Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#274
Expected Predictive Rating-17.9#341
Pace70.3#164
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#266
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#259
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 5.5% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 24.3% 46.0% 19.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 59.2% 39.9%
Conference Champion 3.2% 6.3% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.2% 3.8%
First Four1.3% 1.1% 1.3%
First Round2.8% 5.1% 2.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 18.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 49 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 301   @ Denver L 62-74 47%     0 - 1 -16.9 -12.1 -5.2
  Nov 15, 2019 152   @ UAB L 65-74 18%    
  Nov 18, 2019 5   @ Kentucky L 56-83 0.5%   
  Nov 21, 2019 282   Lamar W 72-68 63%    
  Nov 23, 2019 162   @ North Dakota St. L 66-75 22%    
  Nov 26, 2019 268   @ Mount St. Mary's L 68-71 38%    
  Dec 01, 2019 171   @ Colorado St. L 68-76 23%    
  Dec 04, 2019 280   Weber St. W 75-71 63%    
  Dec 07, 2019 187   @ Southern Utah L 69-76 27%    
  Dec 14, 2019 289   Northern Arizona W 76-71 66%    
  Dec 18, 2019 290   @ Wyoming L 60-61 45%    
  Dec 21, 2019 260   @ Long Beach St. L 73-77 38%    
  Jan 02, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 83-71 86%    
  Jan 04, 2020 256   @ UMKC L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 239   @ Seattle L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 16, 2020 79   New Mexico St. L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 18, 2020 253   UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 23, 2020 213   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-72 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 164   @ Grand Canyon L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 29, 2020 197   California Baptist L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 239   Seattle W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 13, 2020 253   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 15, 2020 79   @ New Mexico St. L 63-78 10%    
  Feb 20, 2020 213   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 22, 2020 164   Grand Canyon L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 26, 2020 197   @ California Baptist L 73-80 29%    
  Mar 05, 2020 256   UMKC W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 07, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 86-68 94%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.1 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.9 4.5 2.1 0.3 10.2 3rd
4th 0.6 4.1 5.7 1.7 0.2 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.3 6.5 1.8 0.1 13.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.5 7.2 2.0 0.1 16.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.5 6.0 2.2 0.1 17.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.4 6.2 4.2 1.3 0.1 17.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 5.1 8.7 11.9 13.4 14.5 13.0 10.7 8.3 5.7 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 86.5% 0.5    0.4 0.2
13-3 63.2% 1.3    0.7 0.6 0.1
12-4 27.2% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
11-5 7.7% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 32.8% 32.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 29.4% 29.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-3 2.0% 19.5% 19.5% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.6
12-4 2.9% 17.0% 17.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.4
11-5 5.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.2
10-6 8.3% 6.6% 6.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.8
9-7 10.7% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.1 0.4 10.3
8-8 13.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.7
7-9 14.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 14.2
6-10 13.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.3
5-11 11.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.8
4-12 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
3-13 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-14 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 96.7 0.0%