Preseason Rankings
Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#219
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.1#25
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#268
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 11.7% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.6 14.6
.500 or above 54.4% 75.8% 42.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.6% 81.2% 60.0%
Conference Champion 8.8% 14.7% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.1% 4.1%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round7.0% 11.2% 4.6%
Second Round0.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Home) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 414 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 107   Western Kentucky L 77-81 36%    
  Nov 13, 2022 53   @ Cincinnati L 70-85 9%    
  Nov 18, 2022 169   @ Georgia St. L 74-79 32%    
  Nov 19, 2022 211   UNC Asheville L 77-78 49%    
  Nov 20, 2022 343   Texas A&M - Commerce W 81-71 81%    
  Dec 02, 2022 162   @ James Madison L 78-84 32%    
  Dec 07, 2022 10   @ Tennessee L 65-87 3%    
  Dec 14, 2022 195   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 17, 2022 293   Radford W 76-67 76%    
  Dec 22, 2022 139   UNC Greensboro L 69-70 46%    
  Dec 31, 2022 321   Queens W 84-73 81%    
  Jan 02, 2023 242   @ Kennesaw St. L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 05, 2023 334   @ Central Arkansas W 87-81 69%    
  Jan 08, 2023 100   Liberty L 71-76 36%    
  Jan 12, 2023 203   Florida Gulf Coast W 83-81 57%    
  Jan 14, 2023 292   Stetson W 79-70 75%    
  Jan 19, 2023 225   @ Lipscomb L 80-82 42%    
  Jan 21, 2023 254   @ Austin Peay L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 26, 2023 250   @ Bellarmine L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 28, 2023 250   Bellarmine W 75-70 64%    
  Feb 02, 2023 209   Jacksonville St. W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 04, 2023 242   Kennesaw St. W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 09, 2023 321   @ Queens W 81-76 64%    
  Feb 11, 2023 100   @ Liberty L 68-79 20%    
  Feb 16, 2023 334   Central Arkansas W 90-78 83%    
  Feb 18, 2023 309   North Alabama W 82-72 78%    
  Feb 22, 2023 243   @ North Florida L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 24, 2023 160   @ Jacksonville L 66-72 33%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.5 2.4 1.3 0.3 8.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.8 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.6 4.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.4 1.4 0.1 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.2 1.7 0.2 9.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 0.7 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.1 6.0 7.8 9.2 10.7 11.0 11.1 10.2 8.5 7.0 4.7 2.8 1.3 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.9% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 84.5% 2.4    1.7 0.7 0.0
15-3 54.5% 2.5    1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0
14-4 24.4% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 5.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 54.8% 47.8% 7.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.4%
17-1 1.3% 43.2% 39.0% 4.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 6.9%
16-2 2.8% 30.9% 30.1% 0.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.9 1.2%
15-3 4.7% 22.5% 22.4% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 0.1%
14-4 7.0% 16.7% 16.6% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 5.8 0.1%
13-5 8.5% 11.9% 11.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 7.5
12-6 10.2% 8.8% 8.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 9.3
11-7 11.1% 6.4% 6.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 10.4
10-8 11.0% 4.3% 4.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.5
9-9 10.7% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.4
8-10 9.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.0
7-11 7.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.7
6-12 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-13 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.5% 7.4% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.5 92.5 0.1%