Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#261
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.1#209
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#249
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.0% 28.2% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.6 15.3
.500 or above 54.8% 82.7% 49.2%
.500 or above in Conference 79.2% 92.5% 76.5%
Conference Champion 19.3% 34.4% 16.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.3% 2.2%
First Four4.5% 4.2% 4.6%
First Round13.4% 25.8% 10.9%
Second Round0.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 414 - 715 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 138   @ Southern Illinois L 59-69 17%    
  Nov 14, 2022 334   @ Central Arkansas W 79-76 61%    
  Nov 17, 2022 189   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-74 25%    
  Nov 20, 2022 308   Jackson St. W 67-61 71%    
  Nov 23, 2022 13   @ Indiana L 58-82 2%    
  Nov 26, 2022 269   @ Miami (OH) L 71-74 41%    
  Nov 30, 2022 83   @ San Francisco L 65-80 10%    
  Dec 06, 2022 35   @ Memphis L 63-83 5%    
  Dec 17, 2022 209   @ Jacksonville St. L 66-73 29%    
  Dec 20, 2022 334   Central Arkansas W 82-73 76%    
  Dec 22, 2022 230   @ Arkansas St. L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 29, 2022 352   Tennessee Martin W 81-68 86%    
  Dec 31, 2022 276   @ Tennessee St. L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 05, 2023 355   Lindenwood W 78-64 88%    
  Jan 07, 2023 281   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-75 64%    
  Jan 12, 2023 339   @ Southern Indiana W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 330   @ Eastern Illinois W 70-67 58%    
  Jan 19, 2023 305   Tennessee Tech W 77-71 68%    
  Jan 21, 2023 276   Tennessee St. W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 26, 2023 187   @ Morehead St. L 62-70 27%    
  Jan 28, 2023 305   @ Tennessee Tech W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 02, 2023 281   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 04, 2023 326   SIU Edwardsville W 75-67 73%    
  Feb 09, 2023 187   Morehead St. L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 11, 2023 352   @ Tennessee Martin W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 16, 2023 339   Southern Indiana W 75-65 78%    
  Feb 18, 2023 330   Eastern Illinois W 73-64 75%    
  Feb 23, 2023 326   @ SIU Edwardsville W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 25, 2023 355   @ Lindenwood W 75-67 75%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.4 5.1 4.8 3.2 1.1 19.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.1 5.9 5.5 2.7 0.6 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.3 5.9 3.6 0.9 0.1 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 4.0 3.4 1.1 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.7 5.3 6.8 8.3 10.0 11.0 11.3 11.1 9.9 7.9 5.5 3.2 1.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 100.0% 3.2    3.0 0.2
16-2 88.6% 4.8    3.9 0.9 0.0
15-3 65.1% 5.1    3.2 1.8 0.2
14-4 34.8% 3.4    1.4 1.6 0.4 0.0
13-5 12.4% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.3% 19.3 12.9 5.3 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 71.3% 71.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 3.2% 58.7% 58.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.3
16-2 5.5% 44.8% 44.8% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.4 3.0
15-3 7.9% 35.7% 35.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 5.1
14-4 9.9% 26.5% 26.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 7.3
13-5 11.1% 18.4% 18.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 9.1
12-6 11.3% 12.9% 12.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 9.8
11-7 11.0% 8.1% 8.1% 15.9 0.1 0.8 10.1
10-8 10.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.5
9-9 8.3% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 8.0
8-10 6.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 6.7
7-11 5.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.3
6-12 3.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.7
5-13 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-14 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.4 7.6 84.0 0.0%