Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#158
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#202
Pace60.4#346
Improvement+0.4#130

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#186
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#231
Layup/Dunks+1.0#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#191
Freethrows+0.9#123
Improvement+1.0#78

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#140
First Shot+3.6#73
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#316
Layups/Dunks-3.3#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#26
Freethrows+2.7#39
Improvement-0.6#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.6% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 42.8% 52.5% 28.3%
.500 or above in Conference 47.4% 57.6% 32.3%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 3.2% 13.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.0% 3.6% 2.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Away) - 59.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 33 - 55 - 12
Quad 49 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 283   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-69 66%     0 - 1 -6.7 -8.7 +2.1
  Nov 12, 2021 259   Austin Peay W 73-55 80%     1 - 1 +9.7 +4.6 +7.3
  Nov 19, 2021 75   Colorado W 67-63 27%     2 - 1 +10.8 +7.8 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2021 149   Northeastern L 47-59 47%     2 - 2 -10.6 -17.8 +6.4
  Nov 22, 2021 87   Creighton L 64-66 30%     2 - 3 +4.1 +4.3 -0.5
  Nov 26, 2021 326   Alcorn St. W 62-59 89%     3 - 3 -10.1 -4.3 -5.2
  Dec 01, 2021 252   @ Evansville W 61-59 60%    
  Dec 04, 2021 247   Southern Miss W 66-58 78%    
  Dec 11, 2021 135   @ Tulsa L 61-66 32%    
  Dec 15, 2021 307   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-63 86%    
  Dec 22, 2021 49   @ San Francisco L 58-70 14%    
  Jan 02, 2022 32   Loyola Chicago L 57-65 22%    
  Jan 05, 2022 54   Drake L 62-67 32%    
  Jan 08, 2022 202   @ Valparaiso L 63-64 47%    
  Jan 12, 2022 90   @ Missouri St. L 64-72 22%    
  Jan 15, 2022 114   Northern Iowa L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 19, 2022 174   Indiana St. W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 22, 2022 211   @ Bradley L 62-63 49%    
  Jan 25, 2022 32   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-68 10%    
  Jan 29, 2022 202   Valparaiso W 66-61 68%    
  Feb 02, 2022 90   Missouri St. L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 05, 2022 243   @ Illinois St. W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 09, 2022 114   @ Northern Iowa L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 252   Evansville W 64-56 77%    
  Feb 15, 2022 211   Bradley W 65-59 68%    
  Feb 19, 2022 174   @ Indiana St. L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 22, 2022 243   Illinois St. W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 26, 2022 54   @ Drake L 59-70 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 3.8 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.3 6.0 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.1 7.0 3.8 0.7 0.0 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.5 6.4 3.0 0.3 16.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.5 5.1 1.9 0.2 12.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.6 3.9 1.0 0.1 9.5 8th
9th 0.2 0.7 2.6 2.8 0.7 0.1 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 4.5 7.7 10.2 12.6 14.2 13.7 12.0 9.5 6.1 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 60.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 30.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 7.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.5%
15-3 0.6% 18.8% 18.8% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.8% 17.1% 17.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.6% 11.2% 11.2% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.2
12-6 6.1% 8.0% 8.0% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.6
11-7 9.5% 4.9% 4.9% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.1
10-8 12.0% 3.8% 3.8% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.5
9-9 13.7% 2.9% 2.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.3
8-10 14.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.0
7-11 12.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 7.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 7.7
4-14 4.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 96.9 0.0%