Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#231
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#152
Pace83.9#13
Improvement-0.4#233

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#262
First Shot-0.9#201
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#271
Layup/Dunks+0.7#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#236
Freethrows+1.9#77
Improvement-0.4#241

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#198
First Shot-2.2#236
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#112
Layups/Dunks+2.4#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#126
Freethrows-7.1#350
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.1% 19.9% 13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 78.8% 94.0% 76.6%
.500 or above in Conference 82.7% 92.0% 81.3%
Conference Champion 18.8% 29.6% 17.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four2.5% 1.8% 2.6%
First Round13.0% 19.4% 12.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 416 - 618 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 317   NC Central W 94-64 81%     1 - 0 +16.8 +3.8 +8.4
  Nov 13, 2019 331   Niagara W 89-80 84%     2 - 0 -5.4 -0.1 -6.0
  Nov 16, 2019 257   Drexel W 82-67 66%     3 - 0 +6.9 -6.4 +11.1
  Nov 20, 2019 92   @ Rutgers L 69-81 13%    
  Nov 26, 2019 2   @ Duke L 67-94 0.5%   
  Nov 30, 2019 256   @ Arkansas St. L 77-79 44%    
  Dec 06, 2019 65   @ Alabama L 79-94 7%    
  Dec 14, 2019 232   Louisiana Monroe W 75-72 60%    
  Dec 18, 2019 295   Houston Baptist W 95-88 73%    
  Dec 21, 2019 301   @ McNeese St. W 78-77 56%    
  Jan 02, 2020 318   @ SE Louisiana W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 04, 2020 260   @ New Orleans L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 08, 2020 299   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 72-65 75%    
  Jan 15, 2020 309   @ Central Arkansas W 83-80 60%    
  Jan 18, 2020 346   Incarnate Word W 81-67 89%    
  Jan 22, 2020 345   @ Northwestern St. W 79-72 74%    
  Jan 25, 2020 255   @ Lamar L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 29, 2020 285   Abilene Christian W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 01, 2020 184   @ Sam Houston St. L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 05, 2020 209   Nicholls St. W 77-75 56%    
  Feb 08, 2020 260   New Orleans W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 12, 2020 299   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 19, 2020 309   Central Arkansas W 86-77 77%    
  Feb 22, 2020 346   @ Incarnate Word W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 26, 2020 345   Northwestern St. W 82-69 87%    
  Feb 29, 2020 255   Lamar W 78-74 64%    
  Mar 03, 2020 285   @ Abilene Christian L 71-72 50%    
  Mar 07, 2020 184   Sam Houston St. W 76-75 52%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 13 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 3.5 4.8 4.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 18.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.9 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.3 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.7 3.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.2 1.0 0.1 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.0 1.0 0.1 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.7 1.2 0.1 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 1.1 0.1 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.9 4.6 6.7 8.4 9.9 11.3 12.2 11.7 10.8 7.9 5.6 3.2 1.2 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 99.9% 1.1    1.1 0.1
18-2 94.3% 3.1    2.7 0.3 0.0
17-3 82.1% 4.6    3.5 1.1 0.0
16-4 61.4% 4.8    2.7 1.8 0.4 0.0
15-5 32.0% 3.5    1.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 9.8% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 18.8% 18.8 11.9 5.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 78.1% 78.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.2% 52.0% 52.0% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6
18-2 3.2% 43.2% 43.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.8
17-3 5.6% 40.3% 40.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 3.4
16-4 7.9% 31.8% 31.8% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.7 5.4
15-5 10.8% 25.7% 25.7% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 8.1
14-6 11.7% 15.9% 15.9% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.3 9.8
13-7 12.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 11.1
12-8 11.3% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.0 0.6 10.6
11-9 9.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.6
10-10 8.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.3
9-11 6.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.7
8-12 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
7-13 2.9% 2.9
6-14 1.6% 1.6
5-15 0.7% 0.7
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 5.2 6.1 85.9 0.0%