SE Louisiana
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#326
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#330
Pace74.7#59
Improvement+2.0#99

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#320
First Shot-6.1#327
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#162
Layup/Dunks-3.8#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#272
Freethrows-3.3#342
Improvement+1.0#122

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#295
First Shot-3.2#279
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#243
Layups/Dunks-2.9#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#118
Freethrows-2.8#321
Improvement+1.0#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 21.3% 32.0% 11.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.9% 7.1%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 48 - 108 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 169   @ Tulane L 55-76 12%     0 - 1 -18.3 -22.1 +5.7
  Nov 13, 2019 299   Grambling St. L 70-81 53%     0 - 2 -21.9 -12.1 -8.9
  Nov 20, 2019 97   @ Tulsa L 66-73 6%     0 - 3 +0.9 -5.4 +6.7
  Nov 23, 2019 172   @ Austin Peay L 60-81 12%     0 - 4 -18.4 -19.7 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2019 152   @ Vanderbilt L 70-78 10%     0 - 5 -4.3 -6.9 +3.1
  Dec 03, 2019 263   @ Louisiana L 81-98 24%     0 - 6 -19.8 -3.4 -14.4
  Dec 18, 2019 278   @ Lamar L 73-79 OT 27%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -9.7 -1.8 -7.7
  Dec 21, 2019 102   Mississippi L 76-83 9%     0 - 8 -2.4 +7.3 -9.8
  Dec 29, 2019 65   @ Oklahoma St. L 31-82 4%     0 - 9 -40.4 -33.8 -6.7
  Jan 02, 2020 139   Stephen F. Austin L 71-82 20%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -12.1 -5.4 -6.1
  Jan 04, 2020 293   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 84-80 31%     1 - 10 1 - 2 -0.8 +8.1 -9.0
  Jan 08, 2020 185   @ Sam Houston St. L 62-67 13%     1 - 11 1 - 3 -3.1 -12.3 +9.4
  Jan 11, 2020 209   Nicholls St. L 58-69 34%     1 - 12 1 - 4 -16.8 -16.7 +0.1
  Jan 15, 2020 293   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 62-56 51%     2 - 12 2 - 4 -4.4 -13.4 +8.9
  Jan 18, 2020 206   @ Abilene Christian L 55-76 17%     2 - 13 2 - 5 -21.1 -16.3 -4.7
  Jan 22, 2020 275   McNeese St. L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 25, 2020 328   @ Northwestern St. L 73-75 40%    
  Jan 29, 2020 306   @ Central Arkansas L 78-82 35%    
  Feb 01, 2020 324   New Orleans W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 05, 2020 344   Houston Baptist W 94-86 77%    
  Feb 08, 2020 347   @ Incarnate Word W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 12, 2020 185   Sam Houston St. L 71-77 28%    
  Feb 15, 2020 209   @ Nicholls St. L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 22, 2020 206   Abilene Christian L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 26, 2020 275   @ McNeese St. L 72-78 27%    
  Feb 29, 2020 328   Northwestern St. W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 04, 2020 306   Central Arkansas W 81-79 56%    
  Mar 07, 2020 324   @ New Orleans L 73-76 38%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 5.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.8 6.0 1.1 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 5.3 7.8 2.0 0.1 15.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.5 8.5 3.3 0.2 17.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.8 2.8 0.3 14.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.8 1.4 0.2 7.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.1 1.0 3.6 7.8 13.3 17.7 18.8 16.3 11.2 6.4 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 2.5% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.9% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8
12-8 2.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 2.7
11-9 6.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.3
10-10 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.1
9-11 16.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.3
8-12 18.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.8
7-13 17.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.7
6-14 13.3% 13.3
5-15 7.8% 7.8
4-16 3.6% 3.6
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%