North Dakota
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#274
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#73
Pace73.3#97
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#278
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 8.9% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 18.7% 35.6% 13.3%
.500 or above in Conference 40.5% 54.1% 36.2%
Conference Champion 5.6% 9.4% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 17.5% 10.3% 19.8%
First Four1.6% 1.9% 1.6%
First Round4.6% 8.1% 3.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Away) - 24.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 47 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 8   @ Gonzaga L 66-97 2%     0 - 1 -10.6 -3.4 -5.1
  Nov 17, 2019 180   @ Valparaiso L 72-79 24%    
  Nov 19, 2019 277   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-76 39%    
  Nov 24, 2019 68   @ Minnesota L 64-80 7%    
  Nov 29, 2019 279   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 71-73 41%    
  Nov 30, 2019 112   Georgia Southern L 75-84 22%    
  Dec 01, 2019 288   Campbell W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 06, 2019 205   @ Montana L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 08, 2019 199   @ Eastern Washington L 73-80 28%    
  Dec 21, 2019 147   @ Nebraska L 65-75 20%    
  Dec 29, 2019 67   @ Oregon St. L 65-81 8%    
  Jan 02, 2020 300   @ Denver L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 05, 2020 266   Purdue Fort Wayne W 82-79 58%    
  Jan 08, 2020 198   Nebraska Omaha L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 11, 2020 176   @ Oral Roberts L 79-87 25%    
  Jan 15, 2020 202   @ South Dakota St. L 75-81 29%    
  Jan 18, 2020 161   @ North Dakota St. L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 23, 2020 300   Denver W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 25, 2020 312   Western Illinois W 79-72 72%    
  Jan 30, 2020 266   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-82 39%    
  Feb 06, 2020 176   Oral Roberts L 82-84 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 158   South Dakota L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 15, 2020 312   @ Western Illinois W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 19, 2020 202   South Dakota St. L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 22, 2020 161   North Dakota St. L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 26, 2020 198   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 29, 2020 158   @ South Dakota L 71-80 23%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.6 1.1 0.2 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.8 1.3 0.1 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.9 5.2 1.4 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.4 5.8 1.6 0.0 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.4 5.6 1.4 0.1 14.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.7 5.4 4.4 1.0 0.0 14.3 8th
9th 0.5 1.5 3.5 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 11.0 9th
Total 0.5 1.6 4.2 6.2 9.2 11.7 13.0 13.1 11.7 10.0 7.7 4.9 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-2 98.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1
13-3 77.8% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
12-4 51.5% 1.8    0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-5 20.8% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
10-6 4.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 59.6% 59.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.7% 33.8% 33.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.9% 29.1% 29.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.3
12-4 3.4% 20.7% 20.7% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.7
11-5 4.9% 13.7% 13.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 4.2
10-6 7.7% 11.1% 11.1% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 6.8
9-7 10.0% 6.9% 6.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 9.3
8-8 11.7% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.1 0.6 11.0
7-9 13.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.6
6-10 13.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.7
5-11 11.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.6
4-12 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.2
3-13 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-14 4.2% 4.2
1-15 1.6% 1.6
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.6 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%