SE Louisiana
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#310
Expected Predictive Rating-17.2#347
Pace74.4#75
Improvement+1.0#64

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#332
First Shot-7.6#337
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#138
Layup/Dunks-4.7#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#311
Freethrows-6.2#352
Improvement+1.4#34

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#249
First Shot-2.8#257
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#162
Layups/Dunks-4.6#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#28
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#114
Freethrows-3.1#309
Improvement-0.4#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 3.5% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 9.7% 20.7% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 50.3% 34.4%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.9% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 5.1% 11.7%
First Four1.6% 2.3% 1.4%
First Round1.4% 2.6% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Away) - 21.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 49 - 109 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 207   @ Tulane L 55-76 18%     0 - 1 -20.6 -23.3 +4.6
  Nov 13, 2019 270   Grambling St. L 70-81 47%     0 - 2 -19.7 -12.9 -5.9
  Nov 20, 2019 144   @ Tulsa L 66-73 11%     0 - 3 -2.7 -7.6 +5.3
  Nov 23, 2019 238   @ Austin Peay L 72-80 22%    
  Nov 25, 2019 114   @ Vanderbilt L 63-79 7%    
  Dec 03, 2019 225   @ Louisiana L 72-81 21%    
  Dec 18, 2019 255   @ Lamar L 67-74 25%    
  Dec 21, 2019 47   Mississippi L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 29, 2019 48   @ Oklahoma St. L 57-79 2%    
  Jan 02, 2020 231   Stephen F. Austin L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 04, 2020 299   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 08, 2020 182   @ Sam Houston St. L 64-75 16%    
  Jan 11, 2020 205   Nicholls St. L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 15, 2020 299   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 65-63 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 287   @ Abilene Christian L 64-70 31%    
  Jan 22, 2020 302   McNeese St. W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 25, 2020 345   @ Northwestern St. W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 29, 2020 309   @ Central Arkansas L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 01, 2020 258   New Orleans L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 05, 2020 296   Houston Baptist W 84-83 54%    
  Feb 08, 2020 346   @ Incarnate Word W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 12, 2020 182   Sam Houston St. L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 15, 2020 205   @ Nicholls St. L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 22, 2020 287   Abilene Christian W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 26, 2020 302   @ McNeese St. L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 29, 2020 345   Northwestern St. W 74-66 74%    
  Mar 04, 2020 309   Central Arkansas W 77-74 60%    
  Mar 07, 2020 258   @ New Orleans L 67-74 27%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.6 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.8 1.0 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.5 1.5 0.1 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.6 2.0 0.2 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 4.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 3.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.1 13th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.4 5.5 7.3 9.6 11.0 11.6 11.3 10.5 8.6 7.2 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 86.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 60.8% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 34.6% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 48.1% 48.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 22.1% 22.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
16-4 1.0% 25.2% 25.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.8
15-5 1.9% 22.1% 22.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.5
14-6 3.2% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.9
13-7 4.8% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.5
12-8 7.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.3 6.9
11-9 8.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.5
10-10 10.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.4
9-11 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.3
8-12 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
7-13 11.0% 11.0
6-14 9.6% 9.6
5-15 7.3% 7.3
4-16 5.5% 5.5
3-17 3.4% 3.4
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.0 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%