Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#303
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#256
Pace76.1#53
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#283
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.5% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 16.1% 30.4% 10.7%
.500 or above in Conference 31.9% 42.2% 28.0%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 10.6% 18.5%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round1.6% 3.0% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 27   @ Xavier L 57-76 2%     0 - 1 -3.5 -9.4 +6.7
  Nov 11, 2019 100   Bowling Green L 59-75 12%     0 - 2 -11.5 -12.7 +1.2
  Nov 15, 2019 242   @ Umass Lowell L 75-82 27%    
  Nov 16, 2019 173   Dartmouth L 67-74 26%    
  Nov 17, 2019 296   Merrimack L 74-75 48%    
  Nov 21, 2019 182   Western Carolina L 77-81 37%    
  Nov 25, 2019 289   @ Campbell L 69-73 36%    
  Nov 30, 2019 323   @ N.C. A&T L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 04, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 64-88 1%    
  Dec 07, 2019 337   Bethune-Cookman W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 18, 2019 317   @ Presbyterian L 74-75 46%    
  Dec 20, 2019 79   @ Clemson L 62-80 5%    
  Dec 30, 2019 328   South Carolina St. W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 02, 2020 311   @ North Alabama L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 09, 2020 188   NJIT L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 11, 2020 91   @ Liberty L 59-76 7%    
  Jan 16, 2020 151   North Florida L 77-83 31%    
  Jan 18, 2020 329   Stetson W 81-75 70%    
  Jan 23, 2020 195   @ Lipscomb L 75-84 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 333   @ Kennesaw St. W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 30, 2020 279   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 01, 2020 311   North Alabama W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 06, 2020 91   Liberty L 62-73 18%    
  Feb 08, 2020 188   @ NJIT L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 13, 2020 151   @ North Florida L 74-86 15%    
  Feb 20, 2020 195   Lipscomb L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 22, 2020 333   Kennesaw St. W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 27, 2020 279   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 329   @ Stetson W 78-77 50%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.2 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.6 1.6 0.2 11.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 6.5 5.5 1.6 0.1 16.4 5th
6th 0.5 4.1 7.4 5.1 1.0 0.1 18.2 6th
7th 0.8 4.1 7.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 16.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.8 5.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 14.3 8th
9th 0.4 1.8 3.2 3.0 1.1 0.1 9.5 9th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.4 8.6 11.5 14.0 14.0 13.5 11.4 8.6 5.8 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 75.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 60.0% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 25.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 20.8% 20.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.9% 32.2% 32.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6
12-4 1.8% 9.8% 9.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
11-5 3.0% 9.5% 9.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.8
10-6 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.5
9-7 8.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 8.4
8-8 11.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.2
7-9 13.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.4
6-10 14.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.8
5-11 14.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.9
4-12 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
3-13 8.6% 8.6
2-14 4.4% 4.4
1-15 1.8% 1.8
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.4 98.0 0.0%