Preseason Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#201
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.5#227
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#208
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#186
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 10.9% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.6
.500 or above 63.2% 76.3% 45.0%
.500 or above in Conference 67.4% 76.4% 54.9%
Conference Champion 10.5% 14.3% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.7% 5.9%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round7.9% 10.5% 4.3%
Second Round0.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 58.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 411 - 415 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 186   Old Dominion W 66-64 58%    
  Nov 15, 2022 150   Penn W 73-72 52%    
  Nov 21, 2022 248   Texas Arlington W 68-65 59%    
  Nov 27, 2022 93   @ Temple L 63-73 20%    
  Nov 30, 2022 271   Lafayette W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 03, 2022 165   Princeton W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 10, 2022 182   @ La Salle L 67-71 38%    
  Dec 14, 2022 46   @ Seton Hall L 61-76 11%    
  Dec 17, 2022 358   Delaware St. W 83-62 96%    
  Dec 22, 2022 222   @ Fairfield L 64-66 44%    
  Dec 29, 2022 302   Elon W 73-63 79%    
  Dec 31, 2022 295   William & Mary W 77-67 79%    
  Jan 05, 2023 118   @ Towson L 64-72 27%    
  Jan 07, 2023 260   Monmouth W 72-65 71%    
  Jan 12, 2023 258   @ Stony Brook W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 14, 2023 199   @ Northeastern L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 19, 2023 328   Hampton W 78-66 84%    
  Jan 21, 2023 153   Delaware W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 26, 2023 270   @ N.C. A&T W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 28, 2023 302   @ Elon W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 02, 2023 151   College of Charleston W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 04, 2023 260   @ Monmouth W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 08, 2023 153   @ Delaware L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 11, 2023 118   Towson L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 13, 2023 141   @ Hofstra L 71-77 33%    
  Feb 16, 2023 179   UNC Wilmington W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 18, 2023 328   @ Hampton W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 23, 2023 199   Northeastern W 67-64 59%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.5 10.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 3.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 4.2 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.2 3.7 1.0 0.1 10.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.1 3.7 0.9 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.9 1.0 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.0 4.4 6.0 7.5 9.0 10.1 10.8 10.7 10.2 8.9 6.9 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 98.5% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 88.1% 2.6    2.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 62.3% 3.2    1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 29.6% 2.0    0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1
13-5 7.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 66.9% 54.1% 12.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 28.0%
17-1 1.4% 44.8% 40.5% 4.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 7.2%
16-2 3.0% 34.1% 32.0% 2.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 3.0%
15-3 5.1% 23.7% 23.3% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 0.5%
14-4 6.9% 17.6% 17.6% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.7
13-5 8.9% 12.9% 12.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 7.7
12-6 10.2% 8.9% 8.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 9.3
11-7 10.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 9.9
10-8 10.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 10.3
9-9 10.1% 3.5% 3.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.8
8-10 9.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.8
7-11 7.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.4
6-12 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-13 4.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-15 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.4% 8.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.5 91.6 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 5.0 51.9 19.5 13.0 14.3 1.3