Tennessee
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#57
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#65
Pace65.0#294
Improvement-6.0#345

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#97
First Shot+0.8#145
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#54
Layup/Dunks-2.5#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#189
Freethrows+1.8#58
Improvement-3.6#334

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#40
First Shot+2.6#91
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#2
Layups/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#238
Freethrows+1.3#104
Improvement-2.4#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.0% 4.0% 1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.1% 35.4% 19.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.5% 32.7% 17.6%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 76.3% 84.7% 60.2%
.500 or above in Conference 55.2% 65.2% 35.7%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.4% 3.3%
First Four5.4% 6.1% 4.1%
First Round27.3% 32.3% 17.5%
Second Round12.6% 15.3% 7.3%
Sweet Sixteen3.9% 4.8% 2.0%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.9% 0.8%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 65.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 54 - 11
Quad 24 - 48 - 14
Quad 35 - 113 - 15
Quad 45 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 279   UNC Asheville W 78-63 94%     1 - 0 +5.6 -3.4 +8.5
  Nov 12, 2019 125   Murray St. W 82-63 80%     2 - 0 +18.8 +13.8 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2019 45   Washington W 75-62 44%     3 - 0 +23.4 +7.7 +15.3
  Nov 20, 2019 342   Alabama St. W 76-41 98%     4 - 0 +18.6 -4.4 +22.5
  Nov 25, 2019 162   Chattanooga W 58-46 86%     5 - 0 +9.4 -7.6 +19.0
  Nov 29, 2019 14   Florida St. L 57-60 29%     5 - 1 +11.4 -8.3 +19.7
  Nov 30, 2019 44   Virginia Commonwealth W 72-69 43%     6 - 1 +13.6 +11.5 +2.3
  Dec 04, 2019 314   Florida A&M W 72-43 96%     7 - 1 +16.7 -1.3 +19.1
  Dec 14, 2019 28   Memphis L 47-51 47%     7 - 2 +5.4 -15.2 +20.3
  Dec 18, 2019 49   @ Cincinnati L 66-78 35%     7 - 3 +0.8 +4.8 -4.5
  Dec 21, 2019 235   Jacksonville St. W 75-53 92%     8 - 3 +14.9 +1.7 +13.6
  Dec 28, 2019 24   Wisconsin L 48-68 45%     8 - 4 -9.9 -12.7 +0.6
  Jan 04, 2020 31   LSU L 64-78 49%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -4.9 -1.8 -4.6
  Jan 07, 2020 64   @ Missouri W 69-59 41%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +21.0 +7.5 +14.2
  Jan 11, 2020 93   South Carolina W 56-55 71%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +3.9 -16.6 +20.4
  Jan 15, 2020 61   @ Georgia L 63-80 40%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -5.8 -0.7 -6.2
  Jan 18, 2020 142   @ Vanderbilt W 71-67 66%    
  Jan 21, 2020 102   Mississippi W 70-63 74%    
  Jan 25, 2020 1   @ Kansas L 57-72 8%    
  Jan 28, 2020 130   Texas A&M W 64-55 81%    
  Feb 01, 2020 50   @ Mississippi St. L 63-67 36%    
  Feb 04, 2020 40   @ Alabama L 70-75 31%    
  Feb 08, 2020 16   Kentucky L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 11, 2020 37   Arkansas W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 15, 2020 93   @ South Carolina W 69-68 49%    
  Feb 18, 2020 142   Vanderbilt W 74-64 82%    
  Feb 22, 2020 25   @ Auburn L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 26, 2020 37   @ Arkansas L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 29, 2020 19   Florida L 62-64 42%    
  Mar 03, 2020 16   @ Kentucky L 61-69 22%    
  Mar 07, 2020 25   Auburn L 67-68 47%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.8 1st
2nd 0.3 1.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 2.6 0.5 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.1 1.5 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.5 3.5 0.2 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.2 3.3 6.3 1.1 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 7.1 3.3 0.1 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.1 5.9 0.6 0.0 13.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 4.6 6.6 1.6 0.0 13.3 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 5.7 2.5 0.2 11.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.4 2.5 0.2 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.3 0.2 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.8 8.1 13.9 17.5 18.6 16.0 10.9 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 85.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-4 66.5% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 29.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 15.0% 85.0% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 16.8% 83.2% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.7% 97.8% 13.2% 84.6% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.4%
12-6 6.0% 93.0% 11.5% 81.5% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 92.1%
11-7 10.9% 76.0% 6.9% 69.1% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.1 2.6 74.2%
10-8 16.0% 48.0% 3.8% 44.2% 10.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.3 45.9%
9-9 18.6% 21.0% 2.8% 18.2% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 14.7 18.7%
8-10 17.5% 4.5% 1.6% 2.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 16.7 3.0%
7-11 13.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.7 0.2%
6-12 8.1% 0.5% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
5-13 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 30.1% 3.6% 26.5% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 3.0 4.7 5.7 6.2 6.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 69.9 27.5%