IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.3	#261
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.1	#209
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.3	#249

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#272

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.0%	28.2%	13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.6	15.3

.500 or above	54.8%	82.7%	49.2%
.500 or above in Conference	79.2%	92.5%	76.5%
Conference Champion	19.3%	34.4%	16.2%
Last Place in Conference	1.9%	0.3%	2.2%

First Four	4.5%	4.2%	4.6%
First Round	13.4%	25.8%	10.9%
Second Round	0.5%	1.5%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 7	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	138	@ Southern Illinois	L	59-69	17%
Nov 14, 2022	334	@ Central Arkansas	W	79-76	61%
Nov 17, 2022	189	@ East Tennessee St.	L	66-74	25%
Nov 20, 2022	308	Jackson St.	W	67-61	71%
Nov 23, 2022	13	@ Indiana	L	58-82	2%
Nov 26, 2022	269	@ Miami (OH)	L	71-74	41%
Nov 30, 2022	83	@ San Francisco	L	65-80	10%
Dec 06, 2022	35	@ Memphis	L	63-83	5%
Dec 17, 2022	209	@ Jacksonville St.	L	66-73	29%
Dec 20, 2022	334	Central Arkansas	W	82-73	76%
Dec 22, 2022	230	@ Arkansas St.	L	68-73	33%
Dec 29, 2022	352	Tennessee Martin	W	81-68	86%
Dec 31, 2022	276	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-73	43%
Jan 05, 2023	355	Lindenwood	W	78-64	88%
Jan 07, 2023	281	Southeast Missouri St.	W	80-75	64%
Jan 12, 2023	339	@ Southern Indiana	W	72-68	62%
Jan 14, 2023	330	@ Eastern Illinois	W	70-67	58%
Jan 19, 2023	305	Tennessee Tech	W	77-71	68%
Jan 21, 2023	276	Tennessee St.	W	74-70	62%
Jan 26, 2023	187	@ Morehead St.	L	62-70	27%
Jan 28, 2023	305	@ Tennessee Tech	W	75-74	50%
Feb 02, 2023	281	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	77-78	45%
Feb 04, 2023	326	SIU Edwardsville	W	75-67	73%
Feb 09, 2023	187	Morehead St.	L	65-67	44%
Feb 11, 2023	352	@ Tennessee Martin	W	78-71	72%
Feb 16, 2023	339	Southern Indiana	W	75-65	78%
Feb 18, 2023	330	Eastern Illinois	W	73-64	75%
Feb 23, 2023	326	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	72-70	56%
Feb 25, 2023	355	@ Lindenwood	W	75-67	75%
Projected Record						15 - 14	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.4	3.4	5.1	4.8	3.2	1.1		19.3	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	3.1	5.9	5.5	2.7	0.6				18.7	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.4	4.3	5.9	3.6	0.9	0.1					16.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.6	4.5	4.8	2.0	0.3	0.0						13.3	4th
5th								0.2	1.7	4.0	3.4	1.1	0.1								10.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	1.7	3.3	2.3	0.7	0.0									8.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.5	2.5	1.5	0.3	0.0										6.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.2	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0											4.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0												2.4	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0														1.0	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.3	3.7	5.3	6.8	8.3	10.0	11.0	11.3	11.1	9.9	7.9	5.5	3.2	1.1			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.1		1.1
17-1	100.0%	3.2		3.0	0.2
16-2	88.6%	4.8		3.9	0.9	0.0
15-3	65.1%	5.1		3.2	1.8	0.2
14-4	34.8%	3.4		1.4	1.6	0.4	0.0
13-5	12.4%	1.4		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.3%	19.3		12.9	5.3	1.0	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.1%		71.3%	71.3%		13.4							0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.3
17-1	3.2%		58.7%	58.7%		14.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.2	1.3
16-2	5.5%		44.8%	44.8%		14.6													0.0	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.4	3.0
15-3	7.9%		35.7%	35.7%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.0	5.1
14-4	9.9%		26.5%	26.5%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.4	7.3
13-5	11.1%		18.4%	18.4%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	9.1
12-6	11.3%		12.9%	12.9%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.2	9.8
11-7	11.0%		8.1%	8.1%		15.9																0.1	0.8	10.1
10-8	10.0%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																0.0	0.5	9.5
9-9	8.3%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																0.0	0.3	8.0
8-10	6.8%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	6.7
7-11	5.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	5.3
6-12	3.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
5-13	2.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
4-14	1.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		16.0%	16.0%	0.0%	15.1							0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.6	4.4	7.6	84.0		0.0%