IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Campbell
Big South
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.7	#256
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.1	#351
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#283

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.2	#207

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.9%	17.2%	7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	13.9	14.9

.500 or above	50.8%	84.0%	48.3%
.500 or above in Conference	60.0%	84.0%	58.2%
Conference Champion	9.0%	21.4%	8.1%
Last Place in Conference	5.8%	1.0%	6.1%

First Four	1.9%	1.5%	1.9%
First Round	7.0%	16.7%	6.3%
Second Round	0.4%	1.8%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 6.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 7	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2022	69	@ North Carolina St.	L	58-74	7%
Nov 18, 2022	183	@ Appalachian St.	L	58-65	26%
Nov 19, 2022	316	SE Louisiana	W	72-67	65%
Nov 20, 2022	242	Kennesaw St.	L	65-66	46%
Nov 23, 2022	160	Jacksonville	L	58-60	42%
Nov 27, 2022	292	Stetson	W	66-60	69%
Dec 02, 2022	192	@ East Carolina	L	61-68	28%
Dec 07, 2022	313	@ Evansville	W	61-60	55%
Dec 17, 2022	251	@ Georgia Southern	L	61-65	38%
Dec 21, 2022	179	UNC Wilmington	L	64-65	46%
Dec 29, 2022	310	@ Presbyterian	W	62-61	54%
Dec 31, 2022	152	Longwood	L	63-66	41%
Jan 04, 2023	237	Gardner-Webb	W	63-62	55%
Jan 07, 2023	211	@ UNC Asheville	L	63-69	32%
Jan 11, 2023	345	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	68-63	66%
Jan 14, 2023	174	Winthrop	L	66-67	45%
Jan 18, 2023	293	Radford	W	64-58	69%
Jan 21, 2023	335	@ Charleston Southern	W	68-64	61%
Jan 25, 2023	255	@ High Point	L	62-65	40%
Jan 28, 2023	211	UNC Asheville	W	66-65	50%
Feb 01, 2023	345	South Carolina Upstate	W	71-60	81%
Feb 04, 2023	152	@ Longwood	L	60-69	24%
Feb 08, 2023	255	High Point	W	65-62	59%
Feb 11, 2023	237	@ Gardner-Webb	L	60-65	36%
Feb 15, 2023	335	Charleston Southern	W	71-61	78%
Feb 18, 2023	310	Presbyterian	W	65-58	71%
Feb 22, 2023	174	@ Winthrop	L	63-70	28%
Feb 25, 2023	293	@ Radford	W	62-61	50%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.0	2.1	2.6	1.9	0.9	0.3		9.0	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.7	2.6	3.8	3.0	1.2	0.1				11.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.4	3.8	4.3	2.2	0.5	0.0					12.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.9	4.5	4.4	1.7	0.2	0.0						13.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.4	4.8	3.8	1.1	0.1								12.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.7	4.9	3.3	0.7	0.1									12.2	6th
7th					0.1	0.8	3.1	4.3	2.3	0.4	0.0										11.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.8	3.1	1.4	0.2	0.0											8.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.1	1.7	0.6	0.1													6.0	9th
10th	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0														3.5	10th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.4	3.9	5.6	7.4	8.8	10.0	10.7	10.5	10.0	9.0	7.3	5.6	3.8	2.1	0.9	0.3			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
16-2	92.8%	1.9		1.6	0.3	0.0
15-3	68.1%	2.6		1.6	0.9	0.1
14-4	36.9%	2.1		0.8	0.9	0.3	0.0
13-5	14.4%	1.0		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1
12-6	2.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.0%	9.0		5.4	2.7	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		61.3%	55.5%	5.8%	11.6					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		13.1%
17-1	0.9%		49.4%	48.8%	0.6%	12.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5		1.1%
16-2	2.1%		38.7%	38.5%	0.2%	13.5												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.3		0.4%
15-3	3.8%		29.6%	29.5%	0.1%	14.1												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	2.6		0.1%
14-4	5.6%		21.4%	21.4%		14.6													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	4.4
13-5	7.3%		15.3%	15.3%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	6.1
12-6	9.0%		10.7%	10.7%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	8.0
11-7	10.0%		8.0%	8.0%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	9.2
10-8	10.5%		4.6%	4.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	10.1
9-9	10.7%		3.9%	3.9%		15.9																0.0	0.4	10.2
8-10	10.0%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.8
7-11	8.8%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																0.0	0.1	8.7
6-12	7.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
5-13	5.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
4-14	3.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
3-15	2.4%																							2.4
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.9%	7.9%	0.0%	14.7					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.6	2.0	2.9	92.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	7.3				11.4		11.4	25.0	36.4	13.6		2.3
Lose Out	0.1%