Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#255
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.8#219
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#231
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 12.2% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 48.7% 67.0% 33.3%
.500 or above in Conference 61.2% 73.8% 50.6%
Conference Champion 9.7% 14.8% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 2.5% 7.8%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 1.6%
First Round7.4% 11.4% 4.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 45.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 411 - 613 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 181   Wofford L 67-68 46%    
  Nov 18, 2022 105   @ UNLV L 62-74 14%    
  Nov 21, 2022 263   Central Michigan W 71-70 53%    
  Nov 30, 2022 302   Elon W 71-64 71%    
  Dec 03, 2022 243   North Florida W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 06, 2022 96   @ Furman L 62-76 13%    
  Dec 09, 2022 321   Queens W 75-67 75%    
  Dec 18, 2022 179   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-72 28%    
  Dec 21, 2022 192   @ East Carolina L 66-73 29%    
  Dec 29, 2022 152   @ Longwood L 65-73 25%    
  Dec 31, 2022 237   Gardner-Webb W 68-66 55%    
  Jan 04, 2023 211   UNC Asheville W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 07, 2023 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 11, 2023 335   @ Charleston Southern W 73-69 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 310   Presbyterian W 69-62 72%    
  Jan 18, 2023 174   Winthrop L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 21, 2023 293   @ Radford W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 25, 2023 256   Campbell W 65-62 60%    
  Jan 28, 2023 237   @ Gardner-Webb L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 01, 2023 211   @ UNC Asheville L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 04, 2023 335   Charleston Southern W 76-66 78%    
  Feb 08, 2023 256   @ Campbell L 62-65 41%    
  Feb 11, 2023 152   Longwood L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 15, 2023 310   @ Presbyterian W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 18, 2023 345   South Carolina Upstate W 76-65 81%    
  Feb 22, 2023 293   Radford W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 25, 2023 174   @ Winthrop L 68-75 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.2 2.7 2.0 1.1 0.3 9.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.0 3.1 1.1 0.2 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.7 4.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 4.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.9 3.2 0.7 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 3.6 5.5 7.2 8.5 10.0 10.6 10.7 10.0 8.9 7.7 5.8 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.0
16-2 91.3% 2.0    1.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 71.1% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
14-4 38.3% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 14.6% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.7% 9.7 5.9 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 61.7% 58.7% 2.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.1%
17-1 1.1% 57.5% 55.8% 1.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3.8%
16-2 2.2% 35.0% 34.7% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 0.5%
15-3 3.8% 29.8% 29.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 2.7
14-4 5.8% 21.9% 21.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 4.5
13-5 7.7% 15.2% 15.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 6.5
12-6 8.9% 10.5% 10.5% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 8.0
11-7 10.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 9.3
10-8 10.7% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.1
9-9 10.6% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.3
8-10 10.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.8
7-11 8.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.4
6-12 7.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.2
5-13 5.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.0 2.7 91.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 80.4% 9.0 9.8 9.8 41.2 9.8 9.8
Lose Out 0.1%