N.C. A&T
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#288
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#258
Pace72.4#99
Improvement+4.8#17

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#314
First Shot-5.5#318
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#179
Layup/Dunks-0.5#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#322
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement+5.2#5

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#215
First Shot-1.5#209
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#186
Layups/Dunks+0.8#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
Freethrows-2.1#294
Improvement-0.5#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.6% 20.2% 14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 40.3% 52.3% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 96.7% 98.9% 94.2%
Conference Champion 31.5% 40.9% 20.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.0% 17.7% 13.9%
First Round8.6% 10.1% 6.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 53.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 415 - 715 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 50-83 7%     0 - 1 -23.6 -15.5 -8.3
  Nov 08, 2019 301   Charleston Southern W 63-49 64%     1 - 1 +2.9 -19.6 +21.5
  Nov 12, 2019 154   @ Western Carolina L 64-90 15%     1 - 2 -22.1 -15.9 -4.3
  Nov 15, 2019 56   @ Utah St. L 54-81 5%     1 - 3 -15.3 -13.1 -2.1
  Nov 19, 2019 94   @ North Texas L 60-80 8%     1 - 4 -12.0 -6.5 -6.5
  Nov 22, 2019 205   Nicholls St. W 66-54 33%     2 - 4 +9.2 -5.7 +14.9
  Nov 24, 2019 227   Eastern Michigan L 54-58 37%     2 - 5 -7.9 -12.9 +4.9
  Nov 30, 2019 239   Jacksonville L 45-61 50%     2 - 6 -23.3 -22.1 -3.1
  Dec 04, 2019 318   Longwood W 52-41 70%     3 - 6 -1.6 -25.5 +24.1
  Dec 07, 2019 90   @ Bradley L 52-83 8%     3 - 7 -22.4 -12.7 -11.5
  Dec 16, 2019 147   @ UTEP L 54-72 14%     3 - 8 -13.8 -8.8 -6.4
  Dec 17, 2019 104   Kent St. L 71-85 OT 13%     3 - 9 -9.4 -7.8 -0.1
  Dec 21, 2019 110   @ Wake Forest L 64-76 10%     3 - 10 -5.1 -10.3 +5.9
  Dec 29, 2019 29   @ Illinois L 64-95 3%     3 - 11 -16.1 -2.2 -13.3
  Jan 06, 2020 304   Florida A&M W 97-90 OT 66%     4 - 11 1 - 0 -4.6 -5.8 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2020 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 91-53 83%     5 - 11 2 - 0 +20.5 +11.9 +5.9
  Jan 13, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. W 98-77 76%     6 - 11 3 - 0 +6.3 +8.9 -5.6
  Jan 18, 2020 334   @ Coppin St. W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 20, 2020 310   @ Morgan St. L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 25, 2020 279   Bethune-Cookman W 75-73 59%    
  Jan 27, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 76-63 90%    
  Feb 01, 2020 280   Norfolk St. W 65-63 59%    
  Feb 03, 2020 326   South Carolina St. W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 08, 2020 279   @ Bethune-Cookman L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 10, 2020 304   @ Florida A&M L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 317   NC Central W 68-63 69%    
  Feb 22, 2020 349   Howard W 81-68 89%    
  Feb 24, 2020 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-52 93%    
  Mar 02, 2020 326   @ South Carolina St. W 72-71 50%    
  Mar 05, 2020 317   @ NC Central L 65-66 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.1 8.6 10.9 6.8 2.6 0.4 31.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.7 9.3 8.7 2.4 0.3 22.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 7.2 7.3 1.3 0.0 16.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.6 6.8 1.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 5.0 1.6 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.9 0.1 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.1 3.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 6.0 11.5 17.4 19.8 18.7 13.3 7.1 2.6 0.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 100.0% 2.6    2.5 0.0
14-2 96.0% 6.8    6.0 0.8 0.0
13-3 81.9% 10.9    6.9 3.7 0.3 0.0
12-4 46.2% 8.6    2.6 4.0 1.7 0.2
11-5 10.8% 2.1    0.2 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 31.5% 31.5 18.6 9.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 42.7% 42.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
15-1 2.6% 35.3% 35.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7
14-2 7.1% 31.8% 31.8% 16.0 0.0 2.2 4.8
13-3 13.3% 26.4% 26.4% 16.0 0.0 3.5 9.8
12-4 18.7% 20.7% 20.7% 16.0 0.0 3.9 14.8
11-5 19.8% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 3.2 16.6
10-6 17.4% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 2.1 15.3
9-7 11.5% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 1.0 10.4
8-8 6.0% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.3 5.7
7-9 2.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.1 2.3
6-10 0.7% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-11 0.1% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
4-12 0.0% 0.0
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 17.6% 17.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 17.3 82.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.3 14.1 44.7 41.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%