Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#297
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#223
Pace69.0#202
Improvement+0.7#76

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#254
First Shot-0.4#182
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#278
Layup/Dunks-4.3#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#193
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement+1.9#7

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#317
First Shot-1.5#209
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#334
Layups/Dunks+3.0#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#335
Freethrows+1.6#108
Improvement-1.2#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.9% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 21.7% 39.1% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 54.4% 38.6%
Conference Champion 3.4% 6.7% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 6.5% 13.2%
First Four2.0% 2.7% 1.8%
First Round2.2% 4.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Home) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 410 - 912 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 186   @ Brown L 68-75 19%     0 - 1 -5.4 -8.1 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2019 192   @ Albany L 57-83 20%     0 - 2 -24.8 -15.0 -9.3
  Nov 16, 2019 151   Bucknell W 83-81 31%     1 - 2 -0.6 +8.5 -9.2
  Nov 23, 2019 144   St. Bonaventure L 65-71 29%    
  Nov 26, 2019 201   @ Illinois-Chicago L 65-74 21%    
  Dec 01, 2019 220   Mercer L 77-82 33%    
  Dec 04, 2019 175   @ Florida Atlantic L 65-75 17%    
  Dec 14, 2019 314   Holy Cross W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 18, 2019 104   @ Buffalo L 72-87 9%    
  Dec 23, 2019 182   @ Siena L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 30, 2019 96   @ Pittsburgh L 60-76 8%    
  Jan 03, 2020 254   Manhattan L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 05, 2020 286   Fairfield W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 10, 2020 267   @ Monmouth L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 12, 2020 328   @ St. Peter's W 64-63 49%    
  Jan 17, 2020 182   Siena L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 19, 2020 196   Rider L 78-81 41%    
  Jan 24, 2020 198   @ Iona L 72-81 24%    
  Jan 26, 2020 286   @ Fairfield L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 31, 2020 262   Quinnipiac W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 02, 2020 334   Marist W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 07, 2020 196   @ Rider L 75-84 22%    
  Feb 12, 2020 325   @ Niagara L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 14, 2020 267   Monmouth W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 21, 2020 262   @ Quinnipiac L 69-75 33%    
  Feb 23, 2020 254   @ Manhattan L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 27, 2020 198   Iona L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 328   St. Peter's W 66-60 69%    
  Mar 04, 2020 334   @ Marist W 66-65 53%    
  Mar 06, 2020 325   Niagara W 79-73 70%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.1 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.7 3.3 1.3 0.3 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 3.9 4.2 1.5 0.3 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.1 4.4 1.2 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.1 3.7 1.6 0.1 11.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 4.0 4.6 1.0 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.6 3.6 1.2 0.1 12.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.3 2.7 0.6 0.1 10.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.6 2.9 5.4 6.3 9.6 9.8 11.1 9.6 11.4 10.2 7.5 5.7 4.3 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-3 87.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
16-4 70.4% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1
15-5 41.9% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.1
14-6 15.3% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
13-7 3.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 3.8% 3.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 31.1% 31.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3
17-3 0.5% 27.2% 27.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
16-4 1.0% 20.9% 20.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
15-5 2.0% 21.3% 21.3% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.6
14-6 4.3% 13.0% 13.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8
13-7 5.7% 10.7% 10.7% 15.8 0.1 0.5 5.1
12-8 7.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.1 0.1 7.3
11-9 10.2% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.1 0.5 9.6
10-10 11.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.3
9-11 9.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.4
8-12 11.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 10.9
7-13 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-14 9.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.5
5-15 6.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.3
4-16 5.4% 5.4
3-17 2.9% 2.9
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 2.6 96.4 0.0%