Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#239
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#233
Pace74.3#64
Improvement+0.2#169

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#277
First Shot-3.7#292
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#150
Layup/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#300
Freethrows+0.0#169
Improvement-1.4#251

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#183
First Shot+0.2#150
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#265
Layups/Dunks-2.4#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#44
Freethrows-1.1#249
Improvement+1.5#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 10.1% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 39.2% 50.9% 26.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.3% 64.0% 37.3%
Conference Champion 4.0% 6.4% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 2.6% 7.4%
First Four3.9% 4.1% 3.6%
First Round6.5% 8.0% 4.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 52.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 83 - 10
Quad 413 - 716 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 196   @ Brown L 68-75 32%     0 - 1 -6.4 -9.5 +3.6
  Nov 13, 2019 224   @ Albany L 57-83 37%     0 - 2 -26.8 -16.3 -10.0
  Nov 16, 2019 227   Bucknell W 83-81 60%     1 - 2 -4.8 +6.9 -11.7
  Nov 23, 2019 118   St. Bonaventure W 61-57 32%     2 - 2 +4.7 -4.4 +9.5
  Nov 26, 2019 228   @ Illinois-Chicago W 94-64 38%     3 - 2 +29.0 +8.5 +16.2
  Dec 01, 2019 250   Mercer W 76-66 53%     4 - 2 +4.9 +3.6 +1.7
  Dec 02, 2019 147   Hofstra L 57-64 30%     4 - 3 -5.7 -16.9 +11.1
  Dec 04, 2019 183   @ Florida Atlantic L 59-62 28%     4 - 4 -1.1 -11.3 +10.2
  Dec 14, 2019 340   Holy Cross W 80-72 86%     5 - 4 -7.8 -9.4 +1.0
  Dec 18, 2019 132   @ Buffalo L 73-82 19%     5 - 5 -3.9 -2.0 -1.4
  Dec 23, 2019 230   @ Siena L 72-73 38%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -2.1 -8.5 +6.4
  Dec 30, 2019 70   @ Pittsburgh L 79-87 9%     5 - 7 +2.5 +10.3 -7.5
  Jan 03, 2020 225   Manhattan L 67-71 59%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -10.5 -11.0 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2020 252   Fairfield L 42-46 65%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -12.1 -29.1 +16.7
  Jan 10, 2020 213   @ Monmouth L 65-84 35%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -19.3 -12.3 -5.0
  Jan 12, 2020 271   @ St. Peter's W 72-68 46%     6 - 10 1 - 4 +0.8 -2.3 +2.9
  Jan 17, 2020 230   Siena W 73-63 60%     7 - 10 2 - 4 +3.1 -1.7 +5.1
  Jan 19, 2020 190   Rider W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 24, 2020 244   @ Iona L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 26, 2020 252   @ Fairfield L 62-64 43%    
  Jan 31, 2020 210   Quinnipiac W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 02, 2020 338   Marist W 69-58 85%    
  Feb 07, 2020 190   @ Rider L 73-78 30%    
  Feb 12, 2020 290   @ Niagara W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 14, 2020 213   Monmouth W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 21, 2020 210   @ Quinnipiac L 70-74 34%    
  Feb 23, 2020 225   @ Manhattan L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 27, 2020 244   Iona W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 29, 2020 271   St. Peter's W 68-63 67%    
  Mar 04, 2020 338   @ Marist W 66-61 69%    
  Mar 06, 2020 290   Niagara W 76-70 71%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.0 1st
2nd 0.3 2.6 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 4.4 1.1 0.1 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.2 2.2 0.1 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 6.4 4.7 0.3 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.7 7.4 0.9 12.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 7.1 2.7 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.7 4.6 0.3 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.5 4.8 0.9 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 3.2 1.1 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 5.2 9.3 14.1 17.0 18.4 14.8 9.8 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 94.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 86.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 67.2% 1.5    0.7 0.6 0.2
13-7 28.6% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 3.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.7% 32.8% 32.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-6 2.2% 24.4% 24.4% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.7
13-7 5.3% 17.1% 17.1% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 4.4
12-8 9.8% 16.7% 16.7% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.1
11-9 14.8% 12.3% 12.3% 15.8 0.3 1.5 13.0
10-10 18.4% 7.9% 7.9% 15.9 0.1 1.4 16.9
9-11 17.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8 16.2
8-12 14.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 13.7
7-13 9.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.1
6-14 5.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 5.1
5-15 2.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-16 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.5 6.6 91.6 0.0%