North Dakota
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#242
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#226
Pace71.6#113
Improvement+0.4#159

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#190
First Shot-0.2#185
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#197
Layup/Dunks-1.1#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#189
Freethrows+3.2#11
Improvement+1.3#106

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#294
First Shot-4.6#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#143
Layups/Dunks-4.2#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#62
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement-0.9#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.4% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.5% 6.5% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 41.8% 59.6% 28.2%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.1% 1.7%
First Four2.7% 2.6% 2.7%
First Round2.6% 3.1% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 94 - 13
Quad 47 - 411 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 3   @ Gonzaga L 66-97 1%     0 - 1 -8.6 -2.3 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2019 164   @ Valparaiso L 60-74 24%     0 - 2 -11.2 -12.4 +1.4
  Nov 19, 2019 257   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-79 41%     0 - 3 -11.5 -7.2 -3.7
  Nov 24, 2019 39   @ Minnesota L 56-79 5%     0 - 4 -9.0 -13.2 +5.0
  Nov 29, 2019 310   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-63 54%     1 - 4 +9.2 +8.3 +1.4
  Nov 30, 2019 148   Georgia Southern W 80-68 29%     2 - 4 +13.1 +6.3 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2019 274   Campbell L 56-58 57%     2 - 5 -8.5 -13.5 +4.8
  Dec 06, 2019 185   @ Montana L 70-77 26%     2 - 6 -5.1 -2.6 -2.4
  Dec 08, 2019 171   @ Eastern Washington L 82-98 24%     2 - 7 -13.5 -1.3 -10.1
  Dec 21, 2019 115   @ Nebraska W 75-74 15%     3 - 7 +7.3 +8.3 -0.9
  Dec 29, 2019 94   @ Oregon St. L 66-83 11%     3 - 8 -8.5 -6.2 -2.1
  Jan 02, 2020 314   @ Denver W 82-71 56%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +4.7 +0.9 +3.1
  Jan 05, 2020 270   Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-69 66%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +5.1 +7.6 -2.2
  Jan 08, 2020 216   Nebraska Omaha L 62-66 56%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -10.2 -16.3 +6.1
  Jan 11, 2020 131   @ Oral Roberts L 73-88 18%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -10.0 -2.4 -7.4
  Jan 15, 2020 142   @ South Dakota St. L 66-87 20%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -16.6 -8.3 -8.4
  Jan 19, 2020 152   @ North Dakota St. L 74-83 21%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -5.2 +4.9 -10.5
  Jan 23, 2020 314   Denver W 78-71 76%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -5.1 -5.5 -0.1
  Jan 25, 2020 324   Western Illinois W 83-77 78%     7 - 12 4 - 4 -6.9 +3.5 -10.2
  Jan 30, 2020 270   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 06, 2020 131   Oral Roberts L 77-81 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 175   South Dakota L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 15, 2020 324   @ Western Illinois W 80-78 58%    
  Feb 19, 2020 142   South Dakota St. L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 22, 2020 152   North Dakota St. L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 26, 2020 216   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 29, 2020 175   @ South Dakota L 74-81 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 0.8 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 2.6 0.1 5.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 6.7 0.9 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 4.1 11.3 3.7 0.0 19.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 11.6 18.9 7.8 0.2 40.6 6th
7th 0.9 6.9 7.8 2.7 0.1 18.5 7th
8th 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 2.3 10.2 19.9 25.9 21.7 13.1 5.3 1.5 0.2 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
11-5 38.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.2% 40.0% 40.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 1.5% 13.8% 13.8% 15.2 0.2 0.0 1.3
10-6 5.3% 8.6% 8.6% 15.6 0.2 0.3 4.9
9-7 13.1% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.1 0.7 12.3
8-8 21.7% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.9 20.8
7-9 25.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.8 25.0
6-10 19.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.5 19.4
5-11 10.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.1
4-12 2.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.4 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 14.4 60.0 40.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 2.0%