Tennessee
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#19
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#17
Pace68.7#209
Improvement+0.7#87

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#14
First Shot+5.9#46
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#66
Layup/Dunks+0.0#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#85
Freethrows-0.7#201
Improvement+1.9#8

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#55
First Shot+3.8#74
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#100
Layups/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows+3.1#35
Improvement-1.2#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.0%
#1 Seed 5.1% 5.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 12.1% 12.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 31.5% 31.5% 34.3%
Top 6 Seed 50.5% 50.6% 34.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 79.4% 79.5% 49.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 77.0% 77.2% 49.1%
Average Seed 5.6 5.6 5.2
.500 or above 91.3% 91.4% 74.1%
.500 or above in Conference 78.1% 78.1% 85.2%
Conference Champion 13.3% 13.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
First Four3.1% 3.1% 0.0%
First Round78.2% 78.3% 49.1%
Second Round55.7% 55.7% 48.1%
Sweet Sixteen27.9% 28.0% 12.0%
Elite Eight12.7% 12.8% 0.0%
Final Four5.1% 5.1% 0.0%
Championship Game2.2% 2.2% 0.0%
National Champion1.2% 1.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 99.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 10
Quad 34 - 016 - 11
Quad 45 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 279   UNC Asheville W 78-63 97%     1 - 0 +5.7 -3.8 +9.0
  Nov 12, 2019 118   Murray St. W 82-63 89%     2 - 0 +18.8 +13.3 +6.7
  Nov 16, 2019 58   Washington W 75-62 67%     3 - 0 +22.0 +7.9 +13.7
  Nov 20, 2019 320   Alabama St. W 84-57 99%    
  Nov 25, 2019 213   Chattanooga W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 29, 2019 23   Florida St. W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 04, 2019 342   Florida A&M W 85-55 99.8%   
  Dec 14, 2019 16   Memphis W 82-80 59%    
  Dec 18, 2019 22   @ Cincinnati L 69-71 41%    
  Dec 21, 2019 229   Jacksonville St. W 82-62 96%    
  Dec 28, 2019 26   Wisconsin W 67-63 64%    
  Jan 05, 2020 33   LSU W 81-76 67%    
  Jan 07, 2020 47   @ Missouri W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 11, 2020 65   South Carolina W 78-70 77%    
  Jan 15, 2020 69   @ Georgia W 78-76 59%    
  Jan 18, 2020 120   @ Vanderbilt W 76-68 74%    
  Jan 21, 2020 46   Mississippi W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 25, 2020 3   @ Kansas L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 28, 2020 93   Texas A&M W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 01, 2020 56   @ Mississippi St. W 71-70 56%    
  Feb 04, 2020 68   @ Alabama W 81-79 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 6   Kentucky L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 11, 2020 32   Arkansas W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 15, 2020 65   @ South Carolina W 75-73 59%    
  Feb 18, 2020 120   Vanderbilt W 79-65 88%    
  Feb 22, 2020 24   @ Auburn L 74-76 40%    
  Feb 26, 2020 32   @ Arkansas L 73-75 45%    
  Feb 29, 2020 31   Florida W 67-63 64%    
  Mar 03, 2020 6   @ Kentucky L 66-74 23%    
  Mar 07, 2020 24   Auburn W 77-73 61%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.7 3.0 4.2 2.8 1.3 0.2 13.3 1st
2nd 0.5 2.7 5.9 4.5 1.1 0.3 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 5.1 3.6 1.0 0.1 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 4.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.7 4.6 3.8 0.5 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 3.1 4.2 1.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 1.4 3.7 1.5 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.5 1.7 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 2.4 0.7 4.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.1 3.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 2.3 3.8 6.0 8.3 9.7 12.6 13.3 12.4 11.7 8.4 5.4 3.1 1.3 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 89.8% 2.8    2.4 0.4
15-3 77.9% 4.2    3.4 0.7 0.1
14-4 35.5% 3.0    1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 14.5% 1.7    0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 8.7 3.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.3% 100.0% 35.5% 64.5% 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 100.0%
16-2 3.1% 100.0% 46.3% 53.7% 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
15-3 5.4% 100.0% 32.7% 67.3% 2.3 1.4 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 100.0%
14-4 8.4% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 3.0 0.6 2.3 2.4 2.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.7% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 4.2 0.4 1.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 100.0%
12-6 12.4% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 5.2 0.4 1.8 2.4 3.0 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
11-7 13.3% 98.0% 7.2% 90.7% 6.4 0.0 0.6 1.4 2.7 2.6 1.9 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 97.8%
10-8 12.6% 93.8% 3.7% 90.2% 7.6 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.7 1.6 2.1 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.8 93.6%
9-9 9.7% 74.3% 2.2% 72.2% 8.7 0.0 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.2 2.5 73.8%
8-10 8.3% 41.5% 3.5% 38.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.8 39.4%
7-11 6.0% 19.1% 0.2% 18.9% 9.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.0 4.9 18.9%
6-12 3.8% 5.2% 5.2% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.6 5.2%
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 79.4% 10.3% 69.1% 5.6 5.1 7.1 9.3 10.1 10.7 8.3 7.6 7.1 5.5 4.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 20.6 77.0%