New Mexico
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#82
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#75
Pace79.4#26
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#29
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#156
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 1.6% 1.6% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.3% 19.7% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.2% 8.5% 1.1%
Average Seed 10.4 10.4 10.7
.500 or above 93.5% 94.2% 77.6%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 87.9% 76.2%
Conference Champion 14.3% 14.7% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four4.0% 4.1% 0.7%
First Round17.3% 17.7% 8.1%
Second Round6.6% 6.8% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 2.2% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 96.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 34 - 6
Quad 37 - 310 - 9
Quad 411 - 121 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 263   Cal St. Northridge W 97-70 91%     1 - 0 +18.8 +9.6 +7.3
  Nov 13, 2019 176   Green Bay W 93-78 84%     2 - 0 +11.0 -1.2 +9.3
  Nov 16, 2019 307   McNeese St. W 88-69 96%    
  Nov 19, 2019 129   @ UTEP W 77-75 55%    
  Nov 21, 2019 79   @ New Mexico St. L 76-79 39%    
  Nov 25, 2019 33   Auburn L 78-83 31%    
  Dec 01, 2019 205   Montana W 84-72 86%    
  Dec 04, 2019 105   Boise St. W 82-76 69%    
  Dec 07, 2019 290   @ Wyoming W 72-61 84%    
  Dec 14, 2019 79   New Mexico St. W 79-76 60%    
  Dec 17, 2019 164   Grand Canyon W 85-75 80%    
  Dec 22, 2019 293   Houston Baptist W 101-84 93%    
  Dec 29, 2019 304   UC Davis W 84-66 94%    
  Jan 01, 2020 324   @ San Jose St. W 87-73 89%    
  Jan 07, 2020 122   Fresno St. W 81-74 72%    
  Jan 11, 2020 179   Air Force W 84-73 81%    
  Jan 15, 2020 171   @ Colorado St. W 81-77 63%    
  Jan 18, 2020 138   @ UNLV W 80-78 57%    
  Jan 21, 2020 324   San Jose St. W 90-70 96%    
  Jan 25, 2020 104   @ Nevada L 83-84 48%    
  Jan 29, 2020 49   San Diego St. L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 122   @ Fresno St. W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 08, 2020 290   Wyoming W 75-58 92%    
  Feb 11, 2020 49   @ San Diego St. L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 15, 2020 138   UNLV W 83-75 74%    
  Feb 18, 2020 104   Nevada W 86-81 68%    
  Feb 23, 2020 105   @ Boise St. L 79-80 49%    
  Feb 26, 2020 179   @ Air Force W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 23   Utah St. L 78-81 39%    
Projected Record 20 - 9 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.2 4.2 2.3 0.7 14.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 5.4 7.3 4.4 1.1 0.0 20.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 7.6 6.4 2.5 0.2 20.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.0 4.0 0.9 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.3 2.9 0.4 11.9 5th
6th 0.4 1.9 3.5 1.7 0.3 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.5 1.1 0.2 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.8 5.6 8.1 10.6 12.3 13.7 13.4 12.3 8.8 5.3 2.3 0.7 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 99.4% 2.3    2.1 0.2
16-2 79.4% 4.2    2.7 1.5 0.0
15-3 47.5% 4.2    2.0 1.7 0.4
14-4 19.7% 2.4    0.6 1.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 4.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.3% 14.3 8.2 5.0 1.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 98.0% 40.7% 57.3% 5.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.6%
17-1 2.3% 88.2% 38.7% 49.5% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 80.7%
16-2 5.3% 68.0% 33.6% 34.5% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.3 0.4 1.7 51.9%
15-3 8.8% 46.5% 22.6% 24.0% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.0 4.7 30.9%
14-4 12.3% 28.5% 19.2% 9.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.5 1.4 0.1 8.8 11.5%
13-5 13.4% 17.4% 13.9% 3.5% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 11.1 4.1%
12-6 13.7% 9.0% 8.1% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 12.4 1.0%
11-7 12.3% 6.9% 6.5% 0.4% 12.3 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.5 0.4%
10-8 10.6% 5.3% 5.2% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.1 0.1%
9-9 8.1% 3.5% 3.5% 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.8
8-10 5.6% 2.3% 2.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5
7-11 3.8% 0.7% 0.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 3.8
6-12 1.7% 1.7
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 19.3% 12.0% 7.2% 10.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.8 5.8 5.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 80.7 8.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.7 66.7 16.7 16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 5.3 33.3 33.3 33.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 33.3 33.3 33.3