Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#276
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#247
Pace83.6#11
Improvement-0.2#212

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#228
First Shot-4.3#298
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#53
Layup/Dunks+1.4#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#287
Freethrows-0.7#205
Improvement+1.2#27

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#296
First Shot+1.5#125
After Offensive Rebounds-5.8#348
Layups/Dunks-0.4#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#220
Freethrows-1.6#254
Improvement-1.5#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.1% 30.0% 21.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 41.4% 74.7% 40.7%
.500 or above in Conference 91.0% 97.8% 90.9%
Conference Champion 28.0% 41.6% 27.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Four16.4% 12.1% 16.5%
First Round14.3% 24.9% 14.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 2.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 31 - 11
Quad 414 - 615 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 47   @ San Diego St. L 42-77 5%     0 - 1 -22.0 -25.9 +5.5
  Nov 09, 2019 58   @ Wichita St. L 63-69 6%     0 - 2 +6.1 -7.7 +14.3
  Nov 15, 2019 147   @ South Dakota L 69-88 18%     0 - 3 -15.2 -5.5 -9.4
  Nov 19, 2019 31   @ Arkansas L 71-92 2%    
  Nov 23, 2019 138   @ Northern Kentucky L 72-83 16%    
  Nov 25, 2019 207   @ Montana L 73-80 27%    
  Nov 30, 2019 256   Lamar W 79-77 58%    
  Dec 04, 2019 5   @ Gonzaga L 70-98 1%    
  Dec 18, 2019 111   @ Nevada L 76-88 14%    
  Dec 21, 2019 12   @ Oregon L 63-88 1%    
  Dec 28, 2019 51   @ Arizona St. L 77-96 5%    
  Dec 30, 2019 94   @ Texas A&M L 70-84 10%    
  Jan 04, 2020 342   Southern W 80-69 83%    
  Jan 06, 2020 340   Alcorn St. W 85-75 81%    
  Jan 11, 2020 269   Prairie View W 81-78 60%    
  Jan 18, 2020 315   @ Jackson St. W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 20, 2020 250   @ Grambling St. L 79-83 35%    
  Jan 25, 2020 352   Mississippi Valley W 103-86 93%    
  Jan 27, 2020 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-68 83%    
  Feb 01, 2020 351   @ Alabama A&M W 84-74 80%    
  Feb 03, 2020 320   @ Alabama St. W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 269   @ Prairie View L 78-81 38%    
  Feb 15, 2020 315   Jackson St. W 82-75 72%    
  Feb 17, 2020 250   Grambling St. W 82-80 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 352   @ Mississippi Valley W 100-89 83%    
  Feb 24, 2020 344   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 29, 2020 351   Alabama A&M W 87-71 91%    
  Mar 02, 2020 320   Alabama St. W 80-73 74%    
  Mar 05, 2020 342   @ Southern W 77-72 65%    
  Mar 07, 2020 340   @ Alcorn St. W 82-78 62%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.8 8.1 6.6 3.4 1.0 28.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 4.0 8.1 6.6 2.9 0.3 23.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.0 6.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.0 2.0 0.2 12.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.0 1.0 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.4 4.2 6.3 9.1 11.9 13.0 15.0 13.3 11.1 6.9 3.4 1.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
17-1 100.0% 3.4    3.3 0.1
16-2 95.0% 6.6    5.6 1.0 0.0
15-3 73.3% 8.1    5.3 2.6 0.3
14-4 44.0% 5.8    2.8 2.5 0.6 0.0
13-5 18.0% 2.7    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.0% 28.0 18.6 7.5 1.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.0% 64.7% 64.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3
17-1 3.4% 48.6% 48.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.8
16-2 6.9% 46.9% 46.9% 15.7 0.1 0.6 2.5 3.7
15-3 11.1% 38.3% 38.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.8 6.8
14-4 13.3% 28.4% 28.4% 16.0 0.1 3.7 9.5
13-5 15.0% 23.5% 23.5% 16.0 0.0 3.5 11.5
12-6 13.0% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 2.0 11.0
11-7 11.9% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 1.6 10.4
10-8 9.1% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.8 8.3
9-9 6.3% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.3 6.0
8-10 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.2 4.0
7-11 2.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.3
6-12 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 19.6 77.9 0.0%