Kansas
Big 12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.1#18
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#13
Pace68.8#209
Improvement-0.5#201

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#21
First Shot+4.8#54
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#32
Layup/Dunks+3.1#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#103
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement+1.0#95

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#17
First Shot+3.8#66
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#12
Layups/Dunks+4.0#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#230
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#252
Freethrows+2.3#41
Improvement-1.5#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 3.2% 3.4% 0.7%
Top 2 Seed 11.5% 12.4% 3.4%
Top 4 Seed 40.9% 43.3% 20.3%
Top 6 Seed 65.6% 68.5% 39.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.5% 95.5% 85.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 94.0% 95.1% 84.6%
Average Seed 5.5 5.3 7.1
.500 or above 97.4% 98.1% 91.8%
.500 or above in Conference 84.0% 86.9% 58.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.8% 4.1% 11.1%
First Round92.4% 93.7% 81.0%
Second Round69.1% 71.1% 51.1%
Sweet Sixteen37.3% 38.6% 25.9%
Elite Eight17.1% 17.9% 9.4%
Final Four7.5% 8.0% 3.8%
Championship Game3.5% 3.7% 1.5%
National Champion1.4% 1.5% 0.1%

Next Game: TCU (Home) - 89.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 16 - 9
Quad 23 - 09 - 9
Quad 33 - 012 - 10
Quad 44 - 016 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 1   Gonzaga L 90-102 20%     0 - 1 +12.0 +12.0 +1.7
  Nov 27, 2020 203   Saint Joseph's W 94-72 95%     1 - 1 +18.9 +3.8 +11.8
  Dec 01, 2020 51   Kentucky W 65-62 67%     2 - 1 +13.6 -3.0 +16.4
  Dec 05, 2020 161   North Dakota St. W 65-61 93%     3 - 1 +2.2 -5.2 +7.6
  Dec 08, 2020 12   Creighton W 73-72 54%     4 - 1 +15.2 +1.2 +13.9
  Dec 11, 2020 265   Nebraska Omaha W 95-50 97%     5 - 1 +36.8 +16.2 +19.5
  Dec 17, 2020 15   @ Texas Tech W 58-57 42%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +18.3 +0.3 +18.1
  Dec 22, 2020 16   West Virginia W 79-65 56%     7 - 1 2 - 0 +27.5 +26.6 +3.3
  Jan 02, 2021 10   Texas L 59-84 51%     7 - 2 2 - 1 -10.1 -9.4 +0.5
  Jan 05, 2021 103   @ TCU W 93-64 79%     8 - 2 3 - 1 +35.7 +29.6 +8.1
  Jan 09, 2021 21   Oklahoma W 63-59 60%     9 - 2 4 - 1 +16.4 +0.0 +16.7
  Jan 12, 2021 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-75 56%     9 - 3 4 - 2 +8.6 +3.5 +5.1
  Jan 18, 2021 2   @ Baylor L 69-77 18%     9 - 4 4 - 3 +17.0 +12.9 +3.4
  Jan 23, 2021 21   @ Oklahoma L 68-75 46%     9 - 5 4 - 4 +9.2 +3.4 +5.7
  Jan 26, 2021 103   TCU W 75-63 90%    
  Jan 30, 2021 13   @ Tennessee L 65-67 38%    
  Feb 02, 2021 156   Kansas St. W 75-58 95%    
  Feb 06, 2021 16   @ West Virginia L 70-72 39%    
  Feb 08, 2021 38   Oklahoma St. W 75-70 72%    
  Feb 13, 2021 110   @ Iowa St. W 77-68 77%    
  Feb 16, 2021 156   @ Kansas St. W 73-60 86%    
  Feb 20, 2021 15   Texas Tech W 69-67 61%    
  Feb 22, 2021 10   @ Texas L 69-72 33%    
  Feb 27, 2021 2   Baylor L 69-75 33%    
Projected Record 15 - 9 10 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 0.8 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 2.8 10.3 8.0 1.2 22.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.0 13.7 9.5 1.0 26.2 3rd
4th 0.7 10.4 10.1 0.9 22.0 4th
5th 0.4 4.7 9.5 1.6 16.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.0 1.5 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.7 0.9 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.7 11.4 23.3 28.2 20.7 9.8 2.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 38.8% 0.8    0.2 0.5 0.0
12-6 8.3% 0.8    0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 2.0% 100.0% 24.8% 75.2% 1.7 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%
12-6 9.8% 100.0% 15.6% 84.4% 2.5 1.6 3.8 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 20.7% 100.0% 11.9% 88.1% 3.6 0.7 2.9 6.5 6.3 3.2 1.0 0.2 100.0%
10-8 28.2% 99.9% 7.6% 92.3% 5.1 0.0 0.8 3.7 6.2 7.1 5.2 3.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
9-9 23.3% 98.4% 4.4% 94.0% 7.2 0.0 0.6 1.5 3.4 3.8 4.1 3.1 2.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 98.3%
8-10 11.4% 82.6% 2.2% 80.4% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 2.0 82.2%
7-11 3.7% 36.6% 2.9% 33.7% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3 34.7%
6-12 0.8% 10.0% 1.3% 8.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 8.8%
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.5% 8.0% 86.5% 5.5 3.2 8.3 14.0 15.5 14.1 10.6 8.6 5.4 4.6 3.3 2.5 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.5 94.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 1.3 73.3 26.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 100.0% 1.2 84.7 11.9 3.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 100.0% 1.5 54.3 39.1 6.5