McNeese St.
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#301
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#309
Pace69.3#193
Improvement+1.7#22

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#254
First Shot-2.5#249
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#177
Layup/Dunks+2.8#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#151
Freethrows-0.4#194
Improvement+1.7#10

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#326
First Shot-4.6#297
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#242
Layups/Dunks+1.6#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#340
Freethrows-0.7#210
Improvement-0.1#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 6.5% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 21.2% 46.6% 19.1%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 69.6% 52.3%
Conference Champion 4.7% 10.8% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 2.4% 5.5%
First Four2.3% 3.1% 2.3%
First Round2.3% 5.3% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 7.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 244   @ Western Michigan L 65-75 25%     0 - 1 -11.3 -8.8 -2.7
  Nov 09, 2019 224   @ Louisiana L 80-85 22%     0 - 2 -5.3 -2.2 -2.6
  Nov 13, 2019 27   @ Wisconsin L 63-83 2%     0 - 3 -4.4 +4.0 -9.7
  Nov 16, 2019 92   @ New Mexico L 80-90 7%     0 - 4 -1.6 +0.5 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2019 105   @ Richmond L 67-82 8%    
  Nov 30, 2019 22   @ Texas L 56-80 1%    
  Dec 10, 2019 268   UMKC W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 21, 2019 234   Stephen F. Austin L 77-78 45%    
  Jan 02, 2020 185   Sam Houston St. L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 04, 2020 308   @ Central Arkansas L 76-78 45%    
  Jan 08, 2020 287   @ Abilene Christian L 66-70 34%    
  Jan 11, 2020 345   Northwestern St. W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 15, 2020 346   Incarnate Word W 75-65 79%    
  Jan 18, 2020 262   @ New Orleans L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 22, 2020 317   @ SE Louisiana L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 25, 2020 293   Houston Baptist W 86-84 58%    
  Jan 29, 2020 229   Nicholls St. L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 01, 2020 256   Lamar L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 05, 2020 300   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 08, 2020 308   Central Arkansas W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 15, 2020 345   @ Northwestern St. W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 19, 2020 346   @ Incarnate Word W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 22, 2020 262   New Orleans W 73-72 49%    
  Feb 26, 2020 317   SE Louisiana W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 293   @ Houston Baptist L 83-87 38%    
  Mar 04, 2020 229   @ Nicholls St. L 69-77 26%    
  Mar 07, 2020 256   @ Lamar L 69-75 30%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 3.7 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.6 1.0 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.3 1.6 0.1 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.0 2.0 0.2 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.6 2.1 0.2 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.7 1.7 0.3 7.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.7 4.8 6.5 8.4 10.0 11.4 12.0 10.9 9.4 7.7 5.7 3.8 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 99.6% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 82.1% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
16-4 58.6% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.1
15-5 32.1% 1.2    0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 24.2% 24.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 21.8% 21.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
17-3 1.2% 26.1% 26.1% 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.9
16-4 2.4% 26.2% 26.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7
15-5 3.8% 15.8% 15.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.2
14-6 5.7% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 5.0
13-7 7.7% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.2
12-8 9.4% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 9.1
11-9 10.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.7
10-10 12.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.0
9-11 11.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.3
8-12 10.0% 10.0
7-13 8.4% 8.4
6-14 6.5% 6.5
5-15 4.8% 4.8
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.1 96.6 0.0%