New Orleans
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#306
Expected Predictive Rating-13.6#337
Pace73.2#78
Improvement-1.6#250

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#252
First Shot-1.7#235
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#249
Layup/Dunks-0.6#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#345
Freethrows+1.0#103
Improvement+0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#333
First Shot-5.4#329
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#246
Layups/Dunks-3.6#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#252
Freethrows-3.2#325
Improvement-1.7#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.0% 1.7% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 21.5% 30.6% 10.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 2.0% 7.8%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 55.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 48 - 98 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 17   @ Butler L 53-79 2%     0 - 1 -9.0 -5.0 -6.9
  Nov 12, 2019 82   @ SMU L 64-77 5%     0 - 2 -3.5 -5.9 +2.0
  Nov 17, 2019 50   @ Mississippi St. L 59-82 3%     0 - 3 -10.4 -7.3 -3.7
  Nov 24, 2019 181   @ Hawaii L 71-79 15%     0 - 4 -5.8 -3.9 -1.6
  Dec 03, 2019 31   @ LSU L 54-90 2%     0 - 5 -21.1 -17.6 -2.1
  Dec 18, 2019 223   Abilene Christian L 71-77 40%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -12.4 -9.5 -2.4
  Dec 21, 2019 186   @ Sam Houston St. L 79-87 16%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -6.3 +2.1 -8.0
  Dec 28, 2019 28   @ Memphis L 55-97 2%     0 - 8 -26.8 -17.4 -1.6
  Jan 02, 2020 273   Lamar L 67-74 51%     0 - 9 0 - 3 -16.2 -9.5 -6.5
  Jan 04, 2020 140   Stephen F. Austin L 68-87 23%     0 - 10 0 - 4 -20.2 -5.6 -14.3
  Jan 08, 2020 308   Central Arkansas W 86-78 61%     1 - 10 1 - 4 -3.8 -0.3 -4.0
  Jan 11, 2020 347   @ Incarnate Word L 70-73 66%     1 - 11 1 - 5 -16.3 -8.6 -7.7
  Jan 15, 2020 345   @ Houston Baptist W 106-98 59%     2 - 11 2 - 5 -3.4 +3.5 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2020 286   McNeese St. W 79-78 55%    
  Jan 22, 2020 298   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 25, 2020 209   Nicholls St. L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 29, 2020 327   Northwestern St. W 78-74 66%    
  Feb 01, 2020 315   @ SE Louisiana L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 08, 2020 140   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-83 10%    
  Feb 12, 2020 308   @ Central Arkansas L 80-83 39%    
  Feb 15, 2020 347   Incarnate Word W 76-66 83%    
  Feb 22, 2020 286   @ McNeese St. L 76-80 34%    
  Feb 26, 2020 298   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 29, 2020 209   @ Nicholls St. L 68-77 21%    
  Mar 04, 2020 327   @ Northwestern St. L 76-77 44%    
  Mar 07, 2020 315   SE Louisiana W 77-74 63%    
Projected Record 8 - 18 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.9 1.7 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 6.1 3.5 0.2 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 5.2 5.8 0.8 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.8 7.7 2.1 0.0 14.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.3 8.0 3.8 0.2 15.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.6 7.7 4.8 0.5 0.0 17.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.5 7.5 13.7 17.6 18.6 16.5 11.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 10.4% 10.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.9% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.1 0.8
12-8 2.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 2.6
11-9 6.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.1
10-10 11.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.4
9-11 16.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.4
8-12 18.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.6
7-13 17.6% 17.6
6-14 13.7% 13.7
5-15 7.5% 7.5
4-16 3.5% 3.5
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%