Creighton
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#87
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#58
Pace70.3#151
Improvement-0.7#248

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#96
First Shot+2.5#107
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks+12.5#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#306
Freethrows-2.5#314
Improvement+1.5#41

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#86
First Shot+0.6#150
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#49
Layups/Dunks-3.9#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#248
Freethrows+4.3#5
Improvement-2.2#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.1% 2.4% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.8% 20.1% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.3% 18.4% 7.5%
Average Seed 9.3 9.2 9.6
.500 or above 60.0% 64.8% 40.5%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 33.7% 22.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 12.3% 17.6%
First Four4.0% 4.5% 2.2%
First Round15.5% 17.5% 7.0%
Second Round6.4% 7.2% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.8% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Home) - 80.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 35 - 212 - 15
Quad 45 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 90-77 99%     1 - 0 -9.6 -0.7 -10.1
  Nov 11, 2021 310   Kennesaw St. W 51-44 94%     2 - 0 -4.2 -22.6 +18.8
  Nov 16, 2021 109   @ Nebraska W 77-69 46%     3 - 0 +15.2 +5.4 +9.5
  Nov 19, 2021 226   Brown W 78-57 81%     4 - 0 +17.8 +3.1 +13.9
  Nov 21, 2021 41   Colorado St. L 81-95 34%     4 - 1 -3.8 +7.8 -11.3
  Nov 22, 2021 158   Southern Illinois W 66-64 70%     5 - 1 +2.6 +4.5 -1.6
  Nov 27, 2021 328   SIU Edwardsville W 70-65 95%     6 - 1 -8.5 -8.1 -0.3
  Nov 30, 2021 168   North Dakota St. W 71-62 80%    
  Dec 04, 2021 61   Iowa St. W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 11, 2021 26   BYU L 68-75 25%    
  Dec 14, 2021 96   Arizona St. W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 17, 2021 8   Villanova L 66-74 24%    
  Dec 20, 2021 100   @ DePaul L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 28, 2021 139   Georgetown W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 01, 2022 69   @ Marquette L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 05, 2022 8   @ Villanova L 63-77 10%    
  Jan 11, 2022 55   Providence W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 40   @ Xavier L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 19, 2022 62   St. John's W 78-77 56%    
  Jan 22, 2022 100   DePaul W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 26, 2022 104   @ Butler L 64-65 45%    
  Jan 29, 2022 40   Xavier L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 01, 2022 13   @ Connecticut L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 04, 2022 27   @ Seton Hall L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 08, 2022 104   Butler W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 12, 2022 139   @ Georgetown W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 20, 2022 69   Marquette W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 23, 2022 62   @ St. John's L 75-80 34%    
  Feb 26, 2022 55   @ Providence L 68-73 31%    
  Mar 02, 2022 13   Connecticut L 69-75 30%    
  Mar 05, 2022 27   Seton Hall L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.9 0.9 0.2 7.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 4.4 3.2 1.1 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 5.5 4.0 1.1 0.1 12.8 6th
7th 0.3 2.2 6.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 13.9 7th
8th 0.4 2.4 5.5 4.3 0.8 0.1 13.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.8 5.1 3.8 1.0 0.1 13.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.4 2.9 0.7 0.1 11.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.2 7.6 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.9 5.6 8.9 10.9 12.5 13.4 12.3 10.6 7.6 5.9 3.5 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 92.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 58.2% 0.3    0.2 0.2
15-5 26.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 14.5% 85.5% 5.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.1% 97.1% 8.6% 88.6% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.9%
14-6 2.2% 95.5% 9.8% 85.7% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.0%
13-7 3.5% 86.1% 7.4% 78.8% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 85.0%
12-8 5.9% 69.6% 4.4% 65.1% 9.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.3 1.8 68.2%
11-9 7.6% 44.3% 3.4% 40.9% 10.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.2 42.3%
10-10 10.6% 22.7% 2.4% 20.4% 10.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 8.2 20.9%
9-11 12.3% 6.7% 2.0% 4.7% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 11.5 4.8%
8-12 13.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.8%
7-13 12.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
6-14 10.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9
5-15 8.9% 8.9
4-16 5.6% 5.6
3-17 2.9% 2.9
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 17.8% 1.8% 16.0% 9.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.4 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 82.2 16.3%