Alabama
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#50
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#211
Pace81.2#20
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#70
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#52
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.8% 2.8% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 6.1% 8.8% 2.9%
Top 6 Seed 12.8% 17.7% 7.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.7% 49.6% 27.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37.3% 47.0% 25.9%
Average Seed 7.5 7.3 8.0
.500 or above 57.9% 69.2% 44.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.7% 58.8% 43.2%
Conference Champion 3.8% 5.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 4.0% 8.5%
First Four3.3% 3.5% 3.1%
First Round37.9% 47.9% 26.1%
Second Round21.4% 27.6% 14.0%
Sweet Sixteen8.0% 10.6% 4.9%
Elite Eight3.3% 4.5% 1.8%
Final Four1.2% 1.8% 0.5%
Championship Game0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 25 - 49 - 13
Quad 35 - 214 - 15
Quad 43 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 107   Penn L 80-81 80%     0 - 1 -0.4 -4.7 +4.5
  Nov 11, 2019 170   Florida Atlantic W 78-59 89%     1 - 1 +15.3 -0.3 +14.2
  Nov 15, 2019 92   @ Rhode Island W 75-74 54%    
  Nov 19, 2019 56   Furman W 77-73 64%    
  Nov 27, 2019 6   North Carolina L 81-90 20%    
  Dec 06, 2019 260   Stephen F. Austin W 85-67 94%    
  Dec 14, 2019 40   @ Penn St. L 75-79 35%    
  Dec 18, 2019 192   Samford W 85-74 85%    
  Dec 21, 2019 78   Belmont W 84-81 59%    
  Dec 29, 2019 110   Richmond W 83-73 80%    
  Jan 04, 2020 14   @ Florida L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 08, 2020 58   Mississippi St. W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 11, 2020 5   @ Kentucky L 68-80 15%    
  Jan 15, 2020 33   Auburn W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 18, 2020 44   Missouri W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 22, 2020 125   @ Vanderbilt W 77-73 65%    
  Jan 25, 2020 49   Kansas St. W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 29, 2020 26   @ LSU L 82-88 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 30   Arkansas W 80-79 51%    
  Feb 04, 2020 29   Tennessee W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 08, 2020 67   @ Georgia L 81-82 46%    
  Feb 12, 2020 33   @ Auburn L 75-80 32%    
  Feb 15, 2020 26   LSU W 85-84 49%    
  Feb 19, 2020 76   Texas A&M W 78-72 68%    
  Feb 22, 2020 48   @ Mississippi L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 25, 2020 58   @ Mississippi St. L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 29, 2020 62   South Carolina W 79-75 64%    
  Mar 03, 2020 125   Vanderbilt W 80-70 80%    
  Mar 07, 2020 44   @ Missouri L 71-75 36%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 2.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.4 3.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 4.6 1.8 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.6 2.6 0.2 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.6 0.5 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.0 1.3 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.8 1.6 0.1 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 1.9 0.3 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 3.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 4.8 7.0 9.5 11.0 12.1 11.9 11.3 9.7 7.6 5.2 3.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 85.2% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 62.8% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 36.5% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 39.3% 60.7% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.9% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
15-3 1.5% 100.0% 16.6% 83.4% 3.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.3% 100.0% 18.8% 81.2% 4.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.2% 98.1% 12.2% 85.9% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.8%
12-6 7.6% 95.0% 9.2% 85.8% 7.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 94.5%
11-7 9.7% 83.9% 5.2% 78.7% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.6 83.0%
10-8 11.3% 63.9% 3.4% 60.6% 9.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.4 0.2 4.1 62.7%
9-9 11.9% 35.2% 1.7% 33.5% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.7 34.1%
8-10 12.1% 12.5% 1.2% 11.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.0 10.6 11.5%
7-11 11.0% 1.9% 0.4% 1.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.8 1.6%
6-12 9.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 0.5%
5-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 4.8% 4.8
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 39.7% 3.8% 35.8% 7.5 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.8 4.8 6.1 5.6 5.4 4.3 0.7 0.0 60.4 37.3%