IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bellarmine
Atlantic Sun
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.0	#250
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	58.9	#354
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.3	#189

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#287

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	30.6%	66.8%	27.6%
.500 or above in Conference	54.7%	79.2%	52.6%
Conference Champion	5.1%	14.4%	4.3%
Last Place in Conference	5.2%	0.9%	5.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 7
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 5	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2022	73	@ Louisville	L	59-74	8%
Nov 12, 2022	187	@ Morehead St.	L	60-66	28%
Nov 18, 2022	65	@ Clemson	L	58-74	9%
Nov 21, 2022	7	@ Duke	L	58-83	2%
Nov 25, 2022	155	@ Loyola Marymount	L	63-71	26%
Nov 27, 2022	8	@ UCLA	L	54-78	2%
Nov 29, 2022	3	@ Kentucky	L	56-82	2%
Dec 10, 2022	114	Murray St.	L	63-68	35%
Dec 17, 2022	269	Miami (OH)	W	72-67	65%
Dec 21, 2022	313	@ Evansville	W	64-62	57%
Dec 29, 2022	100	Liberty	L	62-68	31%
Jan 02, 2023	309	@ North Alabama	W	68-66	57%
Jan 05, 2023	321	Queens	W	73-64	76%
Jan 07, 2023	209	@ Jacksonville St.	L	64-69	33%
Jan 12, 2023	292	Stetson	W	69-62	71%
Jan 14, 2023	203	Florida Gulf Coast	W	72-71	51%
Jan 19, 2023	254	@ Austin Peay	L	63-65	43%
Jan 21, 2023	225	@ Lipscomb	L	69-73	37%
Jan 26, 2023	219	Eastern Kentucky	W	73-72	54%
Jan 28, 2023	219	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	70-75	36%
Feb 02, 2023	242	Kennesaw St.	W	69-66	58%
Feb 04, 2023	209	Jacksonville St.	W	67-66	52%
Feb 09, 2023	100	@ Liberty	L	59-71	17%
Feb 11, 2023	321	@ Queens	W	70-67	59%
Feb 16, 2023	309	North Alabama	W	71-63	74%
Feb 18, 2023	334	Central Arkansas	W	78-68	79%
Feb 22, 2023	160	@ Jacksonville	L	57-64	28%
Feb 24, 2023	243	@ North Florida	L	68-71	39%
Projected Record						11 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.3	1.1	1.6	1.3	0.5	0.2		5.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.8	2.0	2.3	1.0	0.2	0.0			6.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.9	3.0	2.8	0.9	0.1					7.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	3.2	3.2	0.9	0.1						8.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	3.1	3.9	1.1	0.1	0.0						8.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.8	4.1	1.4	0.1								8.8	6th
7th								0.2	2.2	4.4	1.9	0.2									8.9	7th
8th							0.1	1.5	4.4	2.5	0.4	0.0									8.8	8th
9th						0.1	1.0	3.9	3.1	0.6	0.0										8.6	9th
10th					0.1	0.8	2.9	3.3	0.8	0.0											7.8	10th
11th			0.0	0.0	0.6	2.5	2.9	1.0	0.1	0.0											7.1	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.5	2.0	2.4	1.0	0.1													6.1	12th
13th		0.1	0.6	1.5	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0													4.7	13th
14th	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.0															2.8	14th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.9	4.7	6.5	8.0	10.0	10.9	11.0	10.5	9.6	8.2	6.2	4.4	2.7	1.5	0.5	0.2			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	98.6%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	87.0%	1.3		0.9	0.3	0.0
15-3	58.2%	1.6		0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0
14-4	25.4%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	5.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.1%	5.1		2.8	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%																							0.2
17-1	0.5%																							0.5
16-2	1.5%																							1.5
15-3	2.7%																							2.7
14-4	4.4%																							4.4
13-5	6.2%																							6.2
12-6	8.2%																							8.2
11-7	9.6%																							9.6
10-8	10.5%																							10.5
9-9	11.0%																							11.0
8-10	10.9%																							10.9
7-11	10.0%																							10.0
6-12	8.0%																							8.0
5-13	6.5%																							6.5
4-14	4.7%																							4.7
3-15	2.9%																							2.9
2-16	1.5%																							1.5
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%