New Orleans
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#263
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#208
Pace70.0#172
Improvement-0.5#248

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#268
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#279
Layup/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#274
Freethrows+1.4#94
Improvement-0.7#290

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot-1.4#204
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#236
Layups/Dunks-2.7#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#312
Freethrows+2.0#88
Improvement+0.3#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 13.1% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 45.9% 64.6% 38.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.0% 84.4% 73.8%
Conference Champion 13.8% 19.3% 11.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.7% 1.7%
First Four3.1% 3.2% 3.0%
First Round8.9% 11.5% 7.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Away) - 29.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 412 - 613 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 34   @ Butler L 53-79 4%     0 - 1 -11.4 -6.8 -7.5
  Nov 12, 2019 100   @ SMU L 64-77 11%     0 - 2 -5.1 -4.3 -1.2
  Nov 17, 2019 56   @ Mississippi St. L 59-82 6%     0 - 3 -10.8 -6.3 -5.1
  Nov 24, 2019 206   @ Hawaii L 68-74 30%    
  Dec 03, 2019 33   @ LSU L 67-87 4%    
  Dec 18, 2019 281   Abilene Christian W 69-65 67%    
  Dec 21, 2019 185   @ Sam Houston St. L 66-73 29%    
  Dec 28, 2019 16   @ Memphis L 68-90 2%    
  Jan 02, 2020 257   Lamar W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 04, 2020 234   Stephen F. Austin W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 08, 2020 308   Central Arkansas W 79-72 75%    
  Jan 11, 2020 347   @ Incarnate Word W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 15, 2020 293   @ Houston Baptist L 82-83 47%    
  Jan 18, 2020 302   McNeese St. W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 22, 2020 301   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-65 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 227   Nicholls St. W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 29, 2020 345   Northwestern St. W 76-64 85%    
  Feb 01, 2020 316   @ SE Louisiana W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 08, 2020 234   @ Stephen F. Austin L 74-79 36%    
  Feb 12, 2020 308   @ Central Arkansas W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 15, 2020 347   Incarnate Word W 75-62 87%    
  Feb 22, 2020 302   @ McNeese St. L 72-73 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 301   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-61 70%    
  Feb 29, 2020 227   @ Nicholls St. L 69-74 35%    
  Mar 04, 2020 345   @ Northwestern St. W 73-67 69%    
  Mar 07, 2020 316   SE Louisiana W 74-66 75%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.6 3.6 2.9 2.4 0.9 0.3 13.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.5 4.7 3.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.2 4.6 4.0 1.7 0.4 13.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.9 3.3 1.4 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 4.4 2.9 1.5 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.7 3.2 1.1 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.6 2.6 3.2 1.7 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 2.5 1.7 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.2 0.7 2.2 1.9 0.2 5.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.4 0.1 4.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.8 0.5 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.8 2.8 3.4 6.1 8.1 8.7 11.1 11.3 11.8 10.8 9.1 7.1 3.4 2.5 0.9 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 93.0% 0.9    0.9
18-2 97.4% 2.4    2.1 0.3
17-3 84.1% 2.9    2.0 0.8 0.0
16-4 50.7% 3.6    2.1 1.3 0.2
15-5 28.6% 2.6    0.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
14-6 8.0% 0.9    0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1
13-7 2.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.6% 0.1    0.1
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 8.5 4.1 0.9 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 74.5% 74.5% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.9% 57.8% 57.8% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4
18-2 2.5% 36.8% 36.8% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.6
17-3 3.4% 36.7% 36.7% 14.9 0.4 0.6 0.2 2.2
16-4 7.1% 22.1% 22.1% 15.4 0.1 0.7 0.7 5.5
15-5 9.1% 23.2% 23.2% 15.7 0.5 1.6 7.0
14-6 10.8% 14.5% 14.5% 15.9 0.1 1.5 9.2
13-7 11.8% 10.7% 10.7% 15.8 0.1 0.1 1.1 10.5
12-8 11.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 10.9
11-9 11.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.9
10-10 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
9-11 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
8-12 6.1% 6.1
7-13 3.4% 3.4
6-14 2.8% 2.8
5-15 1.8% 1.8
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.3 1.2 2.7 5.8 90.0 0.0%