New Mexico
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#125
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#88
Pace78.8#20
Improvement-5.6#340

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#70
First Shot+4.0#63
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#182
Layup/Dunks+5.8#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#294
Freethrows+2.1#40
Improvement-1.8#272

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#206
First Shot-0.5#175
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#240
Layups/Dunks-0.3#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#250
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#311
Freethrows+4.1#8
Improvement-3.7#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.0% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.8 12.3
.500 or above 99.8% 100.0% 99.7%
.500 or above in Conference 59.6% 84.5% 53.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round2.1% 2.8% 2.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego St. (Home) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 35 - 48 - 11
Quad 412 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 259   Cal St. Northridge W 97-70 85%     1 - 0 +18.6 +9.6 +7.1
  Nov 13, 2019 217   Green Bay W 93-78 80%     2 - 0 +8.7 -5.6 +11.4
  Nov 16, 2019 261   McNeese St. W 90-80 85%     3 - 0 +1.6 +1.9 -1.3
  Nov 19, 2019 152   @ UTEP L 63-66 46%     3 - 1 +0.7 -6.7 +7.4
  Nov 21, 2019 96   @ New Mexico St. W 78-77 30%     4 - 1 +9.1 +7.7 +1.4
  Nov 25, 2019 29   Auburn L 59-84 18%     4 - 2 -12.5 -12.6 +2.2
  Nov 26, 2019 30   Wisconsin W 59-50 18%     5 - 2 +21.5 +1.2 +21.4
  Dec 01, 2019 184   Montana W 72-63 74%     6 - 2 +5.1 +3.1 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2019 91   Boise St. W 80-78 49%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +4.9 +14.0 -8.9
  Dec 07, 2019 281   @ Wyoming W 79-65 73%     8 - 2 2 - 0 +10.3 +1.1 +8.1
  Dec 14, 2019 96   New Mexico St. W 69-62 51%     9 - 2 +9.3 -2.2 +11.5
  Dec 17, 2019 227   Grand Canyon W 91-71 81%     10 - 2 +13.3 +15.4 -1.8
  Dec 22, 2019 344   Houston Baptist W 107-88 96%     11 - 2 +1.6 +6.3 -6.5
  Dec 29, 2019 243   UC Davis W 74-69 83%     12 - 2 -2.7 -6.3 +3.5
  Jan 01, 2020 288   @ San Jose St. L 85-88 75%     12 - 3 2 - 1 -7.3 +0.5 -7.5
  Jan 07, 2020 158   Fresno St. W 78-64 70%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +11.3 +4.9 +6.7
  Jan 11, 2020 169   Air Force W 84-78 72%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +2.7 -4.4 +6.4
  Jan 15, 2020 104   @ Colorado St. L 72-105 32%     14 - 4 4 - 2 -25.5 -6.1 -15.5
  Jan 18, 2020 124   @ UNLV L 78-99 38%     14 - 5 4 - 3 -15.3 -3.4 -9.4
  Jan 21, 2020 288   San Jose St. W 86-59 88%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +16.9 +5.5 +10.6
  Jan 25, 2020 89   @ Nevada L 74-96 27%     15 - 6 5 - 4 -13.1 +2.1 -14.4
  Jan 29, 2020 14   San Diego St. L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 01, 2020 158   @ Fresno St. L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 281   Wyoming W 76-64 88%    
  Feb 11, 2020 14   @ San Diego St. L 66-81 8%    
  Feb 15, 2020 124   UNLV W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 18, 2020 89   Nevada L 80-81 49%    
  Feb 23, 2020 91   @ Boise St. L 77-83 29%    
  Feb 26, 2020 169   @ Air Force W 82-81 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 55   Utah St. L 75-79 36%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 1.0 4.3 1.1 0.0 6.3 3rd
4th 0.5 5.8 3.7 0.1 10.1 4th
5th 0.2 5.0 9.1 0.6 15.0 5th
6th 0.2 5.0 13.8 3.9 0.0 23.0 6th
7th 0.2 5.3 14.9 6.5 0.2 27.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 6.4 2.9 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.6 0.8 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.5 4.0 12.7 23.1 26.0 20.0 9.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 6.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 42.9% 42.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.9%
13-5 0.5% 14.6% 8.5% 6.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.7%
12-6 3.2% 7.5% 6.6% 0.9% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.0 1.0%
11-7 9.9% 3.8% 3.7% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.5 0.1%
10-8 20.0% 2.6% 2.6% 0.1% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 19.5 0.1%
9-9 26.0% 1.9% 1.9% 12.3 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 25.5
8-10 23.1% 1.3% 1.3% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 22.9
7-11 12.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.6
6-12 4.0% 0.5% 0.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 4.0
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.1% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 97.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%