N.C. A&T
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#327
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#272
Pace71.5#127
Improvement+0.5#111

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#334
First Shot-5.9#315
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#229
Layup/Dunks+4.0#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#333
Freethrows-1.7#272
Improvement+1.2#45

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#289
First Shot-6.0#327
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#65
Layups/Dunks+0.0#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#267
Freethrows-3.2#310
Improvement-0.7#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 13.6% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 21.9% 38.2% 17.4%
.500 or above in Conference 70.3% 78.6% 68.1%
Conference Champion 14.2% 20.2% 12.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 2.5% 4.7%
First Four9.9% 12.6% 9.2%
First Round4.4% 6.4% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Neutral) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 412 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 90   @ UNC Greensboro L 50-83 5%     0 - 1 -24.5 -14.9 -9.8
  Nov 08, 2019 304   Charleston Southern W 63-49 54%     1 - 1 +2.1 -18.4 +19.5
  Nov 12, 2019 159   @ Western Carolina L 64-90 10%     1 - 2 -23.0 -13.7 -7.3
  Nov 15, 2019 18   @ Utah St. L 54-81 1%     1 - 3 -10.3 -11.2 +1.0
  Nov 19, 2019 151   @ North Texas L 60-80 10%     1 - 4 -16.5 -5.7 -11.8
  Nov 22, 2019 205   Nicholls St. L 66-74 21%    
  Nov 24, 2019 193   Eastern Michigan L 58-67 20%    
  Nov 30, 2019 273   Jacksonville L 65-67 43%    
  Dec 04, 2019 253   Longwood L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 07, 2019 123   @ Bradley L 57-74 6%    
  Dec 16, 2019 131   @ UTEP L 58-74 7%    
  Dec 21, 2019 106   @ Wake Forest L 63-81 6%    
  Dec 29, 2019 49   @ Illinois L 61-85 2%    
  Jan 06, 2020 339   Florida A&M W 70-65 69%    
  Jan 11, 2020 349   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 55-52 61%    
  Jan 13, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. W 62-59 60%    
  Jan 18, 2020 323   @ Coppin St. L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 20, 2020 314   @ Morgan St. L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 25, 2020 336   Bethune-Cookman W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 27, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 65-56 78%    
  Feb 01, 2020 307   Norfolk St. W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 03, 2020 325   South Carolina St. W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 336   @ Bethune-Cookman L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 10, 2020 339   @ Florida A&M L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 15, 2020 319   NC Central W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 22, 2020 347   Howard W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 24, 2020 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 58-49 79%    
  Mar 02, 2020 325   @ South Carolina St. L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 05, 2020 319   @ NC Central L 65-69 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.9 3.8 4.2 2.8 1.0 0.2 14.2 1st
2nd 0.4 2.7 5.2 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 5.8 3.7 0.7 0.1 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 5.8 4.0 0.7 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.0 4.3 0.8 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.4 3.5 5.0 0.9 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.7 1.5 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.6 1.8 0.1 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.8 0.2 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.2 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.8 5.4 8.4 11.1 13.3 13.8 13.5 11.5 8.5 5.4 3.0 1.0 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 99.2% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-2 93.7% 2.8    2.4 0.5 0.0
13-3 76.5% 4.2    2.7 1.3 0.1
12-4 45.2% 3.8    1.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
11-5 16.3% 1.9    0.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 8.0 4.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 43.8% 43.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
15-1 1.0% 38.3% 38.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6
14-2 3.0% 31.5% 31.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 2.1
13-3 5.4% 27.2% 27.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5 4.0
12-4 8.5% 19.2% 19.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6 6.9
11-5 11.5% 17.8% 17.8% 16.0 2.0 9.4
10-6 13.5% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 1.6 12.0
9-7 13.8% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 1.1 12.7
8-8 13.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.5 12.8
7-9 11.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.8
6-10 8.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 8.2
5-11 5.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-12 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-13 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-14 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.2 89.7 0.0%