Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#139
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#77
Pace69.0#195
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#135
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#155
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.3% 18.8% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.5 14.3
.500 or above 78.1% 79.6% 55.7%
.500 or above in Conference 84.1% 84.7% 74.9%
Conference Champion 24.1% 24.8% 13.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.3% 3.6%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round18.1% 18.5% 10.7%
Second Round2.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 93.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 35 - 46 - 9
Quad 412 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 44   @ Missouri L 56-71 14%     0 - 1 -1.6 -3.6 +1.1
  Nov 12, 2019 195   @ Coastal Carolina W 69-68 52%     1 - 1 +2.0 -2.3 +4.4
  Nov 17, 2019 337   Coppin St. W 86-70 94%    
  Nov 20, 2019 99   @ Ball St. L 70-76 28%    
  Nov 23, 2019 267   Texas Southern W 84-74 83%    
  Nov 30, 2019 31   @ Arkansas L 67-81 11%    
  Dec 03, 2019 155   @ Miami (OH) L 73-75 45%    
  Dec 08, 2019 276   Eastern Kentucky W 87-77 83%    
  Dec 15, 2019 165   Illinois St. W 73-68 67%    
  Dec 21, 2019 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-73 27%    
  Dec 28, 2019 275   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-67 82%    
  Dec 30, 2019 176   Green Bay W 82-76 68%    
  Jan 03, 2020 222   @ Detroit Mercy W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 05, 2020 169   @ Oakland L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 10, 2020 206   @ Illinois-Chicago W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 12, 2020 255   @ IUPUI W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 16, 2020 220   Youngstown St. W 78-70 74%    
  Jan 18, 2020 317   Cleveland St. W 80-65 90%    
  Jan 24, 2020 102   @ Wright St. L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 31, 2020 176   @ Green Bay L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 02, 2020 275   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 06, 2020 169   Oakland W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 08, 2020 222   Detroit Mercy W 81-73 74%    
  Feb 14, 2020 255   IUPUI W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 16, 2020 206   Illinois-Chicago W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 20, 2020 317   @ Cleveland St. W 77-68 78%    
  Feb 22, 2020 220   @ Youngstown St. W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 28, 2020 102   Wright St. W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.1 5.1 7.0 4.9 2.3 0.6 24.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 5.8 6.9 4.4 1.8 0.3 21.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.3 5.8 5.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 16.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.8 4.0 1.1 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.0 3.2 0.7 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.5 0.4 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.3 3.2 8th
9th 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 2.6 4.5 6.1 8.3 10.9 12.6 13.3 12.2 9.8 8.7 5.2 2.3 0.6 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 2.3    2.3 0.1
16-2 94.1% 4.9    4.5 0.5
15-3 79.6% 7.0    5.4 1.4 0.1
14-4 51.7% 5.1    2.8 2.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 25.6% 3.1    1.0 1.4 0.6 0.1
12-6 7.3% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.1% 24.1 16.7 5.6 1.5 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 67.4% 62.8% 4.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 12.4%
17-1 2.3% 53.8% 52.0% 1.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 3.8%
16-2 5.2% 45.3% 44.8% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.9 1.0%
15-3 8.7% 36.2% 35.9% 0.3% 13.1 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 5.6 0.5%
14-4 9.8% 28.7% 28.7% 13.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 7.0
13-5 12.2% 22.5% 22.5% 13.8 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 9.5
12-6 13.3% 16.5% 16.5% 14.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 11.1
11-7 12.6% 11.7% 11.7% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 11.1
10-8 10.9% 8.9% 8.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 10.0
9-9 8.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 7.9
8-10 6.1% 4.8% 4.8% 15.6 0.1 0.2 5.8
7-11 4.5% 4.4% 4.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.3
6-12 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.3% 18.2% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 5.0 5.3 3.3 1.0 81.7 0.2%