Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#203
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#168
Pace76.1#36
Improvement+3.7#42

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#282
First Shot-2.7#269
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#260
Layup/Dunks-2.8#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#216
Freethrows+0.3#151
Improvement+1.2#110

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#137
First Shot-0.2#170
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#71
Layups/Dunks-1.2#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#125
Freethrows-2.2#302
Improvement+2.5#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 19.7% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 93.4% 97.6% 89.5%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 96.9% 87.7%
Conference Champion 41.4% 52.6% 30.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four1.8% 1.4% 2.2%
First Round16.1% 19.1% 13.2%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 48.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 7
Quad 417 - 620 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 294   @ Lehigh W 66-62 57%     1 - 0 -0.6 -12.1 +11.4
  Nov 09, 2019 148   @ Hofstra L 74-94 26%     1 - 1 -16.0 -3.7 -11.0
  Nov 13, 2019 78   @ Kansas St. L 54-73 12%     1 - 2 -9.2 -12.1 +3.0
  Nov 15, 2019 1   @ Kansas L 57-112 2%     1 - 3 -31.3 -7.6 -19.4
  Nov 18, 2019 72   @ Pittsburgh L 50-63 12%     1 - 4 -2.9 -11.2 +6.9
  Nov 22, 2019 345   Kennesaw St. W 71-40 89%     2 - 4 +14.6 -6.9 +21.9
  Nov 23, 2019 303   Stetson L 55-63 71%     2 - 5 -16.4 -17.6 +0.6
  Nov 26, 2019 168   Radford W 80-63 52%     3 - 5 +13.7 +4.9 +9.1
  Nov 27, 2019 279   Norfolk St. W 75-71 74%     4 - 5 -5.5 -3.9 -1.8
  Dec 10, 2019 176   @ Princeton W 67-66 32%     5 - 5 +3.2 -7.8 +10.9
  Dec 21, 2019 229   Albany W 72-70 65%     6 - 5 -4.7 -2.1 -2.6
  Jan 03, 2020 231   @ Siena L 72-75 43%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -4.0 -5.9 +2.0
  Jan 05, 2020 255   Iona W 73-61 70%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +3.8 -3.7 +7.7
  Jan 10, 2020 228   Canisius W 84-65 65%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +12.3 +0.1 +10.2
  Jan 12, 2020 224   @ Quinnipiac L 70-84 43%     8 - 7 2 - 2 -14.8 -11.7 -1.8
  Jan 16, 2020 336   Marist W 74-66 86%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -6.3 -8.6 +1.7
  Jan 18, 2020 243   @ Manhattan W 65-58 46%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +5.2 -4.6 +9.9
  Jan 24, 2020 299   Niagara W 82-71 78%     11 - 7 5 - 2 +0.3 -4.6 +4.4
  Jan 26, 2020 255   @ Iona L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 29, 2020 239   @ St. Peter's L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 02, 2020 195   Rider W 77-75 59%    
  Feb 04, 2020 267   @ Fairfield W 64-63 50%    
  Feb 09, 2020 239   St. Peter's W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 14, 2020 228   @ Canisius L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 16, 2020 299   @ Niagara W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 21, 2020 336   @ Marist W 67-61 70%    
  Feb 23, 2020 224   Quinnipiac W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 28, 2020 195   @ Rider L 75-78 38%    
  Mar 01, 2020 243   Manhattan W 67-62 67%    
  Mar 04, 2020 267   Fairfield W 66-60 72%    
  Mar 06, 2020 231   Siena W 74-70 65%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.4 9.8 12.5 9.7 5.1 1.5 0.3 41.4 1st
2nd 1.3 7.6 7.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.9 6.0 1.1 0.1 12.3 3rd
4th 1.6 6.0 1.3 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.1 3.7 2.3 0.1 6.2 5th
6th 0.9 3.2 0.2 4.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 1.0 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.7 0.1 2.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 0.2 1.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.0 5.0 9.7 14.8 17.4 18.4 14.9 10.1 5.1 1.5 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-3 100.0% 1.5    1.5 0.0
16-4 99.8% 5.1    5.0 0.1
15-5 96.0% 9.7    8.6 1.1 0.0
14-6 84.0% 12.5    8.8 3.5 0.3
13-7 53.1% 9.8    3.2 4.3 2.0 0.3 0.0
12-8 13.9% 2.4    0.2 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-9 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 41.4% 41.4 27.5 9.3 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.3% 44.0% 44.0% 12.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 1.5% 34.9% 34.9% 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.0
16-4 5.1% 28.7% 28.7% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 3.6
15-5 10.1% 28.7% 28.7% 14.7 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.2 7.2
14-6 14.9% 22.8% 22.8% 15.1 0.0 0.4 2.1 0.9 11.5
13-7 18.4% 17.2% 17.2% 15.4 0.1 1.6 1.4 15.2
12-8 17.4% 15.5% 15.5% 15.6 1.0 1.7 14.7
11-9 14.8% 11.3% 11.3% 15.8 0.4 1.3 13.1
10-10 9.7% 7.3% 7.3% 15.9 0.1 0.6 9.0
9-11 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.2 4.8
8-12 2.0% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.1 1.9
7-13 0.7% 0.7
6-14 0.2% 0.0 0.2
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 0.4 2.4 7.7 6.4 83.1 0.0%