Oklahoma
Big 12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#26
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#48
Pace70.7#159
Improvement+2.7#42

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#21
First Shot+4.9#54
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#39
Layup/Dunks+0.9#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#118
Freethrows+1.5#86
Improvement-2.4#318

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#42
First Shot+2.1#101
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#12
Layups/Dunks+2.7#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#308
Freethrows+2.3#47
Improvement+5.1#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.8% 2.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 9.0% 9.6% 2.2%
Top 6 Seed 23.2% 24.7% 6.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 63.5% 65.7% 37.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 61.9% 64.1% 36.8%
Average Seed 7.7 7.7 9.4
.500 or above 87.3% 89.6% 60.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.8% 66.9% 27.7%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 1.8%
First Four8.5% 8.4% 10.5%
First Round60.0% 62.3% 32.9%
Second Round36.7% 38.3% 17.7%
Sweet Sixteen16.5% 17.3% 7.5%
Elite Eight6.9% 7.4% 1.3%
Final Four2.9% 3.1% 1.0%
Championship Game1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Home) - 92.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 9
Quad 23 - 16 - 10
Quad 33 - 19 - 10
Quad 45 - 014 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 03, 2020 215   Texas San Antonio W 105-66 95%     1 - 0 +33.8 +12.1 +16.6
  Dec 06, 2020 103   @ TCU W 82-78 74%     2 - 0 1 - 0 +10.5 +17.1 -6.3
  Dec 09, 2020 48   @ Xavier L 77-99 52%     2 - 1 -9.4 +11.7 -21.5
  Dec 12, 2020 285   Florida A&M W 85-54 97%     3 - 1 +21.7 +9.1 +12.9
  Dec 16, 2020 159   Oral Roberts W 79-65 91%     4 - 1 +12.5 -3.1 +15.0
  Dec 19, 2020 330   Houston Baptist W 84-65 99%     5 - 1 +4.6 -2.6 +6.5
  Dec 22, 2020 17   Texas Tech L 67-69 48%     5 - 2 1 - 1 +11.7 +4.0 +7.7
  Jan 02, 2021 18   West Virginia W 75-71 50%     6 - 2 2 - 1 +17.1 +4.9 +12.1
  Jan 06, 2021 2   @ Baylor L 61-76 15%     6 - 3 2 - 2 +9.4 +3.5 +4.9
  Jan 09, 2021 14   @ Kansas L 59-63 35%     6 - 4 2 - 3 +13.2 -1.3 +14.2
  Jan 12, 2021 103   TCU W 82-46 83%     7 - 4 3 - 3 +39.1 +15.7 +25.6
  Jan 19, 2021 139   Kansas St. W 76-63 92%    
  Jan 23, 2021 14   Kansas L 72-73 54%    
  Jan 26, 2021 10   @ Texas L 70-75 27%    
  Jan 30, 2021 13   Alabama L 79-80 52%    
  Feb 01, 2021 17   @ Texas Tech L 68-72 32%    
  Feb 06, 2021 113   Iowa St. W 80-69 86%    
  Feb 10, 2021 2   Baylor L 70-78 27%    
  Feb 13, 2021 18   @ West Virginia L 72-75 33%    
  Feb 16, 2021 10   Texas L 72-74 47%    
  Feb 20, 2021 113   @ Iowa St. W 78-71 71%    
  Feb 23, 2021 139   @ Kansas St. W 74-64 78%    
  Feb 27, 2021 31   Oklahoma St. W 76-73 64%    
Projected Record 14 - 9 9 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.0 1st
2nd 0.2 2.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 5.1 7.4 1.9 0.1 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 5.7 11.2 3.5 0.1 21.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 6.3 11.0 4.8 0.2 23.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.8 8.6 3.4 0.1 17.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.6 5.3 2.3 0.2 12.3 7th
8th 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.1 11.4 17.8 20.8 21.4 13.5 6.4 1.5 0.2 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 89.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1
13-5 28.8% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.0
12-6 5.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 19.7% 80.3% 1.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 100.0% 27.7% 72.3% 2.5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 6.4% 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 4.3 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 13.5% 98.8% 5.8% 93.0% 5.8 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.7 3.6 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.2 98.8%
10-8 21.4% 93.4% 5.3% 88.1% 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.9 3.8 3.9 2.7 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 1.4 93.0%
9-9 20.8% 72.1% 2.7% 69.4% 9.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.5 2.5 2.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.8 71.3%
8-10 17.8% 34.9% 3.0% 31.9% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.2 2.3 1.0 0.2 11.6 32.9%
7-11 11.4% 7.7% 1.2% 6.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 10.5 6.6%
6-12 5.1% 5.1
5-13 1.5% 1.5
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 63.5% 4.3% 59.2% 7.7 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.5 6.3 8.0 7.7 7.4 6.1 5.3 5.6 5.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 36.5 61.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.3 75.0 25.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 100.0