Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#267
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#204
Pace70.8#152
Improvement-1.1#311

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#306
First Shot-3.1#276
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#262
Layup/Dunks+1.9#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#298
Freethrows-1.8#268
Improvement-0.4#246

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#189
First Shot-1.9#217
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#120
Layups/Dunks-2.3#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#190
Freethrows-1.9#268
Improvement-0.7#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 8.7% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 45.4% 52.4% 28.9%
.500 or above in Conference 62.2% 65.6% 54.1%
Conference Champion 8.1% 9.3% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 3.3% 5.6%
First Four2.9% 2.8% 3.1%
First Round6.4% 7.2% 4.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Neutral) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 414 - 916 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 239   @ Lehigh W 66-62 34%     1 - 0 +2.7 -9.9 +12.5
  Nov 09, 2019 192   @ Hofstra L 74-94 25%     1 - 1 -18.7 -7.8 -9.5
  Nov 13, 2019 49   @ Kansas St. L 54-73 5%     1 - 2 -6.3 -8.5 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2019 3   @ Kansas L 57-112 1%     1 - 3 -32.3 -9.8 -18.3
  Nov 18, 2019 99   @ Pittsburgh L 50-63 11%     1 - 4 -5.1 -12.5 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2019 330   Kennesaw St. W 72-66 70%    
  Nov 23, 2019 338   Stetson W 73-66 74%    
  Nov 26, 2019 129   Radford L 65-70 33%    
  Nov 27, 2019 307   Norfolk St. W 73-66 74%    
  Dec 10, 2019 209   @ Princeton L 66-72 28%    
  Dec 21, 2019 193   Albany L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 03, 2020 178   @ Siena L 67-74 25%    
  Jan 05, 2020 199   Iona L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 10, 2020 297   Canisius W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 12, 2020 261   @ Quinnipiac L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 16, 2020 334   Marist W 67-58 79%    
  Jan 18, 2020 253   @ Manhattan L 63-67 38%    
  Jan 24, 2020 332   Niagara W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 26, 2020 199   @ Iona L 71-78 29%    
  Jan 29, 2020 327   @ St. Peter's W 62-60 58%    
  Feb 02, 2020 197   Rider L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 04, 2020 286   @ Fairfield L 63-65 44%    
  Feb 09, 2020 327   St. Peter's W 65-57 76%    
  Feb 14, 2020 297   @ Canisius L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 16, 2020 332   @ Niagara W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 21, 2020 334   @ Marist W 64-61 60%    
  Feb 23, 2020 261   Quinnipiac W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 28, 2020 197   @ Rider L 73-80 29%    
  Mar 01, 2020 253   Manhattan W 66-64 58%    
  Mar 04, 2020 286   Fairfield W 66-62 64%    
  Mar 06, 2020 178   Siena L 70-71 44%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.8 4.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 4.1 1.6 0.2 10.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 3.2 3.6 1.3 0.1 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.4 4.7 6.9 9.3 10.7 11.6 12.0 10.4 9.6 7.4 5.3 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 98.8% 0.7    0.7 0.1
17-3 90.2% 1.5    1.2 0.3
16-4 69.3% 2.3    1.5 0.7 0.0
15-5 38.3% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 14.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.8 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 52.6% 52.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.7% 41.3% 41.3% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.7% 28.9% 28.9% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.2
16-4 3.3% 27.5% 27.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 2.4
15-5 5.3% 21.0% 21.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 4.2
14-6 7.4% 18.1% 18.1% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.0
13-7 9.6% 13.4% 13.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.3
12-8 10.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.1 0.7 9.7
11-9 12.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 11.3
10-10 11.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.3
9-11 10.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.5
8-12 9.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.2
7-13 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.9
6-14 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.7
5-15 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.9 92.2 0.0%