Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#245
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#218
Pace72.1#115
Improvement+1.3#42

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#232
First Shot-1.6#228
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#189
Layup/Dunks+0.7#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
Freethrows-0.6#210
Improvement+2.5#8

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#248
First Shot-6.4#330
After Offensive Rebounds+3.9#19
Layups/Dunks-7.3#339
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#41
Freethrows-1.6#263
Improvement-1.1#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.4% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 28.1% 43.3% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 32.4% 40.6% 28.2%
Conference Champion 1.9% 3.0% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 11.2% 17.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round2.3% 3.2% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 33.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 83 - 13
Quad 410 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 88   @ Temple L 62-70 11%     0 - 1 +0.6 -9.8 +11.0
  Nov 08, 2019 332   Niagara W 72-64 83%     1 - 1 -6.4 -10.1 +3.6
  Nov 10, 2019 287   Abilene Christian W 86-83 OT 70%     2 - 1 -6.7 -0.9 -6.2
  Nov 13, 2019 91   @ Rutgers L 57-62 12%     2 - 2 +3.4 -7.6 +10.8
  Nov 16, 2019 231   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-82 36%     2 - 3 -15.7 -14.5 +1.0
  Nov 20, 2019 259   Bryant W 86-74 65%     3 - 3 +3.7 +7.4 -3.9
  Nov 30, 2019 217   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64-69 34%    
  Dec 04, 2019 210   Princeton W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 07, 2019 204   La Salle W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 15, 2019 142   @ South Florida L 64-73 21%    
  Dec 20, 2019 264   Quinnipiac W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 28, 2019 128   College of Charleston L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 30, 2019 280   UNC Wilmington W 80-75 68%    
  Jan 03, 2020 153   Delaware L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 09, 2020 165   @ Towson L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 11, 2020 219   @ James Madison L 79-83 35%    
  Jan 16, 2020 305   Elon W 76-68 75%    
  Jan 18, 2020 150   William & Mary L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 23, 2020 103   @ Northeastern L 68-80 15%    
  Jan 25, 2020 190   @ Hofstra L 73-79 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 153   @ Delaware L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 06, 2020 219   James Madison W 82-80 56%    
  Feb 08, 2020 165   Towson L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 13, 2020 150   @ William & Mary L 70-78 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 305   @ Elon W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 20, 2020 190   Hofstra W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 22, 2020 103   Northeastern L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 27, 2020 280   @ UNC Wilmington L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 128   @ College of Charleston L 66-76 20%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 3.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.2 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.9 6.7 3.7 0.5 0.0 15.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 4.8 6.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.7 4.7 2.1 0.3 14.5 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.7 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.1 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.1 8.1 11.2 13.3 13.4 12.9 11.0 8.6 5.8 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 89.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 58.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 30.5% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 26.9% 26.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 17.8% 17.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 17.3% 17.3% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
12-6 3.6% 7.5% 7.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.3
11-7 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.4
10-8 8.6% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 8.2
9-9 11.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.7
8-10 12.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.7 0.1 0.2 12.6
7-11 13.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 13.3% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.2
5-13 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.0
3-15 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-16 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-17 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%