020 212   @ Morehead St. L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 04, 2020 264   @ Eastern Kentucky L 80-81 46%    
  Jan 09, 2020 117   Murray St. L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 11, 2020 227   Austin Peay W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 16, 2020 191   @ Eastern Illinois L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 328   @ SIU Edwardsville W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 23, 2020 264   Eastern Kentucky W 83-78 66%    
  Jan 25, 2020 212   Morehead St. W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 30, 2020 243   Tennessee St. W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 01, 2020 54   Belmont L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 06, 2020 295   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 285   @ Tennessee Martin W 79-78 51%    
  Feb 13, 2020 323   @ Tennessee Tech W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 15, 2020 54   @ Belmont L 70-86 9%    
  Feb 20, 2020 295   Southeast Missouri St. W 76-69 74%    
  Feb 22, 2020 285   Tennessee Martin W 82-76 70%    
  Feb 27, 2020 243   @ Tennessee St. L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 29, 2020 323   Tennessee Tech W 70-60 80%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.1 2.8 1.4 0.2 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.8 3.5 0.9 0.1 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.3 2.8 0.4 0.1 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.0 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.6 2.2 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.2 0.2 3.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 2.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.2 4.9 7.3 9.4 11.1 12.8 11.9 11.3 9.5 7.4 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 81.2% 0.8    0.5 0.3
15-3 40.4% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1
14-4 18.7% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 5.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 27.3% 27.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 25.1% 25.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 18.3% 18.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
15-3 2.5% 14.7% 14.7% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2
14-4 4.6% 14.6% 14.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.9
13-5 7.4% 12.6% 12.6% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 6.5
12-6 9.5% 5.6% 5.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.0
11-7 11.3% 3.6% 3.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.9
10-8 11.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.7
9-9 12.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.1 0.1 12.7
8-10 11.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.0
7-11 9.4% 9.4
6-12 7.3% 7.3
5-13 4.9% 4.9
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.7 96.5 0.0%